Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday 7/12/17 Severe Weather/Flash Flood Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible to likely through Wednesday Evening. Strong to damaging winds, heavy rainfall and flash flooding of urban and poor drainage areas are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed all of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather today..
..A Flash Flood Watch is in effect through 9 PM Wednesday Evening for Hampden, Southern Worcester, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts, Northern Connecticut and all of Rhode Island and except Block Island Rhode Islamd..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely today for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible for the later afternoon/early evening timeframe..

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Saturday July 8th, 2017 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible to likely Saturday, possibly as early as late Saturday Morning and extending through the early evening hours Saturday. Strong to damaging winds, large hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued a marginal risk for severe weather for Saturday for much of Southern New England and could upgrade to a slight risk in future outlooks..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 11 AM Saturday Morning..

On Friday, significant flash flooding affected portions of Cape Cod from Falmouth and Sandwich through Barnstable, Dennis and Yarmouth and to a lesser extent on Outer Cape Cod. Storm report information and a few flooding photos can be seen at the following links:

WX1BOX Storm Report Log:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_7_7_17.txt

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Rainfall Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album:
https://www.facebook.com/pg/wx1box/photos/?tab=album&album_id=1622155554485123

For today, there remains a risk for at least a few isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across Southern New England as a cold front sweeps through the region. Some high-resolution models have been hinting at a more widespread severe weather event in Southern New England and this will be monitored closely today. There will be sufficiently strong winds aloft to support the severe weather potential. Satellite imagery shows low clouds burning off across Southern New England and there has been on convective activity so far this morning to preclude heating and destabilization with activity staying largely north and west of Southern New England. Model timing is now bringing the cold front and any pre-frontal trough towards this afternoon and evening. The headlines of the coordination message continue to capture the current situation well. The key remaining items that will determine the extent and coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms are as follows:

1.) Continued heating and destabilization through the morning and early afternoon hours for sufficient instability.
2.) Whether too much mid-level dry air keeps coverage of any strong to severe thunderstorms limited or causes a lack of strong to severe thunderstorm development.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 11 AM Saturday Morning. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Saturday July 8th, 2017 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible to likely Saturday, possibly as early as late Saturday Morning and extending through the late afternoon and early evening hours Saturday. Strong to damaging winds, large hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather for Saturday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely Saturday..

On Friday, significant flash flooding affected portions of Cape Cod from Falmouth and Sandwich through Barnstable, Dennis and Yarmouth and to a lesser extent on Outer Cape Cod. Storm report information and a few flooding photos can be seen at the following links:

WX1BOX Storm Report Log:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_7_7_17.txt

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Rainfall Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album:
https://www.facebook.com/pg/wx1box/photos/?tab=album&album_id=1622155554485123

On Saturday, there is a risk for at least a few isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across Southern New England as a cold front sweeps through the region. Some high-resolution models are also hinting at a more widespread severe weather event in Southern New England but there is not enough consensus in the models to determine if that will be the likely scenario. There will be sufficiently strong winds aloft to support the severe weather potential. The headlines of the coordination message capture the current situation well. The key items that will determine the extent and coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms are as follows:

1.) A pre-frontal trough and its potential passage in the morning hours and whether this brings cloud cover over the region that doesn’t allow the atmosphere to destabilize when the cold front passes through the region presuming the pre-frontal trough timing remains in the morning.
2.) Presuming a morning pre-frontal trough passage and then a cold front in the afternoon, if the atmosphere can destabilize, whether too much mid-level dry air after the pre-frontal trough passage keeps coverage of any strong to severe thunderstorms limited or causes a total lack of strong to severe thunderstorm development.
3.) Timing of the actual cold front and whether it comes through in the mid to late afternoon as currently anticipated.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely Saturday. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook and the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2017/day2otlk_20170707_1730.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday July 7th, 2017 Flash Flood & Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Heavy Rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding from convective showers and thunderstorms and an isolated severe thunderstorm threat is possible across Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts Friday Morning through Friday Afternoon..
..A Flash Flood Watch is now in effect from Friday Morning through Friday Afternoon for Rhode Island and Bristol, Plymouth and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts particularly near south coastal locations for urban and poor drainage flooding potential. The biggest uncertainty is whether or not heavy rainfall and thunderstorms clip portions of the Flash Flood Watch area or stay south of the Flash Flood Watch area..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely to monitor heavy rainfall and flash flood potential as well as for isolated severe weather potential in Southeast New England..

A warm front will be pushing through Southern New England Friday Morning into Friday Afternoon. This warm front could bring heavy rainfall in the form of convective showers and thunderstorms across Southeast New England. Models continue to struggle with the northward extent of the convective showers and thunderstorms. Some models bring the activity into Southeast New England and particularly south coastal locations while other models track the heaviest precipitation south of this region. Taking a consensus of the models currently, there appears to be enough of a risk for heavier convective showers or thunderstorms into Southeast New England which is prompting a Flash Flood Watch for Southeast New England area with the uncertainty in that it tracks further offshore to the south of the area. There is also a risk of an isolated severe thunderstorm with strong to damaging winds and perhaps even an isolated brief weak tornado or waterspout. This will again depend on the northward extent of the warm front into the area and the ability for thunderstorms to organize with the warm front.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely to monitor heavy rainfall and flash flood potential as well as for isolated severe weather potential. This could be the last coordination message on this flash flood and severe weather potential for Friday depending on the timing of the convective showers and thunderstorms into the region or if time allows another message will be posted by 9 AM Friday Morning. Also, a shortened coordination message will be posted if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch statement, Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Saturday July 1st, 2017 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible to likely today particularly in Western and Central Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut anytime after 4 PM Saturday Afternoon lasting through late Saturday evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has again placed Western & Central Massachusetts, Western & Central Connecticut in a marginal to slight risk for severe weather today..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 330 PM today..

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms caused pockets of tree and wire damage and urban and poor drainage flooding across portions of Western and Central Massachusetts and Western and Central Connecticut late Friday Afternoon and Friday Evening. The NWS Taunton Local Storm Report highlighting the pockets of damage in the NWS Taunton Coverage Area for Friday can be seen at the following link:

http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1706302258.nwus51.html

For today, there is reasonable heating and destabilization occurring across Southern New England, away from the south coast and its marine influence. Wind shear values are slightly stronger today than Friday as well. This will set the stage for another round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across Western and Central Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut. The coverage will likely be similar to or maybe slightly more than Friday provided impulses in the atmosphere are timed near or slightly after peak heating and heating and destabilization can continue through the first half of the afternoon hours. The headlines of the coordination message cover the situation well.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 330 PM today. This will be the only coordination message on today’s severe weather potential. Below is the SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook, NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday June 30th, 2017 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are likely this Friday afternoon and evening between 4-10 PM across interior Southern New England, Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western New England in a marginal to slight risk of severe weather today..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 200-230 PM EDT for Friday’s severe weather potential..

At 1050 AM EDT Friday Morning, Doppler Radar showed a few showers moving through Southern New England with cloud cover over Massachusetts and Rhode Island. An area of clearing is working its way into Connecticut and Eastern New York. An impulse in the atmosphere will be moving eastward from East-Central New York and East-Central Pennsylvania and given clearing upstream there should be sufficient heating and destabilization along with marginally sufficient wind shear for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms particularly in Western and Central Massachusetts and Western and Central Connecticut but the threat could extend elsewhere in interior Southern New England. The headlines reflect thinking well for today presuming the heating and destabilization can take place as expected.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 200-230 PM EDT for Friday’s severe weather potential. This will be the only coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box


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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday June 27th, 2017 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms possible to likely today across portions of Southern New England. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center has placed Western and Central Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut in a marginal risk for severe weather today..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible this afternoon and evening..

At 1010 AM Tuesday Morning, Satellite imagery shows some cloud cover over Southern New England and Eastern New York with breaks forming over Eastern New York and Western New England. Radar shows a line of weakening showers moving through Eastern Connecticut, Rhode Island and South Central Massachusetts. As we get to later this afternoon and evening, cold temperature aloft and very strong wind shear values will be over the region. If these factors can compensate for lower dewpoints and moisture levels that will be in the area and possibly less instability than expected because of cloud cover, this should allow for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms today. The headlines cover the situation well. While Western and Central Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut are in the marginal risk area, other areas outside of the marginal risk area could see a few stronger thunderstorms depending on enough parameters coming in place to allow for sufficient strong to severe thunderstorm coverage.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible this afternoon and evening. This will be the only complete coordination message on today’s severe weather potential. A shortened coordination message will be sent if time allows and ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook, NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Special Announcement: 2017 ARRL Hurricane Webinar – Monday July 17th, 2017 800-930 PM EDT

Hello to all..

The ARRL will be hosting a Hurricane Webinar on Monday July 17th, 2017 from 800-930 PM EDT. Details on registration can be seen via the following link:
http://www.arrl.org/news/arrl-to-sponsor-2017-atlantic-hurricane-season-webinar

The webinar will go through an overview of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season and key Amateur Radio group’s preparedness for the season and how Amateur Radio Operators and SKYWARN Spotters can become involved. These Amateur Radio Group’s include, WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, which is now in its 37th year of service, the Hurricane Watch Net, the VoIP Hurricane Net and the American Radio Relay League (ARRL). Also, an Amateur Radio Operator who is the Warning Preparedness Meteorologist at the Canadian Hurricane Centre will be given the meteorological overview of the season.

We hope many folks can join the 2017 ARRL Hurricane Webinar!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Severe Weather and Amateur Radio Field Day Coordination Message #4 – Saturday Morning-Early Afternoon 6/24/17 Severe Weather & Heavy Rainfall Potential

Hello to all..

..The following is the fourth and likely final in a series of messages on Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend and providing information on the weather during this period. This is a tradition spanning over 15 years for Amateur Radio Operators involved with Field Day and the NWS Taunton SKYWARN Program..
..Severe Thunderstorms impacted portions of Middlesex and Essex County Massachusetts with damage to trees and power lines from high winds and damage from lightning strikes. Several Amateur Radio Field Day sites in these areas had to take cover from these severe thunderstorms..
..Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall and frequent lightning remain possible to across much of the NWS Taunton coverage area with a focus on Southeast New England from Saturday mid-morning through early Saturday Afternoon. There remains the potential for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms in these areas with a strong to damaging wind and perhaps even an isolated brief tornado threat particularly over Southeast New England but could extend into other parts of the area through about Noon-1 PM. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has kept areas of southeast New England in a marginal risk for severe weather..
..A High Surf Advisory is in effect through 800 PM for Southeast Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands and a coastal flood statement for East Coastal Massachusetts for the Saturday Evening high tide from 1000 PM tonight through 1 AM Sunday. There were some minor coastal flood issues reported with the late Friday Evening high tide..
..After the cold front, sweeps through, rapid clearing will take place allowing for a great remainder of the weekend for the region through Sunday Afternoon with just isolated showers possible in the far distant interior on Sunday Afternoon..
..Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend is an annual event where Ham Operators across the United States setup at Emergency Operations Centers, field locations, home locations etc. to operate and test their equipment and skills and make as many radio contacts as possible during the weekend. Many locations can be visited by the public and Amateur Radio Field Day can be a form of outreach to Ham and non-Ham Operators. It is also noted that several states have given proclamations to Amateur Radio/Ham Radio Operators for either an ‘Amateur Radio Day or Amateur Radio Week’ during the month of June or an ‘Amateur Radio Month’ for this month. It is both a fun/preparatory event for Ham Radio Operators for Emergency Communications scenarios..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton possible through early Saturday Afternoon for isolated severe weather, thunderstorm and flood potential in the region. NWS Taunton Lightning Safety Awareness Week information, as this year’s Amateur Radio Field Day weekend is coinciding with that awareness week, can be found near the bottom of this coordination message. No SKYWARN Activation is expected from mid-Saturday Afternoon through Sunday..

Severe Thunderstorms impacted portions of Middlesex and Essex County Massachusetts with damage to trees and power lines from high winds and damage from lightning strikes. Several Amateur Radio Field Day sites in these areas had to take cover from these severe thunderstorms as the clearing and heating of the day allowed for instability to take advantage of sufficiently strong wind shear profiles despite other limiting severe weather factors to cause a cluster of severe thunderstorms in interior Northeast Massachusetts. The NWS Taunton Local Storm Report, the WX1BOX Amateur Radio log of storm events recorded and the WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album of damage photos can be seen at the following links:

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1706232022.nwus51.html

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Report Log:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_6_23_17.txt

NWS Taunton Facebook Album:
https://www.facebook.com/pg/wx1box/photos/?tab=album&album_id=1605848489449163

There are a large number of Amateur Radio Field Day sites across the NWS Taunton Coverage Area and adjacent NWS Coverage Areas. Here are some links to information on these Amateur Radio Field Day Sites from across the region:

Amateur Radio Field Day Information: http://www.arrl.org/field-day
Amateur Radio Field Day National Locator: http://www.arrl.org/field-day-locator
Eastern Massachusetts Field Day Home Page: http://fd.ema.arrl.org/

The commonwealth of Massachusetts has declared Saturday June 24th, 2017 Amateur Radio Day in honor of the ARRL Field Day event. The details can be seen at this link:
http://ema.arrl.org/node/2241

Overnight, conditions were relatively benign with scattered downpours occurring in the NWS Taunton coverage area between midnight and 2 AM. As of 600 AM EDT Saturday Morning, Doppler Radar is showing an area of rain, some of it heavy across Southeast New York, Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut extending southeastward with heavy downpours and possible embedded thunderstorms over Southeast Pennsylvania through Central New Jersey. All of this activity is moving eastward with heavier downpours and embedded thunderstorms are tracking northeastward. This activity will continue to move west to east into Southern New England through Saturday Morning and exit the region around midday through early afternoon. Heavy rainfall and frequent lightning are the main threats with convective showers and thunderstorms moving into the area but an isolated severe thunderstorm risk remains across much of Southern New England with an area of focus over Southern New England for a strong to damaging wind risk and possibly even an isolated brief tornado. SPC has continued the marginal risk focused on Southeast New England in the last update. Any Field day sites setting up operations or outdoors Saturday Morning through early afternoon should continue to monitor forecasts and warnings as there will remain the risk for lightning in any thunderstorms and an isolated severe thunderstorm risk with strong to damaging winds and possibly an isolated brief tornado as well.

After early this afternoon, rapid clearing will take place and a warm but less humid day is expected with temperatures in the mid-80s to lower 90s. For Saturday Night, temperatures will be much cooler with lows in the 50s to lower 60s. Temperatures on Sunday are expected to be in upper 70s through mid-80s with excellent weather expected. An isolated shower can’t be ruled out over far northwestern parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area but thunderstorms and any severe weather is not expected.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton possible tonight through early Saturday Afternoon for isolated severe weather, thunderstorm and flood potential in the region. No SKYWARN Activation is expected from mid-Saturday Afternoon through Sunday. Below are links to the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-1 Convective Outlook, NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1706240749.wwus81.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

There was some minor coastal flood issues at the time of high tide late Friday Night and similar issues could be seen at this evening’s high tide and there is also a High Surf Advisory in effect through 8 PM for Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including the Cape and Islands for those looking to go to the coast. The NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory Statement and Coastal Flood Statement can be seen at the following links:

NWS Taunton High Surf Advisory and Coastal Flood Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

Amateur Radio Field Day sites are still encouraged to bring a NOAA All-Hazards Weather Radio, monitor various cell phone weather apps where Amateur Operators may have those available and have a dedicated Ham Radio that can monitor their local SKYWARN Frequency for their area as a best safety and preparedness practice. Also sites that have mobile Internet capability can utilize that capability as a way to monitor for weather information. With Mobile Internet capability, utilizing Echolink to monitor the New England Reflector system on Echolink Conference *NEW-ENG3* Node: 9123/IRLP 9123 would be helpful as well. Please see the link below for the latest SKYWARN Frequency information for the region:
http://beta.wx1box.org/node/37

During setup and takedown of Amateur Radio Field Day sites and even while operating, be sure to drink plenty of fluids and eat accordingly. Also having a jacket or sweatshirt during evenings as conditions cool etc. may also be useful while operating this year’s Field Day. The link below features information on Heat Safety:
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/heat/index.shtml

This year’s Amateur Radio Field Day weekend is coinciding with Lightning Safety Awareness Week and NWS Taunton is issuing Public Information Statements on Lightning Safety. Lightning Safety tips and information can be seen at the following link:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/lightning_safety_awareness_PNS_6_23_17.txt

This will likely be the final complete Severe Weather/Amateur Radio Field Day coordination message for this year’s event. A shortened coordination message regarding Ops at NWS Taunton will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are necessary for the Saturday Morning through early afternoon timeframe.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather and Amateur Radio Field Day Coordination Message #3 – Friday Evening 6/23/17-Saturday PM 6/24/17 Severe Weather & Heavy Rainfall Potential

Hello to all..

..The following is the third in a series of messages on Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend and providing information on the weather during this period. This is a tradition spanning over 15 years for Amateur Radio Operators involved with Field Day and the NWS Taunton SKYWARN Program..
..Severe Thunderstorms impacted portions of Middlesex and Essex County Massachusetts with damage to trees and power lines from high winds and damage from lightning strikes. Several Amateur Radio Field Day sites in these areas had to take cover from these severe thunderstorms..
..Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall and frequent lightning are likely to continue across much of the NWS Taunton coverage area Friday Evening into early Saturday Afternoon. There remains the potential for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms in these areas with a strong to damaging wind and hail risk as well and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued Western and Central Massachusetts and North-Central Connecticut in a marginal risk for severe weather and expanded that into Northeast Massachusetts..
..Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend is an annual event where Ham Operators across the United States setup at Emergency Operations Centers, field locations, home locations etc. to operate and test their equipment and skills and make as many radio contacts as possible during the weekend. Many locations can be visited by the public and Amateur Radio Field Day can be a form of outreach to Ham and non-Ham Operators. It is also noted that several states have given proclamations to Amateur Radio/Ham Radio Operators for either an ‘Amateur Radio Day or Amateur Radio Week’ during the month of June or an ‘Amateur Radio Month’ for this month. It is both a fun/preparatory event for Ham Radio Operators for Emergency Communications scenarios..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton possible tonight through early Saturday Afternoon for isolated severe weather, thunderstorm and flood potential in the region. NWS Taunton Lightning Safety Awareness Week information, as this year’s Amateur Radio Field Day weekend is coinciding with that awareness week, can be found near the bottom of this coordination message..

Severe Thunderstorms impacted portions of Middlesex and Essex County Massachusetts with damage to trees and power lines from high winds and damage from lightning strikes. Several Amateur Radio Field Day sites in these areas had to take cover from these severe thunderstorms as the clearing and heating of the day allowed for instability to take advantage of sufficiently strong wind shear profiles despite other limiting severe weather factors to cause a cluster of severe thunderstorms in interior Northeast Massachusetts. The NWS Taunton Local Storm Report, the WX1BOX Amateur Radio log of storm events recorded and the WX1BOX Facebook Photo Album of damage photos can be seen at the following links:

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1706232022.nwus51.html

WX1BOX Amateur Radio Report Log:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/reports_6_23_17.txt

NWS Taunton Facebook Album:
https://www.facebook.com/pg/wx1box/photos/?tab=album&album_id=1605848489449163

There are a large number of Amateur Radio Field Day sites across the NWS Taunton Coverage Area and adjacent NWS Coverage Areas. Here are some links to information on these Amateur Radio Field Day Sites from across the region:

Amateur Radio Field Day Information: http://www.arrl.org/field-day
Amateur Radio Field Day National Locator: http://www.arrl.org/field-day-locator
Eastern Massachusetts Field Day Home Page: http://fd.ema.arrl.org/

The commonwealth of Massachusetts has declared Saturday June 24th, 2017 Amateur Radio Day in honor of the ARRL Field Day event. The details can be seen at this link:
http://ema.arrl.org/node/2241

As of 700 PM EDT Friday Evening, the radar was quiet over Southern New England. Expanding the radar view out to New York and the Mid-Atlantic states, shower and thunderstorm activity was scattered across portions of Western, Central and Southeast New York and into Northern Pennsylvania and Northern New Jersey. This activity will move into Southern New England later this evening and overnight Friday through Saturday Morning and possibly extend through early afternoon. Heavy rainfall and frequent lightning are the main threats with thunderstorms and heavy downpours organizing and moving into the area but an isolated severe thunderstorm risk remains across much of interior Southern New England with a strong to damaging wind risk and possibly hail. SPC has continued the marginal risk across portions of interior Southern New England and expanded it into Northeast Massachusetts in the last update. Any Field day sites camping out overnight or looking to setup Saturday Morning should continue to monitor forecasts and warnings as there will remain the risk for lightning in any thunderstorms and an isolated severe thunderstorm risk with strong to damaging winds and hail as well. There is a slight chance for a more general heavy rainfall with embedded thunderstorms over the area during the overnight into early Saturday Afternoon timeframe but current expectations are for more scattered activity with heavy rainfall in isolated to scattered locations based on the current setup and this will be watched closely.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton possible tonight through early Saturday Afternoon for isolated severe weather, thunderstorm and flood potential in the region. Below are links to the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-1 Convective Outlook, NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Amateur Radio Field Day sites are still encouraged to bring a NOAA All-Hazards Weather Radio, monitor various cell phone weather apps where Amateur Operators may have those available and have a dedicated Ham Radio that can monitor their local SKYWARN Frequency for their area as a best safety and preparedness practice. Also sites that have mobile Internet capability can utilize that capability as a way to monitor for weather information. With Mobile Internet capability, utilizing Echolink to monitor the New England Reflector system on Echolink Conference *NEW-ENG3* Node: 9123/IRLP 9123 would be helpful as well. Please see the link below for the latest SKYWARN Frequency information for the region:
http://beta.wx1box.org/node/37

During setup and takedown of Amateur Radio Field Day sites and even while operating, be sure to drink plenty of fluids and eat accordingly. Also having a jacket or sweatshirt during evenings as conditions cool etc. may also be useful while operating this year’s Field Day. The link below features information on Heat Safety:
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/heat/index.shtml

This year’s Amateur Radio Field Day weekend is coinciding with Lightning Safety Awareness Week and NWS Taunton is issuing Public Information Statements on Lightning Safety. Lightning Safety tips and information can be seen at the following link:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/lightning_safety_awareness_PNS_6_23_17.txt

The next complete Severe Weather/Amateur Radio Field Day coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Saturday Morning. A shortened coordination message regarding Ops at NWS Taunton will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are necessary.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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