Hello to all..

..Widespread 1-3″ rainfall amounts occurred over Southern New England with isolated higher amounts in Northern Connecticut with lesser amounts around 1″ of rain across South Coastal New England..
..A Flood Watch remains in effect until 2 PM Friday Afternoon for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area except for Cape Cod and the Islands. Various Flood Warnings have been issued for small streams/rivers in the area..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect until Noon for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 45 MPH possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will continue to monitor for rainfall reports and any flooding issues. Those near flood prone rivers or can look at rivers and can safely take pictures of the flooding can send pictures as a reply to this email or send to pics@nsradio.org and credit will be given to the spotters for the pictures. This will be the last coordination message on the storm system. Below is the Flood Watch/Warning Statements, Wind Advisory statements, and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Warning Archive:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/wgus41.chunk.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..Coastal Low taking shape to bring more heavy rainfall across much of Southern New England despite dry slot affecting the region early Thursday Evening. Strong winds will be possible in coastal locations as well..
..A Flood Watch remains in effect through Saturday Morning for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands through 11 AM Friday for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 45-50 MPH. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage. Areas outside of the wind advisory particularly along the coast may see isolated pockets of wind damage with wind gusts to 40 MPH due to strong winds coupled with wet soil conditions..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the overnight hours into Friday Morning since the dry slot precluded heavier precipitation Thursday Evening. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Friday Morning depending on the evolution of the storm system..

After a dry slot formed limiting precipitation amounts during the day Thursday particularly in central and southern parts of the area, rain has rapidly filled in as seen on Doppler Radar as of 950 PM with a line of thunderstorms with heavy downpours that could affect Southeast New England during the overnight hours. Rainfall amounts have been from 0.50-1.50″ across northern and central parts of Southern New England with 0.50″ or less amounts across Eastern parts of New England. Given the rapid filling in of rainfall on radar, a general 1-3″ of rainfall is still expected with isolated higher amounts or an axis of heavier rainfall expected of up to 4 inches. With the recent wet weather pattern, a Flood Watch remains in effect through Saturday Morning for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area except for Cape Cod and the Islands. The rainfall may cause more minor flooding of rivers and streams as well as urban/poor drainage flooding. If an axis of heavier rainfall sets up over Southern New England, a moderate flood event could occur on some rivers and streams and more significant urban/poor drainage flooding.

A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands through 11 AM Friday for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 45-50 MPH. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage. Areas outside of the wind advisory particularly along the coast may see isolated pockets of wind damage with wind gusts to 40 MPH due to strong winds coupled with wet soil conditions.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the overnight hours into Friday Morning since the dry slot precluded heavier precipitation Thursday Evening. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Friday Morning depending on the evolution of the storm system. A shortened coordination message will be issued Friday Morning by 9 AM EDT to status the storm. Below is the NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement, Wind Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..Coastal Low will bring more heavy rainfall across much of Southern New England. Strong winds will be possible in coastal locations as well..
..A Flood Watch is in effect from 8 AM Thursday through Saturday Morning for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..Strong winds coupled with wet soil conditions may allow for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage despite winds that may fall short of Wind Advisory conditions..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely over the period of Thursday late afternoon through evening and for at least a portion of the day Friday. This will be better defined later today..

With the recent wet pattern, yet another storm system, this time a coastal low or nor’easter type system, will affect Southern New England with another round of heavy rainfall and the potential for strong winds at the coastal locations. At 830 AM, Doppler Radar shows a significant area of rainfall over New York State and the Mid-Atlantic moving east and rain will begin across much of Southern New England over the course of the morning. It will become heavy at times over the period. A general 1-3″ of rainfall is expected with isolated higher amounts or an axis of heavier rainfall expected. Where that heavier area of rainfall occurs is uncertain as it could occur over Southern New England or slide just offshore. Nonetheless, with the recent wet weather pattern, a Flood Watch is in effect through Saturday Morning for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area except for Cape Cod and the Islands. The rainfall may cause more minor flooding of rivers and streams as well as urban/poor drainage flooding. If an axis of heavier rainfall sets up over Southern New England, a moderate flood event could occur on some rivers and streams and more significant urban/poor drainage flooding.

The storm system may also produce strong wind gusts to at least 40 MPH particularly over Southeast Coastal New England. Depending on the track of the storm more of the coast could be affected with winds possibly reaching Wind Advisory criteria. Even if winds don’t reach wind advisory criteria, the combination of wet soil conditions and winds gusts to 40 MPH may still result in isolated tree and wire damage over parts of the area.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely over the period of Thursday late afternoon through evening and for at least a portion of the day Friday. This will be better defined later today. Another coordination message will be issued by 8 PM EDT this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..Renewed flooding possible over much of the area later today and tonight as well as the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, large hail and urban/poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. The severe weather potential area is over portions of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts south of a warm front that is hung up over Central New England and as some clearing attempts to work in from the Southeast New York area to parts of Southern New England south of the warm front. The flood potential area remains over most of the NWS Taunton coverage area..
..A Flood Watch remains in effect for much of the NWS Taunton Coverage area except for Northern Connecticut and Cape Cod and the Islands through 6 PM EDT this evening. The potential remains for additional flooding between last night’s rainfall and prior rainfall from the remnants of Andrea coupled with renewed rainfall expected later today into this evening..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will occur again around 200-300 PM EDT today to monitor rainfall/flood and any isolated severe weather issues. Below is the NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and a listing of rainfall reports received to date from overnight into Tuesday Morning’s rainfall..

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Rainfall Reports:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/rainfall_reports_6_11_13.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..Another storm system will bring another round of heavy rainfall tonight through Tuesday Morning. While the rainfall won’t be as heavy as with the remnants of Tropical Storm Andrea, the prior rainfall Friday into Saturday Morning coupled with this renewed rainfall in the range of 1-2.5″ with isolated higher amounts renew the threat of flooding for much of Southern New England..
..A Flood Watch is in effect from Monday Night to Tuesday Night for all of Southern New England except for Cape Cod and the Islands for potential renewed river, stream and urban flooding..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will start at 7 PM EDT to monitor rainfall and any flooding issues..

At 355 PM, radar showed light to moderate rain moving over portions of Southern New England with an area of heavy rain noted over portions of Eastern Long Island, NY that will spread into portions of Southern New England overnight. This rainfall is associated with another storm system approaching the region. A Flood Watch has been posted once again from tonight through Tuesday Night for all of Southern New England except for Cape Cod and the Islands for the potential of renewed river, stream and urban flooding. While rainfall amounts won’t be as heavy as with the remnants of Tropical Storm Andrea, the prior rainfall Friday into Saturday Morning coupled with renewed rainfall in the 1-2.5″ range with isolated higher amounts given elevated river, stream levels may result in a renewed threat of flooding for much of Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will start at 7 PM EDT tonight to monitor rainfall and any flooding issues this evening. Depending on how the storm evolves, SKYWARN Self-Activation may be utilized during the overnight hours versus Ops. Tuesday’s situation will be evaluated pending how the rainfall evolves over the area and any potential for isolated severe weather over the region. Another coordination message will be posted Tuesday Morning depending on the evolution of the rainfall and the storm system. Below is the NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..Remnants of Andrea/Post-Tropical Andrea are still expected to bring Significant Rainfall to Much of Southern New England with the threat for urban and poor drainage flooding and the possibility of minor river and stream flooding. Strong Wind Gusts are possible in Southeast Coastal Massachusetts as well..
..A Flood Watch remains in effect from Noon Friday through Saturday Morning for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands. Widespread rainfall of 2-4 inches are likely with isolated higher amounts in the 4-5 inch range and possibly more over parts of the Flood Watch area..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Nantucket Island from Midnight to 10 AM Saturday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 400 PM EDT Friday to monitor the storm..

At 800 AM, Tropical Storm Andrea is over South Carolina after making landfall in the Big Bend area of Florida late Thursday Afternoon. Andrea is expected to transition to a non-tropical system over the next 12-18 hours as it moves northeast towards Southern New England. National Hurricane Center Advisory information on Andrea can be seen via the following links:

National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:

Tropical Storm Andrea Public Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt31.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Andrea Technical Discussion Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt41.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Andrea Forecast/Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt21.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Andrea Wind Speed Probabilities:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font11.KNHC.html

The remnants of Andrea will combine with a frontal system and have the potential to give much of Southern New England widespread significant rainfall. Rainfall amounts have been adjusted a bit higher with 2-4″ now expected over much of the region with higher amounts of 4-5″ and possibly a few spot amounts over 5″ over some portion of the area. The exact track of the storm will determine where any axis of heavy rainfall sets up. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Noon Friday through Saturday Morning. Urban and poor drainage flooding is the primary threat but some minor river and stream flooding could also develop particularly if the higher end rainfall amounts verify.

Strong wind gusts will be possible over portions of Cape Cod and the Islands and possibly Southeast Coastal Massachusetts. A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Nantucket Island from Midnight to 10 AM Saturday for sustained winds of 20-25 MPH with gusts up to 45 MPH.  Wind Advisories could also be extended into other parts of Cape Cod and the Island and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts depending on the track of the storm and the strength of the wind field. With the wet soil conditions due to the rainfall and the potential for strong wind gusts, isolated pockets of tree and wire damage may occur on Cape Cod and the Islands.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 400 PM EDT Friday to monitor the heavy rainfall and flood potential and strong wind potential from this system. Operations could extend into part of the overnight hours depending on the extent of any potential flooding. This will be the last coordination message on this event as we move into Ops mode later today. Below are the NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement, Wind Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all..

..Remnants of Andrea/Post-Tropical Andrea are expected to bring Significant Rainfall to Much of Southern New England with the threat for urban and poor drainage flooding and the possibility of minor river and stream flooding. Strong Wind Gusts are possible in Southeast Coastal Massachusetts as well..
..A Flood Watch is in effect from Friday Afternoon through Saturday Morning for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands. Widespread rainfall of 2-3 inches are likely with isolated higher amounts up to 4″ and possibly more over parts of the Flood Watch area..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 400 PM EDT Friday to monitor the storm..

At 1145 PM, Tropical Storm Andrea is over the Southeast United States after making landfall in the Big Bend area of Florida earlier today. Andrea is expected to transition to a non-tropical system over the next 12-24 hours as it moves northeast towards Southern New England. National Hurricane Center Advisory information on Andrea can be seen via the following links:

National Hurricane Center – Miami Florida Information:

Tropical Storm Andrea Public Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt31.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Andrea Technical Discussion Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt41.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Andrea Forecast/Advisory Information:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.wtnt21.KNHC.html

Tropical Storm Andrea Wind Speed Probabilities:
http://kamala.cod.edu/TPC/latest.font11.KNHC.html

The remnants of Andrea will combine with a frontal system and have the potential to give much of Southern New England widespread significant rainfall with 2-3″ expected over much of the region with higher amounts of 3-4″ with isolated higher amounts over some portion of the area. The exact track of the storm will determine where any axis of heavy rainfall sets up. A Flood Watch is now in effect for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage Area except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Friday Afternoon through Saturday Morning.

Strong wind gusts will be possible over portions of Cape Cod and the Islands and possibly Southeast Coastal Massachusetts. This will depend on the track and intensity of the storm system and will be monitored for future coordination messages. With the wet soil conditions due to the rainfall and the potential for strong wind gusts, isolated pockets of tree and wire damage may occur on Cape Cod and the Islands.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 400 PM EDT Friday to monitor the heavy rainfall and flood potential and strong wind potential from this system. Another coordination message will be issued by 830 AM Friday Morning. Below are the NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely particularly over Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut during the afternoon and evening. Damaging Winds, large Hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats with the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) continuing a Slight Risk for Severe Weather in these areas. Areas to the east should monitor as an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm threat is possible eventually evolving into an urban and poor drainage flooding later Sunday into Monday..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at Noon today..

At 945 AM, Satellite imagery shows clear skies over much of interior Southern New England. This will allow for significant heating and destabilization during the entire day across much of the interior. Satellite imagery shows the prefrontal trough and cold front across Central and Western New York moving east-northeastward with southwest wind flow ahead of the front. The frontal timing will be the key to the extent of severe weather over the region today. Based on current model projections and trends, the most likely area for severe weather is over the current SPC Slight Risk area from Southern New Hampshire into Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut. In this area, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are likely with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. The severe thunderstorms will likely involve a couple short lines or possibly a squall line of activity. An Isolated supercell or two is possible before the activity involves into short lines or a single squall line of activity. Areas to the east should continue to monitor as an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is possible and if the trough and front pushes into the area a bit more quickly with heating over the area, more numerous strong to severe thunderstorms could occur in this area. As we get past sunset, the situation could evolve into more garden variety thunderstorms but could pose a flood threat to urban and poor drainage areas if the activity slows and tracks/trains over the same area and this will be monitored as well.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at Noon today. This will be the last coordination message on activity for Sunday. If a thunderstorm threat for flooding or possibly isolated severe weather evolves into Monday, another coordination message for Monday may be issued. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

Today, Saturday June 1st, 2013, marks the start of the 2013 Atlantic Season. The Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, WX4NHC, Communications Test was completed today and was very successful with over 50 contacts made on the *WX_TALK* Echolink conference node: 7203/IRLP 9219 system and dozens more contacts made by HF/VHF/UHF. Thanks to all stations that participated in the communications test.

Also, on the National Hurricane Center web site, WD4R-Julio Ripoll, Assistant WX4NHC Coordinator was featured in the monthly National Hurricane Center Q&A web series. This can be seen at the following link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/qa/201306_julio_ripoll.php

Now is the time to prepare for Hurricane Season. Even if a hurricane or tropical system does not affect our area, it will make you more prepared for future seasons. Also note that strong tropical storms and in particular strong and large tropical storms can pack as much power as some Category-1 hurricanes.

Below are the NWS Taunton Public Information Statement announcing the Start of the Atlantic Hurricane Season for 2013 and the 800 AM National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook which lists information on the 2013 Hurricane Names as well as the products that the National Hurricane Center prior to and as storms form over the Atlantic basin:

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Start of 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/start_of_hurr_season_2013_June_1.txt

National Hurricane Center Tropical Weather Outlook and Tropical System Names and NHC Products Overview:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/two_at_nhc_june_1_2013.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..Slow moving Cold Front will bring an end to the heat and humidity late Sunday Afternoon into Monday and set the stage for the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. Greatest threat will be across Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut after 2 PM Sunday Afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed this region in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather for Sunday. Areas outside of the slight risk area should monitor as well..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely and are tentatively expected to commence at 2 PM Sunday Afternoon lasting through late evening..

A slow moving cold front is expected to move into New York and New England over the course of Sunday Afternoon and Evening. Heating and destabilization are expected to occur across interior Southern New England as the cold front enters the region with most destabilization parameters being favorable. Shear profiles will be favorably strong and combine with heating for the development for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. Caveats to the severe weather threat include the timing of the cold front to provide the trigger and lift for strong to severe thunderstorm development and that sufficient heating can occur over interior areas of Southern New England. The greatest threat area for severe weather is across Southern New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut after 2 PM Sunday Afternoon. SPC has placed the region in a slight risk for severe weather. Areas outside of the slight risk area should monitor for a more isolated strong to severe thunderstorm event and the potential for thunderstorms that may cause pockets of urban and poor drainage flooding.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely and are tentatively expected to commence at 2 PM Sunday Afternoon lasting through late evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Sunday Morning. Below are the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1306011725.acus02.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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