Storm Coordination Message #2 -Thursday 10/27-Friday 10/28/11 Potential Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Storm System will affect Southern New England Thursday Morning through Friday Morning with a decent rainfall, potential for some snowfall accumulations in Northwest Massachusetts and Southwest New Hampshire and perhaps even some snowflakes seen over much of Southern New England before precipitation ends along with the threat for Minor Coastal Flooding at the Thursday Midday high tide..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from 9 AM to 2 PM EDT Thursday for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands..
..Snowfall in Northwest Massachusetts is currently expected to be 1-3″ of heavy and wet snow but will be contingent on the timing of the changeover in precipitation from rain to snow and the amount of precipitation that falls as snow. If amounts reach 2-3″ or higher, isolated pockets of tree and wire damage will be possible. This is particularly true in the higher elevations..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible for the Thursday high tide cycle and then for snowfall late Thursday Afternoon through early Friday Morning..

A storm system will affect the region Thursday Morning into Friday Morning. Precipitation will start as rain and could be heavy at times. About 1 to 1.5″ of rainfall with isolated higher amounts is possible.

As we get into Thursday Evening, possibly as early as the evening rush hour in Southern New Hampshire and Northwest Massachusetts, rain could change to a heavy wet snow. At this time, 1-3″ of snow is expected. With trees having foiliage on them in some areas and the weight of the heavy wet snow, there is potential for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage. This is particularly true in the higher elevations. This potential would rise significantly if more of the precipitation falls as that heavy, wet snow and that will need close monitoring. The current scenario, however, is for 1-3″ of heavy and wet snow. Wet snowflakes may be seen all the way through Southeast Massachusetts and Rhode Island before the rain ends late Thursday Night but this will again depend on how much cold air seeps into the region. No accumulation is expected outside of Southwest New Hampshire and Northwest Massachusetts.

The other potential threat from the storm system is minor coastal flooding at the time of the midday Thursday high tide. A significant storm surge is not expected but with high astronomical tides and the onshore Northeast flow, minor coastal flooding will be possible with the impact to shore roads along the east coast of Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands. A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from 9 AM to 2 PM Thursday to cover this potential for minor coastal flooding midday Thursday.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Thursday for the coastal flood potential and rain changing over to snow late Thursday Afternoon through early Friday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator       
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 10/27-Friday 10/28/11 Potential Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Storm System slated to move into Southern New England Thursday will have the potential to produce minor coastal flooding over successive high tide cycles Thursday into Friday Afternoon over East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands and the potential for the first accumulating snowfall over Northwest Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire late Thursday and Thursday Night particularly in the higher elevations. That snowfall may be heavy and wet and depending on accumulations and amount of foilage on trees could result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Thursday and possibly around the high tide cycles on Friday. A more detailed coordination message will follow late Wednesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator       
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday October 19th, 2011 Heavy Rainfall Event

Hello to all..

..Heavy Rainfall will affect much of Southern New England starting around midday and lasting through tonight. Rainfall of 1-3″ is expected with isolated higher amounts. This rainfall may produce urban and poor drainage flooding over the areas that receive the highest rainfall. Rivers and streams may rise to bankful but are currently not expected to go over flood stage though this will be monitored throughout the day..
..Strong winds to Wind Advisory criteria may occur across Cape Cod and the Islands Thursday. A separate coordination message may be issued late tonight or Thursday if a Wind Advisory is posted..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized to gather rainfall reports 2″ or more and any urban/poor drainage flooding reports that may occur later this afternoon and tonight. Ops at NWS Taunton are currently not anticipated but this will be monitored. This will be the only coordination message on today’s storm unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator       
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Wind Coordination Message #1 – Saturday October 15th-Sunday October 16th, 2011 Wind Event

Hello to all..

..Strong Winds to Affect South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island late Saturday Afternoon through early Sunday Morning as colder air moves into the region today through early Sunday Morning..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands from 4 PM Saturday through 5 AM Sunday for sustained winds 25-35 MPH with gusts 45-50 MPH. The strongest winds are expected between 4 to 10 PM this afternoon and evening..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized over the South Coast Region to monitor for wind gusts 45 MPH or greater and any isolated to scattered pockets of wind damage that may occur. This will be the only coordination message on this event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator       
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Storm/Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Friday October 14th, 2011 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Period of Heavy rainfall and potential urban/poor drainage flooding with the chance for an isolated to scatterd strong to severe thunderstorm with strong to damaging winds especially this Friday Afternoon and Evening..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton possible Friday Afternoon and Evening..

At 750 AM Doppler Radar, showed scattered showers and a couple heavier downpours with the most coverage of showers over West-Central Connecticut and extreme Western Massachusetts and other scattered showers with a heavier downpour or two over South-Central and Eastern Massachusetts and North-Central Rhode Island. Radar shows a break in the precipitation with an area of rainfall a few hundred miles offshore that will likely move into Southern New England towards midday and early afternoon lasting into the evening. It is that area of rain that could produce more widespread heavier downpours capable of urban and poor drainage flooding with the possibility of an isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm capable of strong to damaging winds. For the morning, activity will be in the form of scattered light to moderate rain showers with a heavier downpour or two possible.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible this Friday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the last complete coordination message on today’s event. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator       
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday October 13th/Friday October 14th, 2011 Weather Event

Hello to all..

..A period of Heavy Rainfall will affect portions of Central and Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island this morning through midday. This could result in minor urban and poor drainage flooding during the morning commute through midday..
..Another potential for heavy rainfall, urban/poor drainage flooding and possibly even isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and heavy rainfall as the primary threats could occur late Friday Afternoon and Evening in the region. Further details on the Friday event will be posted in a coordination message this evening..
..SKYWARN self-activation will monitor rainfall totals and any flooding reports this morning and Ops at NWS are not anticipated today. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Friday. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator       
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Reminder & Special Announcement: Southern New England Weather Conference – Saturday October 22nd, 2011

Hello to all..

The following serves as a reminder and special announcement on the Southern New England Weather Conference for Saturday October 22nd, 2011. Registration is open until one week before the conference. See link below for all details on the conference and the registration:

http://beta.wx1box.org/node/1352

We hope to see many of you at the weather conference. Thanks to all for their support!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator       
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Post-North Shore Massachusetts Flash Flood Event Coordination Message #1

Hello to all…

..Unexpected Significant Flash Flood Event Hammered the North Shore of Massachusetts Tuesday Morning closing schools and resulting in a state of emergency in the city of Peabody, Massachusetts. Swampscott, Salem, Lynn, Marblehead and Beverly Massachusetts also sustained significant flash flooding..
..Rainfall amounts between 2 and 6 inches occurred in the hardest hit areas of the North Shore. Much of which falling in a 2 hour period near morning rush hour. Isolated hail and even one wind damage report was noted with the activity..
..SKYWARN Self-Activated in the 145.470-Danvers Repeater and on the New England Reflector *NEW-ENG* echolink conference node: 9123/IRLP 9123 system and gathered many reports during the event. The short fused nature and time of day the incident occurred precluded an email coordination message to the SKYWARN email list..
..Below is a note sent by Eastern Massachusetts Assistant ARES Section Emergency Coordinator and North Shore Assistant SKYWARN Coordiantor, Jim Palmer-KB1KQW to North Shore ARES/SKYWARN volunteers edited for the generality of the NWS Taunton SKYWARN email list..

We wanted to take a moment to thank all those ARES/SKYWARN stations that checked into the net this morning to provide reports of flooding, rainfall totals, even hail and wind damage. While this event was certainly not expected, we reacted as quickly as possible and provided valuable reports to the National Weather Service in Taunton to verify their warnings on the ground. Late this morning, we received a note from one of the meteorologists at NWS-Taunton also thanking us for our quick reaction and numerous reports. An up to date Local Storm Report and Public Information Statement can be found here:

Local Storm Report: http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1110050124.nwus51.html
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

Public Information Statement: http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1110050132.nous41.html
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

If you have any remaining pictures or video, please send them to pics@nsradio.org and we will add them to our collection. Credit will be given to the spotter when forwarding to media, emergency management, and the National Weather Service unless otherwise noted.

Thanks again to all for their continued help and support of North Shore ARES/SKYWARN and the NWS Taunton SKYWARN program!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 9/29/11 Severe Weather and Flood Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated strong to possibly even severe thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and evening as an upper level low pressure system slowly makes its way through the region over the next several days. Damaging Winds would be the primary threat. Also, areas of heavy rainfall and any embedded thunderstorms may also cause urban/poor drainage flooding over the area..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will likely be utilized to cover these possible threats today. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible if coverage of heavy rainfall or strong thunderstorms is greater than anticipated..

At 745 AM, Doppler radar showed an area of heavy rainfall and embedded thunderstorms straddling the New York, Massachusetts and Connecticut border. This area is moving north-northeast and appears as though it will stay west of the NWS Taunton County Warning area or scrape the east slopes of the Berkshires west of the Connecticut River Valley. Other areas of heavy rain and embedded thunderstorms are likely to pivot around the upper level low pressure system today and tonight. This may result in urban and poor drainage flooding with the issuance of urban and small stream flood advisories. Overnight, a number areas have received .50-1.50″ of rain with isolated higher amounts over interior Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Southern New Hampshire.

Shear aloft will increase by late afternoon and early evening. At this time, little breaks in the cloud cover are expected but if a few breaks in the clouds were to occur or simply the combination of the cold pool aloft with strong shear may compensate for the lack of heating and result in isolated strong to possibly even severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and urban/poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. This will be monitored throughout the day. A low probability threat area with ‘see text’ has been issued by the Storm Prediction Center for much of Western and Central Massachusetts Connecticut and Western Rhode Island and NWS Taunton is in agreement.

It is noted that there could be minor splashover for East Coastal areas of Massachusetts due to onshore flow and high astronomoical tides. No major issues are expected, however.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will likely be utilized to cover these possible threats today. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible if coverage of heavy rainfall and urban/poor drainage flooding or isolated strong to severe thunderstorms is greater than anticipated. Another coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops are initiated or self-activation of SKYWARN over a large area occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, NWS Taunton Coastal Hazard Message and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Hazard Message:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator       
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Post-Hurricane Irene Coordination Message #3

Hello to all..

..New England Continues its Recovery from Hurricane/Tropical Storm Irene exactly one month after Irene’s impact to the region. Federally declared disaster declarations have been assigned to portions of Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island and New Hampshire..
..Power was fully restored to all areas approximately one week after Irene impacted the region. Most areas had power restored over a 1-5 day period but some areas went a full week without power..
..An article on Amateur Radio efforts during Hurricane Irene has been posted in the Amateur Radio Emergency Services (ARES) E-Letter. The article link is listed below..
..An archive of the NWS Taunton Local Storm Report and Public Information Statement highlighting the damage, flooding and wind measurement and rainfall totals from Irene’s impact on the region remains on the WX1BOX web site. In addition, the NWS Taunton Post Tropical Cyclone Report has also been posted and archived to the WX1BOX web site and a link to that has been added below..
..Additional post storm information including information on After Action Reports on the response and recovery from Irene will be posted in a future SKYWARN post storm coordination message or SKYWARN Newsletter..

ARRL ARES E-Letter link:
http://www.arrl.org/ares-el?issue=2011-09-28

NWS Taunton Post Tropical Cyclone Report for Hurricane/Tropical Storm Irene:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/psh_9_1_11.txt

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/LSR_8_28_11.txt

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_8_29_11.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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