Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday 7/17/12 Self-Activation/Wednesday 7/18/12 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..SKYWARN is self-activated this evening for portions of Southern New Hampshire for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms that are near the area. This should gradually wane overnight..
..Scattered to Numerous Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are likely across much of Southern New England from midday Wednesday to Wednesday Evening. Damaging Winds, Large Hail, and urban/poor drainage flooding are the primary threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a Slight Risk for Severe Weather Across Much of Southern New England including coastal areas..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM Wednesday through Wednesday Evening..

The bulk of Tuesday’s severe weather occurred over Northern New England, however, an isolated severe thunderstorm snuck into Manchester, NH causing isolated damage. See the Local Storm Report below:

http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1207180041.nwus51.html

Wednesday has the potential to be an active severe weather day across much of Southern New England as a cold front brings an end to the latest round of heat and humidity affecting the region. There should be sufficient heating and destablization ahead of the cold front to allow for an unstable atmosphere. Wind Shear profiles also appear favorable for scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. Threat timeframe could start as early as midday Wednesday lasting through Wednesday Evening. SPC and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a slight risk for severe weather and it is noted that much of the region is in the 30% severe weather probability area.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM lasting through Wednesday Evening. Another coordination message will be issued by 9 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/latest.acus02.KWNS.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

Hello to all..

..SKYWARN is self-activated this evening for portions of Southern New Hampshire for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms that are near the area. This should gradually wane overnight..
..Scattered to Numerous Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are likely across much of Southern New England from midday Wednesday to Wednesday Evening. Damaging Winds, Large Hail, and urban/poor drainage flooding are the primary threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a Slight Risk for Severe Weather Across Much of Southern New England including coastal areas..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM Wednesday through Wednesday Evening..

The bulk of Tuesday’s severe weather occurred over Northern New England, however, an isolated severe thunderstorm snuck into Manchester, NH causing isolated damage. See the Local Storm Report below:

http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1207180041.nwus51.html

Wednesday has the potential to be an active severe weather day across much of Southern New England as a cold front brings an end to the latest round of heat and humidity affecting the region. There should be sufficient heating and destablization ahead of the cold front to allow for an unstable atmosphere. Wind Shear profiles also appear favorable for scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. Threat timeframe could start as early as midday Wednesday lasting through Wednesday Evening. SPC and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a slight risk for severe weather and it is noted that much of the region is in the 30% severe weather probability area.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM lasting through Wednesday Evening. Another coordination message will be issued by 9 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/latest.acus02.KWNS.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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