Storm Coordination Message #2 – Remnants of Nicole Impacts Late Tonight into late Saturday Morning

Hello to all…

..The remnants of Nicole will combine with a frontal system to bring the potential for heavy rainfall of 1-2 inches with isolated higher amounts, urban and poor drainage flooding in Western New England and strong to damaging winds in Southeast New England with rainfall of around 1″ of rain with isolated higher amounts in this area..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect from 10 PM Friday Evening through 11 AM Saturday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island including Block Island for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts to around 55 MPH possible. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Wind gusts outside the advisory will be in the 35-45 MPH range with the highest gusts at locations closest to the advisory area.
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the heavy rainfall and strong wind potential with the remnants of Nicole for late tonight into late Saturday Morning..

The remnants of Nicole will impact Southern New England late tonight into late Saturday Morning. Following the remnants of Nicole will be a warm Saturday Afternoon with temperatures around 70 degrees before colder air more like November moves in Sunday and a good portion of next week. The headlines depict the current thinking on the remnants of Nicole. Key factors include:

1.) Flooding should be minimal but any localized areas that get higher rainfall rates in convective heavy showers or any thunderstorms could see typical urban and poor drainage flooding especially in the vicinity of an clogged storm drains due to leaf drop across the region.
2.) The strong to damaging wind potential is greatest in Southeast New England with Wind Advisories in effect. These winds will increase and be strongest in two timeframes, one late tonight and then again towards daybreak between 5-10 AM along and ahead of a possible fine line of convective showers and thunderstorms. This activity along with temperatures will determine the strength and how widespread the strong to damaging winds will get in the region and the extent of power outages. While some trees still have leaves on them, many trees have lost their leaves which should help mitigate the wind impacts to a degree.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the heavy rainfall and strong wind potential with the remnants of Nicole for late tonight into late Saturday Morning. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the Area Forecast Discussion, Wind Advisory Statement and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Remnants of Nicole Impacts Late Friday Night 11/11/22 into late Saturday Morning 11/12/22

Hello to all…

..The remnants of Nicole will combine with a frontal system to bring the potential for heavy rainfall of 1-2 inches with isolated higher amounts, urban and poor drainage flooding in Western New England and strong to damaging winds in Southeast New England with rainfall of around 1″ of rain with isolated higher amounts in this area..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 10 PM Friday Evening through 11 AM Saturday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Eastern Kent, Bristol, Washington and Newport Counties of Rhode Island including Block Island for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the heavy rainfall and strong wind potential with the remnants of Nicole for late Friday Night into late Saturday Morning. A more complete coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Friday Morning. Below is the Area Forecast Discussion, Wind Advisory Statement and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org

Special Announcement: NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Preparedness Week Winter Weather Safety Web Page – Public Information Statements & Infographics – 10/31/22-11/4/22

Hello to all…

During the week of October 31st through November 4th 2022, NWS Boston/Norton put out Public Information Statements & Infographics for Winter Weather Preparedness Week. The winter months are approaching and now is the time to prepare for the season. Below are links to the NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statements, Infographics and Winter Safety web site for Winter Weather Preparedness Week:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Safety Web Site:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter_safety

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Preparedness Week Infographics:
NWS_Boston_Norton_Winter_Weather_Preparedness_Week_2022

NWS Boston/Norton Public Information Statements – Winter Weather Preparedness Week:
PNS_11_4_22_Winter_Preparedness_Week

We hope this information is useful as we move into the Winter season.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org

Special Announcement: New Experimental Winter Storm Warning Criteria for This Season for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts

Hello to all…

NWS Boston/Norton has announced a new experimental Winter Storm Warning criteria for this season for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts. The details are listed in the Public Information Statement listed below:

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202210201417-KBOX-NOUS41-PNSBOX

We are passing this along for the awareness of all Amateur Radio and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters in the region. Thanks!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday Night 10/13/22-Friday Morning 10/14/22 – Heavy Rain/Strong Wind/Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Heavy Rainfall with strong winds expected across much of Southern New England tonight into Friday Morning bringing it with it the potential for Isolated to Scattered Pockets of Tree and Wire Damage, Isolated power outages and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and possibly some small river and stream flooding..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect from 8 PM Thursday Evening through Friday Morning for Northern Connecticut, North Central Rhode Island, Western and Central Massachusetts for rainfall amounts of 2-4″ with isolated higher amounts possible. Areas outside of the flood watch area will likely see a general 1-2″ rainfall with isolated higher amounts..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 2 AM to 11 AM Friday for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and from 5 AM-1 PM Friday for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Essex County Massachusetts for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with wind gusts of 40-50 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Areas outside of the advisory area will see wind gusts of around 40 MPH with the potential for higher gusts in any convective showers and thunderstorms..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the heavy rainfall and strong wind potential Thursday Night into Friday Morning..

A strong cold front and storm system will bring the region heavy rains, strong to damaging winds and perhaps the potential for convective straightline wind damage and perhaps a brief isolated spin-up due to strong winds aloft and turning in the atmosphere. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) Development of any low topped thunderstorms that could enhance the strong to damaging wind potential and perhaps allow for a brief spin-up
2.) Exact placement of heavy rainfall. Currently, the Flood Watch area is where the heaviest rainfall is expected
3.) How much wind can mix to the surface in or ahead of convective showers and thunderstorms

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the heavy rainfall and strong wind potential Thursday Night into Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=FFA&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday Night 10/4/22-Wednesday Morning 10/5/22 Heavy Rainfall Potential

Hello to all…

..Heavy Rainfall is expected in portions of Southeast Massachusetts through Wednesday Morning where rainfall of 1-2.5″ has already fallen in portions of Plymouth and Barnstable Counties through Tuesday Evening and an additional 1-2″ of rain with isolated higher amounts are possible. This rainfall could lead to localized urban and poor drainage flooding. Wind Gusts of 30-40 MPH with isolated higher gusts are also possible along the immediate East and South Coastal Massachusetts and South Coastal Rhode Island. A reminder that the NWS Boston/Norton Doppler Radar remains down due to scheduled maintenance..
..Given the planned radar outage, ground truth rain gauge reports will be critical to the rainfall forecast and SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for all rain gauge reports, any flooding issues along with any wind gusts 40 MPH or greater and any isolated wind damage reports. This will be the only coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org

Special Announcement: Amateur Radio Hurricane Nets Activating for Major Hurricane Ian & Florida Impacts

Hello to all…

The Amateur Radio VoIP Hurricane Net and Hurricane Watch Net will be active for Major Hurricane Ian and impacts on Florida. Details on their net activation plans can be seen at the following links:

VoIP Hurricane Net:
https://www.voipwx.net

Hurricane Watch Net:
https://www.hwn.org

For any SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators in our region who may have friends and family in the affected area and have the ability to provide surface weather or damage reports, pictures and videos, reports can be provided over these nets with pictures and videos provided to WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org

We hope everyone in the affected area of Florida stays safe as major Hurricane Ian approaches.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org

Special Announcement: NWS Boston/Norton WSR88D Doppler Radar Will Be Down for One Week Starting Thursday AM 9/29/22 for Scheduled Maintenance

Hello to all…

The NWS Boston/Norton WSR88D Doppler Radar will be down for approximately 7 days starting Thursday Morning 9/29/22 for scheduled maintenance. The details on the maintenance and the work being done as part of the WSR88D service life extension program can be seen at the following link:

https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202209262006-KBOX-NOUS41-PNSBOX

We hope this information is useful if any severe weather occurs in our area during the time period beginning Thursday morning 9/29/22 when the radar will be out of service.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org

Special Announcement: Off Topic Post – Big-E Space Chat – Tuesday September 27th, 2022 Starting at 120 PM

Hello to all…

For interested Amateur Radio and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters, there will be an Amateur Radio space chat at the Big-E – Tuesday 9/27/22 starting at 120 PM. Amateur Radio Operators who provide a valid license can get into the Big-E with 3 additional family members (4 people total) for free to see the space chat. The details are listed below:

The BIG E Space Chat

We hope folks can attend this space chat as it will be a major PR event for Amateur Radio and its hoped that many may be inspired to get their Amateur Radio license and join the ranks for the Amateur Radio service!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday 9/25/22 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible across much of Southern New England with the greatest risk along and south of the Mass Pike. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy downpours leading to urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather with the timeframe for severe weather between 3 PM-12 AM this Sunday Afternoon and Evening..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for this Sunday Afternoon and Evening..

A warm front will move across Southern New England and will be accompanied by strong shear. Instability is questionable and will depend on how much surface heating we get ahead of the warm front. At this time, some heating is possible and it will be a question of whether those instability levels are sufficient or strong shear can compensate for limited instability for the formation of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. The main threat timeframe is after 3 PM today until late tonight and there is sufficient risk where SPC has placed the region in a marginal risk and this will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Sunday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the only coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org

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