Hello to all…

..A storm system will approach Southern New England tomorrow ushering cold air and a period of light snow Monday Afternoon into early evening. Amounts over Southern New England will range from a Coating to 2″. Will watch Southeast New England for isolated higher amounts of greater than 2″ if the precipitation is heavy enough and conditions are sufficiently cold at the surface to allow for accumulation..
..A much more significant and potentially major winter storm will affect Southern New England late Wednesday Night through Thursday with the potential for significant snowfall across Southern New England as well as the potential for strong winds and coastal flooding. All of this will be contingent on the track, speed and intensity of the system. Models have continued to shown this potential for several days but the details of the storm intensity, snow amounts, any cutoff in precipitation for northwest areas and whether any mixed precipitation occurs along the extreme south coast of New England is not certain and will be defined in the coming days..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the light snowfall for Monday and the more significant major winter storm for Wednesday Night into Thursday. Another coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, and snowfall map..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Significant coastal storm on track for impacts across Southern New England late Friday Night through early Sunday Morning. Uncertainty is higher than normal at this time due to high spread in model guidance despite being about 12-18 hours from the potentially significant coastal storm event but there is the potential for heavy rainfall at the coast, heavy rain changing to a heavy wet snow in portions of interior Southern New England along with strong to damaging winds in the coastal areas..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 AM Saturday to 7 AM Sunday for Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and the highest snow amounts above 1000 foot elevation along with wind gusts to 45 MPH. The snow will be heavy and wet and coupled with the strong winds will result in scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Saturday Morning through Sunday Morning for Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts and Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut for 6″ or more of snow. The snow will have the potential to be heavy and wet and if it accumulates 4″ or more along with the potential of wind gusts up to 45 MPH, there will be the potential for scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages..
..Northwest Rhode Island and other parts of Northern Connecticut and interior Eastern Massachusetts could also see accumulating snow depending on the track speed and intensity of this coastal storm..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 1 PM Saturday Afternoon to Midnight Saturday Night for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible. Other areas of Eastern New England could see wind gusts up to 50 MPH with higher gusts and Wind Advisories could be needed in later updates. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm throughout the duration of the event. It is noted that this storm is coinciding with SKYWARN Recognition Day (SRD) and the WX1BOX Amateur Radio team will make a best effort to continue to support this event per current plans with the understanding that storm operations will take precedence and an updated SRD message will be sent later this evening..

Models are depicting and on track for a significant storm to affect the Mid-Atlantic and New England late Friday Night through Sunday Morning. That being said there is larger than normal spread in the guidance in terms of track and intensity and where intensification occurs which will have significant impacts to the forecast. Key factors include:

1.) How the jet streams phase and does that occur close enough to Southern New England. Some of the reliable model guidance certainly depicts that to be close to Southern New England for significant impacts. At this time, the eastern trend has halted and has trended back a bit west along with pretty much all model guidance calling for significant impacts from this storm.
2.) The higher terrain areas will have the potential to experience the most snow. At this time, highest confidence is in the Winter Storm Warning area of Worcester through Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts though the axis could shift a bit west or east depending on storm position and where the rapid intensification occurs. Other parts of the Winter Storm Watch area could see these heavier impacts and its a question of whether its western or eastern parts of the watch area. There is the potential for high snowfall rates of 2-3″ per hour and with the potential for heavy wet snow, there is an increased risk for numerous trees and wires down and numerous power outages wherever this band sets up and where snow is 4″ or more in the area. At this time, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts are at the highest risk of this potential but other parts of the Winter Storm Watch area could see this potential.
3.) The intensity of the winds will be determined by the track, speed and intensity of the storm system. Currently inland wind gusts are expected to be 40-50 MPH with isolated higher gusts and wind gusts of 50-60 MPH with isolated higher wind gusts across coastal Southern New England. High Wind Warnings are now up for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts with Wind Advisories possible for other parts of Eastern New England.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm throughout the duration of the event. It is noted that this storm is coinciding with SKYWARN Recognition Day (SRD) and the WX1BOX Amateur Radio team will make a best effort to continue to support this event per current plans with the understanding that storm operations will take precedence and an updated SRD message will be sent later this evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 1030 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement, High Wind Warning Statement, Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall and Rainfall Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Rainfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/crh/pqpf?sid=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Potentially significant coastal storm could have potential impacts across Southern New England late Friday Night through early Sunday Morning. Uncertainty is higher than normal at this time due to high spread in model guidance despite being about 30-36 hours from the potentially significant coastal storm event but there is the potential for heavy rainfall at the coast, heavy rain changing to a heavy wet snow in portions of interior Southern New England along with strong to damaging winds in the coastal areas..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Morning through Sunday Morning for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester, North-Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties and is now expanded to Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester and Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 6″ or more of snow. The snow will have the potential to be heavy and wet and if it accumulates 4″ or more along with the potential of wind gusts up to 45 MPH, there will be the potential for scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages..
..Areas of Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and other parts of interior Eastern Massachusetts could also see accumulating snow depending on the track speed and intensity of this coastal storm..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect from Saturday Afternoon through Saturday Evening for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible. Other areas of Eastern New England could see wind gusts up to 50 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm throughout the duration of the event. It is noted that this storm is coinciding with SKYWARN Recognition Day (SRD) and the WX1BOX Amateur Radio team will make a best effort to continue to support this event per current plans with the understanding that storm operations will take precedence and an updated SRD message will be sent later this evening..

Models are depicting a potentially significant storm to affect the Mid-Atlantic and New England late Friday Night through Sunday Morning. That being said there is larger than normal spread in the guidance in terms of track and intensity and where intensification occurs which will have significant impacts to the forecast. Key factors include:

1.) How the jet streams phase and does that occur close enough to Southern New England. Some of the reliable model guidance certainly depicts that to be close to Southern New England for significant impacts. At this time, the eastern trend has halted and has trended back a bit west along with pretty much all model guidance calling for significant impacts from this storm.
2.) The higher terrain areas will have the potential to experience the most snow. What areas of the higher terrain and whether its Northwest Massachusetts or more towards North-Central and Northeast Massachusetts possibly extending into Northwest Rhode Island, Northern Connecticut and other interior parts of Eastern Massachusetts will be determined in future model runs. There is the potential for high snowfall rates of 2-3″ per hour and with the potential for heavy wet snow, there is an increased risk for numerous trees and wires down and numerous power outages wherever this band sets up and where snow is 4″ or more in the area.
3.) The intensity of the winds will be determined by the track, speed and intensity of the storm system. Currently inland wind gusts are expected to be 40-50 MPH with isolated higher gusts and wind gusts of 50-60 MPH with isolated higher wind gusts across coastal Southern New England. This represents an increase in the wind potential since the last update.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm throughout the duration of the event. It is noted that this storm is coinciding with SKYWARN Recognition Day (SRD) and the WX1BOX Amateur Radio team will make a best effort to continue to support this event per current plans with the understanding that storm operations will take precedence and an updated SRD message will be sent later this evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 1030 PM Friday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall and Rainfall Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Rainfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/crh/pqpf?sid=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Potentially significant coastal storm could have potential impacts across Southern New England late Friday Night through early Sunday Morning. Uncertainty is higher than normal at this time due to high spread in model guidance despite being about 30-36 hours from the potentially significant coastal storm event but there is the potential for heavy rainfall at the coast, heavy rain changing to a heavy wet snow in portions of interior Southern New England along with strong to damaging winds in the coastal areas..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Morning through Sunday Morning for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester, North-Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6″ or more of snow. The snow will have the potential to be heavy and wet and if it accumulates 4″ or more, there will be the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Areas of Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and interior Eastern Massachusetts could also see accumulating snow depending on the track speed and intensity of this coastal storm..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm throughout the duration of the event. It is noted that this storm is coinciding with SKYWARN Recognition Day (SRD) and the WX1BOX Amateur Radio team will make a best effort to continue to support this event per current plans with the understanding that storm operations will take precedence and an updated SRD message will be sent later this evening..

Models are depicting a potentially significant storm to affect the Mid-Atlantic and New England late Friday Night through Sunday Morning. That being said there is larger than normal spread in the guidance in terms of track and intensity and where intensification occurs which will have significant impacts to the forecast. Key factors include:

1.) How the jet streams phase and does that occur close enough to Southern New England. Some of the reliable model guidance certainly depicts that to be close to Southern New England for significant impacts. Other reliable guidance is a bit more offshore which would lead to less significant impacts especially in terms of snow.
2.) The higher terrain areas will have the potential to experience the most snow. What areas of the higher terrain and whether its Northwest Massachusetts or more towards North-Central and Northeast Massachusetts possibly extending into Northwest Rhode Island, Northern Connecticut and other interior parts of Eastern Massachusetts will be determined in future model runs.
3.) The intensity of the winds will be determined by the track, speed and intensity of the storm system. Currently inland wind gusts are expected to be 30-40 MPH with wind gusts of 40-50 MPH with isolated higher wind gusts across coastal Southern New England.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm throughout the duration of the event. It is noted that this storm is coinciding with SKYWARN Recognition Day (SRD) and the WX1BOX Amateur Radio team will make a best effort to continue to support this event per current plans with the understanding that storm operations will take precedence and an updated SRD message will be sent later this evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall and Rainfall Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Rainfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/crh/pqpf?sid=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Powerful storm system will bring heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds, the possibility for Isolated Strong to Severe Thunderstorms and possibly some minor coastal splashover to minor coastal flooding to Southeast New England Monday Afternoon through early Tuesday Morning..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 3 PM Monday to 1 AM Tuesday for Eastern Essex, Norfolk, Bristol, Plymouth Counties, Cape Cod and the Islands and all of Rhode Island except for Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts possible. These winds will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 3 PM Monday to 1 AM Tuesday for Northern Connecticut, Hampden, Worcester, Middlesex, Western Essex, Western Norfolk, Suffolk, Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence County of Rhode Island for sustained winds of 15-30 MPH with gusts up to 50 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts possible. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has expanded the marginal risk for severe weather for Monday into almost all of Massachusetts as well as Rhode Island and Connecticut with damaging winds brought to the surface in any thunderstorms as the main threat..
..Rainfall of 1-3″ with isolated higher amounts could cause urban and poor drainage flooding. Strong winds may cause minor splashover to minor coastal flooding in Southeast New England..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm for rainfall reports, rainfall and coastal related flooding and measured wind gust and wind damage reports..

A powerful storm system will track west of Southern New England putting the region in the strong to damaging wind, heavy rain side of the storm with even the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms in Southeast New England. The headlines depict the latest thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The strength of the low level winds and the ability of the strong winds to reach the surface in either heavy rainfall or thunderstorms to cause higher wind gusts. The timeframe from 3 PM Monday-1 AM Tuesday is where the highest winds are expected with strong to damaging winds possibly lasting beyond 1 AM Tuesday over Cape Cod and the Islands.
2.) Depending on instability levels and wind fields, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out in the marginal severe weather risk area and it is noted that the marginal risk for severe weather has been expanded to all of Massachusetts except for the Northwest part of the state.
3.) Heaviest and higher end rainfall amounts and how widespread they are based on thunderstorm development or how widespread the heavy rain swath is.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm for rainfall reports, rainfall and coastal related flooding and measured wind gust and wind damage reports. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Powerful storm system will bring heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds, the possibility for Isolated Strong to Severe Thunderstorms and possibly some minor coastal splashover to minor coastal flooding to Southeast New England Monday Afternoon through early Tuesday Morning..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect for Monday Afternoon and Evening for Eastern Essex, Eastern Norfolk, Bristol, Plymouth Counties, Cape Cod and the Islands and all of Rhode Island except Northwest Rhode Island for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible. A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 3 PM to 12 AM for Central and Southeast Middlesex, Western Essex, Suffolk, and Western Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH with isolated gusts possible. These winds will result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and power line damage..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) continues Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts in a marginal risk for severe weather for Monday with damaging winds brought to the surface in any thunderstorms as the main threat..
..Rainfall of 1-3″ with isolated higher amounts could cause urban and poor drainage flooding. Strong winds may cause minor splashover to minor coastal flooding in Southeast New England..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm for rainfall reports, rainfall and coastal related flooding and measured wind gust and wind damage reports..

A powerful storm system will track west of Southern New England putting the region in the strong to damaging wind, heavy rain side of the storm with even the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms in Southeast New England. The headlines depict the latest thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The strength of the low level winds and the ability of the strong winds to reach the surface in either heavy rainfall or thunderstorms to cause higher wind gusts. The timeframe from 3 PM-12 AM is where the highest winds are expected with strong to damaging winds possibly lasting beyond 12 AM Tuesday over Cape Cod and the Islands.
2.) Depending on instability levels and wind fields, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out in the marginal severe weather risk area of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts and will be monitored closely.
3.) Heaviest and higher end rainfall amounts and how widespread they are based on thunderstorm development or how widespread the heavy rain swath is.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm for rainfall reports, rainfall and coastal related flooding and measured wind gust and wind damage reports. Another coordination message will be posted by 1030 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory Statement, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2020/day2otlk_20201129_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Powerful storm system will bring heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds, the possibility for Isolated Strong to Severe Thunderstorms and possibly some minor coastal splashover to minor coastal flooding to Southeast New England Monday Afternoon through early Tuesday Morning..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Monday Afternoon and Evening for Eastern Essex, Eastern Norfolk, Bristol, Plymouth Counties, Cape Cod and the Islands and all of Rhode Island except Northwest Rhode Island for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible. Much of the rest of Southern New England could see wind gusts as high as 50 MPH with isolated higher wind gusts. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages. The timeframe of strongest winds is from 2 PM Monday through 1 AM Tuesday..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts in a marginal risk for severe weather for Monday with damaging winds brought to the surface in any thunderstorms as the main threat..
..Rainfall of 1-3″ with isolated higher amounts could cause urban and poor drainage flooding. Strong winds may cause minor splashover to minor coastal flooding in Southeast New England..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm for rainfall reports, rainfall and coastal related flooding and measured wind gust and wind damage reports..

A powerful storm system will track west of Southern New England putting the region in the strong to damaging wind, heavy rain side of the storm with even the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms in Southeast New England. The headlines depict the latest thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The strength of the low level winds and the ability of the strong winds to reach the surface in either heavy rainfall or thunderstorms to cause higher wind gusts.
2.) Heaviest and higher end rainfall amounts and how widespread they are based on thunderstorm development or how widespread the heavy rain swath is.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm for rainfall reports, rainfall and coastal related flooding and measured wind gust and wind damage reports. Another coordination message will be posted by 1030 PM Sunday evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, High Wind Watch Statement, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Watch Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

**SKYWARN Recognition Day 2020 will occur this year but modified due to COVID19 and the fact NWS offices are not allowed to have volunteer Amateur Radio Operators at any NWS office due to COVID. In addition, a social media component will be added to engage non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters more with 2020’SRD. This is the final detailed announcement.**
**We apologize for not doing an earlier SRD post earlier this week. This was due to the significant storm system that affected the region Monday Afternoon into Tuesday Morning and the upcoming storm system for Saturday into Saturday Night**
**Please note due to the significant winter storm expected for Saturday, we will be actively looking for reports of measured snowfall, rainfall, and storm damage from wet snow and damaging winds. This could take priority over SRD operations causing some schedule misses for SRD from a repeater perspective. We are going to make a best effort to do both efforts in parallel**

Due to COVID19, typical WX1BOX Amateur Radio Operations will not occur at NWS Boston/Norton. The WX1BOX Amateur Radio team will be operating remotely via their home stations. In addition, the Boston Amateur Radio Club has cancelled their operations from Blue Hill for 2020 but will operate remotely. The NWS Gray Maine office cannot be active at the office due to the same restrictions on volunteers at NWS offices nationwide but will have remote SRD operation for 2020.

For WX1BOX Amateur Radio operations, we will cover the typical SKYWARN repeaters on VHF/UHF as well as simplex and be on HF via the various remote home stations along with our WX1BOX social media pages. In addition, contacts with other Amateur Radio SKYWARN stations will count towards NWS certificates. Further, there will be a social media component to engage non-Amateur Radio and Amateur Radio SKYWARN spotter alike. The current set of information is available and additional information will be made available on the SKYWARN Recognition Day (SRD) web site via the following link:
https://www.weather.gov/crh/skywarnrecognition

Also, all participants are welcome to register on the SRD web site. They can obtain a SRD number. The SRD Number for this year is part of the qso exchange but is not a requirement. It is something new for this year so as always there will likely be some glitches and delays in getting the SRD number but if you register and obtain your SRD number, please feel free to add that to your exchange.

There is also a SKYWARN Recognition Day (SRD) Facebook group open to all SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators. The Facebook group link is listed below:
https://www.facebook.com/groups/skywarnrecognitionday

On the web, the following link on the WX1BOX home page will feature all SRD updates for WX1BOX operations as well as social media efforts that can include SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators alike:
https://wx1box.org/2020/11/27/srd20/

Here is the SRD Schedule for 2020 for local repeater operation and this will be covered by various Amateurs from home stations using WX1BOX portable and then their personal call-sign:

Friday December 4th, 2020:
7:00-7:30 PM: 146.970-Paxton Repeater (PL: 114.8 Hz)
7:30-8:00 PM: 147.180-Bridgewater Repeater (PL: 67.0 Hz)
8:00-8:30 PM: 147.000-Dartmouth Repeater (PL: 67.0 Hz)
8:30-9:00 PM: 146.955-Westford Repeater (PL: 74.4 Hz)
9:00-9:30 PM: 146.790-Vernon, CT Repeater (PL: 82.5 Hz) (linked via IRLP.)
9:30-10:00 PM: 147.225-Killingly, CT Repeater (PL: 156.7 Hz)
10:00-10:30 PM: 145.470-Danvers, MA Repeater (PL: 136.5 Hz)
10:30-11:00 PM: 146.640-Waltham Repeater (PL: 136.5 Hz)
11:00-11:30 PM: KA1RCI Repeater System
11:30 PM-12:00 AM: 146.955-Barnstable, MA Repeater PL: 88.5 or 147.375-Falmouth Repeater PL: 110.9

**Will Attempt to monitor both the New England Network and the *WX-TALK*/IRLP Reflector 9219 systems during this entire timeframe.
**It is possible we may switch off to different repeaters or simplex during time slots if we run out of contacts.

Saturday December 5th 2020:
7:00-8:30 AM: 146.595 Simplex
8:30-9:00 AM: Litchfield County Linked System via KB1AEV repeater system
9:00-9:30 AM: 145.230-Boston Repeater (PL: 88.5 Hz)
9:30-10:00 AM: 146.640-Waltham Repeater (PL: 67.0 Hz)
10:00-11:00 AM: We will participate in the Eastern Massachusetts Hospital Net
11:00-11:30 AM: 146.895-Walpole Repeater (PL: 123.0 Hz)
11:30-12:00 PM: 147.225-Killingly, CT Repeater (PL: 156.7 Hz)
12:00-12:30 PM: 145.470-Danvers Repeater (PL: 136.5 Hz)
12:30-100 PM: 146.790-Vernon, CT Repeater (Linked via IRLP.)
1:00-1:30 PM: 146.595 Simplex
1:30-2:00 PM: 145.37-Gardner/145.45-Fitchburg/147.39 Repeaters via IRLP 9122
2:00-2:30 PM: 146.685-Plymouth Repeater (PL: 131.8 Hz)
2:30-3:00 PM: 145.170-Cumberland, RI Repeater (PL: 67.0 Hz) Part of the KA1RCI Network
3:00-3:30 PM: 146.970-Paxton Repeater (PL: 114.8 Hz)
3:30-4:00 PM: 146.955-Westford Repeater (PL: 74.4 Hz)
4:00-4:30 PM: 146.955-Barnstable (PL: 88.5 Hz) or 147.375-Falmouth Repeater (PL: 110.9 Hz)
4:30-5:00 PM: 145.170-Cumberland, RI Repeater (PL: 67.0 Hz) Part of the KA1RCI Network
5:00-5:30 PM: 146.760-Scituate, RI Repeater (PL: 67.0 Hz)
5:30-6:00 PM: 147.000-Dartmouth Repeater (PL: 67.0 Hz)
6:00-6:30 PM: 147.180-Bridgewater Repeater (PL: 67.0 Hz)
6:30-7:00 PM: 147.225-Whitman Repeater (PL: 67.0 Hz)

The VoIP Operations on the *WX_TALK* Echolink conference node: 7203/IRLP 9219 system will still take place for 2020’SRD. Here is the info regarding Echolink/IRLP operations:

Due to COVID19, volunteer Amateur Radio Operators are not allowed to be at NWS Forecast Offices. Forecast offices will be represented by Amateur Radio Operators at home and possibly by some NWS employees from actual NWS offices.

As in past years, the EchoLink *WX_TALK* Node: 7203/IRLP reflector 9219 system will be scheduling time for NWS offices and due to COVID, Amateur Operators who typically are at weather service hours, in 1-2 hour time slots to act as a net control to make contacts with spotters that are on the system. If a NWS office/SKYWARN NWS Operator runs out of contacts and there are other NWS offices on the system, the NWS office/SKYWARN Operator acting as net control can turn it over to a different NWS office to act as a net control on the system at their discretion. Also, for this year, we will have the following modes connected in through the efforts of KC5FM-Lloyd Colston and VK3JED-Tony Langdon. They are as follows:

Allstar 28848
Hamshack Hotline 94032
IRLP 9550
AllStar 27154
DMR BM TG 50535
P25 TG 50535
YSF reflector 50535 (narrow mode only)
D-STAR XLX432 D (DCS432 D)

Below is the 2020 SRD Schedule with the time slots confirmed so far for 2020 and those time slots relinquished by NWS offices/SKYWARN NWS Office Amateurs. See the list of NWS offices run by SKYWARN NWS Office Amateurs below:

Time in UTC NWS Office Call-Sign
0000-0100: N0NWS (Confirmed time slot from last year)
0100-0200: WX1GYX (Confirmed time slot from last year)
0200-0300: WX7SLC (Confirmed time slot from last year)
0300-0400: WX9GRB
0400-0500: WX1BOX (Confirmed Time slot from last year)
0500-0600: WX9LOT (Confirmed Time slot from last year)
0600-0700: WX4HUN (Confirmed time slot from last year)
0700-0800: WX8APX (Confirmed time slot from last year)
0800-0900: WX8APX (Confirmed time slot from last year)
0900-1000: Open
1000-1100: WX7SLC (Confirmed time slot from last year)
1100-1200: Open (WX7SLC relinquished this time slot for this year for the 1300-1400z time slot)
1200-1300: W7NWS
1300-1400: WX7SLC (New time slot for this year)
1400-1500: WX1AW
1500-1600: WX1BOX (Confirmed time slot from last year)
1600-1700: WX4NC (Confirmed time slot from last year)
1700-1800: WX4JKL (New NWS office for this year)
1800-1900: WX6LOX
1900-2000: K0MPX
2000-2100: WX4JKL (New NWS office for this year)
2100-2300: WX4NHC (Confirmed time slot from last year)
2300-2400: Open (Time slot relinquished in 2020 by WX6NWS)

There will be other conference systems utilized for SKYWARN Recognition Day. They are as follows:

The New England Reflector Gateway System will be utilized by the NWS Boston/Norton, Mass. and NWS Gray, Maine offices from 0000-0500 UTC and 1200-2400 UTC. The New England Gateway system is on EchoLink Conference server *NEW-ENG3* Node: 9123, IRLP reflector 9123. If other NWS offices would like to join the system, they are welcome to do so and participants in SKYWARN Recognition Day can also use that system to make contact with various NWS offices. This is a great place to move off the *WX_TALK* Node: 7203/IRLP 9219 system after your scheduled time if other Amateurs or NWS offices whish to make contact with you.

Also, the Western Reflector will be having NWS offices calling CQ as in past years and have multiple reflector channels and Echolink conferences available. There is reflector 9250/Echolink Conference *HI-GATE* node: 357564, IRLP 9251 and the *WORLD* Echolink Conference node: 479886, IRLP 9257/*DCF-ARC* Echolink Conference node: 336037 and IRLP 9258/EchoLink Conference *NV-GATE* Node: 152566 open for NWS offices. Please contact Kent-W7AOR for additional information on the Western Reflector.

A few technical reminders for folks interested in making contacts with the NWS Forecast Offices on the *WX-TALK* Node: 7203/IRLP 9219 and New England Reflector Gateway IRLP 9123/*NEW-ENG3* Echolink Node: 9123 systems:

-The system allows both EchoLink and IRLP connections. For EchoLink users, you connect to the *WX-TALK* Node: 7203 conference system. For IRLP users, you would connect to IRLP reflector 9219.

-If you are using EchoLink, the RF node or PC that you’re using must have EchoLink conferencing disabled. If it is not disabled, the system will automatically kick the node or PC off of the system. The reason this occurs is to prevent unintentional interference from a conferencing station that may not know the node is connected somewhere else. This will keep traffic moving on the net and reduce interference considerably.

For more information on VoIP Technical Configuration Tips, please go to our web site at http://www.voipwx.net where we have a link to that information on the main menu of the web site. This announcement will also be on the web site.

We are looking forward to another fun SKYWARN Recognition Day on the *WX-TALK* Node: 7203/IRLP reflector 9219 system, Allstar 28848 along with DMR/DSTAR and other modes provided by VK3JED-Tony, New England Reflector Gateway system and Western Reflector system. Thanks to all for their support!

Thanks to all for their continued support of the NWS Boston/Norton SKYWARN program!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Strong cold front will make its way through Southern New England and bring with it the potential for strong to damaging winds and a convective fine line of showers and thunderstorms which will likely enhance the wind damage potential as it is becoming more likely that this line develops as models indicated. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed all of Southern New England in a marginal to slight risk for severe weather with the slight risk area covering most of Connecticut and West-Central Rhode Island..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect from 5 PM Sunday until 1 AM Monday for all of Rhode Island, Cape Cod and the Islands and Southern Worcester, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Essex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol, and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Other areas could see wind gusts to 40-45 MPH with much higher gusts in the convective line of showers and thunderstorms likely. These winds will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong to damaging wind and severe weather potential for Sunday Afternoon through early Monday Morning..

A strong cold front will have the potential to bring general strong to damaging winds with a possible enhanced setup for damaging winds in a fine line of showers and thunderstorms that potentially develops and sweeps through the region. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The environment can be characterized by a low instability/high shear environment. It is appearing more likely that the jet dynamics and wind shear aloft can compensate for lower instability, and that means the wind damage threat from a convective line of showers and thunderstorms is increasing. Trends will be monitored closely regarding the evolution of this convective line of showers and thunderstorms.
2.) If instability is higher than projected with the current projections for strong to damaging winds aloft, that would also increase the threat for damaging winds in the region. At this time, given the jet dynamics, the instability while relatively low will be sufficient for a fine line of convective showers and thunderstorms and an increasing wind damage threat.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong to damaging wind and severe weather potential for Sunday Afternoon through early Monday Morning. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Wind Advisory Statement, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..Strong cold front will make its way through Southern New England and bring with it the potential for strong to damaging winds and a convective fine line of showers and thunderstorms which could enhance the wind damage potential if this line develops as models indicate. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has the region in a general thunderstorm risk with a potential upgrade possible in future outlooks..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 5 PM Sunday until 1 AM Monday for all of Rhode Island, Cape Cod and the Islands and Southern Worcester, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Essex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol, and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Other areas could see wind gusts to 40-45 MPH with higher gusts and could mean expansion of wind advisories in future updates. These winds will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong to damaging wind and severe weather potential for Sunday Afternoon through early Monday Morning..

A strong cold front will have the potential to bring general strong to damaging winds with a possible enhanced setup for damaging winds in a fine line of showers and thunderstorms that potentially develops and sweeps through the region. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The environment can be characterized by a low instability/high shear environment. If the jet dynamics and wind shear aloft can compensate for lower instability, the wind damage threat from a convective line of showers and thunderstorms increases.
2.) If instability is higher than projected with the current projections for strong to damaging winds aloft, that would also increase the threat for damaging winds in the region.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong to damaging wind and severe weather potential for Sunday Afternoon through early Monday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Wind Advisory Statement, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2020/day2otlk_20201114_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box