Page 52 – WX1BOX – Amateur Radio Station at NWS Boston/Norton

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Friday Night 5/28/21-Saturday Morning 5/29/21 Heavy Rainfall/Strong Wind Gust Potential

May 28, 2021 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Strong storm system to bring a soaking rainfall of 1-2″ of rain with isolated higher amounts to all of Southern New England and strong wind gusts of 40-50 MPH to Southeast New England..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 2 AM to 2 PM Saturday for Marthas Vineyard and Nantucket for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Wind gusts of 35-45 MPH are likely across Cape Cod and Southeast Coastal New England from roughly Plymouth Massachusetts to Westerly Rhode Island. With fully leaved trees, these winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rainfall reports, measured wind gusts of 40 MPH or greater and wind damage reports throughout this storm system. Additional rainfall is expected Sunday Afternoon into Monday Morning. This will be the only coordination message unless a significant update to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, and Rainfall Map..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Rainfall Map:

https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/E2bQdqgVkAERQkk.png

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Uncategorized

Severe Weather Coordination Message #3 – Wednesday 5/26/21 Severe Weather Potential

May 26, 2021 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are likely late Wednesday Afternoon and Evening between 5-10 PM. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats with an isolated tornado or two as a secondary threat.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut in a slight risk for severe weather and North-Central Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and Central and Northeast Massachusetts in a marginal risk for severe weather for Wednesday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for late Wednesday Afternoon and Evening..

Wednesday will feature warm and humid conditions as winds turn to the southwest with a pre-frontal trough and cold front moving into Southern New England Wednesday Afternoon and Wednesday Night. This will set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms in portions of Western and Central New England. The headlines depict the current thinking and conditions are more favorable than we saw on Sunday where no strong to severe thunderstorms developed. Key factors include:

1.) Timing of the cold front through portions of Southern New England. The timing now is expected to be a bit past peak heating after 5-6 PM which could reduce the threat a bit particularly for an isolated tornado or two but with strong wind shear and full sun for the entire today, there remains the threat for some organized isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms in the region.
2.) Amount of instability in the region with sunshine allowing for destabilization is in place in the region so this factor is met.
3.) Wind shear profiles will be favorable for some level of organization to any strong to severe thunderstorms that can develop with the possibility for rotating storms and a secondary threat for an isolated tornado or two but given the timing of the front, these conditions will have to overcome some lessening instability past peak heating of the day.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday 5/26/21 Severe Weather Potential

May 26, 2021 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are likely Wednesday Afternoon and Evening between 2-8 PM. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats with an isolated tornado or two as a secondary threat.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut in a slight risk for severe weather and North-Central Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and Central and Northeast Massachusetts in a marginal risk for severe weather for Wednesday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening..

1.) Timing of the cold front through portions of Southern New England.
2.) Amount of instability in the region with sunshine allowing for destabilization.
3.) Wind shear profiles will be favorable for some level of organization to any strong to severe thunderstorms that can develop with the possibility for rotating storms and a secondary threat for an isolated tornado or two and this aspect will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 AM Wednesday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2021/day2otlk_20210525_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday 5/26/21 Severe Weather Potential

May 25, 2021 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible Wednesday Afternoon and Evening between 2-8 PM. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut in a slight risk for severe weather and North-Central Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and Central and Northeast Massachusetts in a marginal risk for severe weather..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening..

Wednesday will feature warm and humid conditions as winds turn to the southwest with a pre-frontal trough and cold front moving into Southern New England Wednesday Afternoon and Wednesday Night. This will set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms in portions of Western and Central New England. The headlines depict the current thinking and conditions do look a bit more favorable than we saw on Sunday where no strong to severe thunderstorms developed. Key factors include:

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2021/day2otlk_20210525_0600.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Sunday 5/23/21 Severe Weather Potential

May 23, 2021 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday Afternoon and Evening anytime between about 2-8 PM EDT. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lighting and heavy downpours with minor urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) continue much of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather for Sunday.
..In addition, portions of Eastern New England and marine areas could see strong straightline winds for a brief period of time even without thunderstorms present as the frontal passage goes through with brief wind gusts of 40-45 MPH with isolated higher gusts. This could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages in land areas and cause issues for small boaters out on the water in marine areas..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Sunday Afternoon through Evening..

Warm and humid conditions will be prevalent across the region Sunday with a strong cold front pushing through the region. This will setup the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors remain as follows:

1.) Amount of instability that is generated from daytime heating, available moisture and moisture convergence as a cold front sweeps through the area. This will be key in determining storm coverage.
2.) Timing of the cold front through peak heating of the day.
3.) Ability of the forcing of the cold front and favorably strong winds aloft to compensate if instability and moisture levels are limited or the timing of the cold front is not near the time of peak heating.
4.) Even if few thunderstorms develop, the conditions along and ahead of a cold front may allow for a brief period of strong wind gusts particularly in Eastern New England and marine areas and this may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and could be an issue for any small boaters out in marine areas and will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Sunday Afternoon through Evening. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday 5/23/2021 Severe Weather Potential

May 23, 2021 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe thunderstorms are possible Sunday Afternoon and Evening anytime between 1-9 PM EDT. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lighting and heavy downpours with minor urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has much of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather for Sunday. In addition, marine areas could see strong straightline winds for a brief period of time even without thunderstorms present and marine interests should monitor..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Sunday Afternoon through Evening..

1.) Amount of instability that is generated from daytime heating and any leftover showers and cloud cover from Saturday Evening.
2.) Timing of the cold front through peak heating of the day.
3.) Ability of the forcing of the cold front and favorably strong winds aloft to compensate if instability levels are limited or the timing of the cold front is not near the time of peak heating.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the severe weather potential for Sunday Afternoon through Evening. Another Coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Sunday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2021/day2otlk_20210522_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Strong to Damaging Wind Potential Friday Afternoon/Evening 4/30/21-Early Saturday AM 5/1/21

April 30, 2021 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Beneficial Rainfall across Southern New England particularly in Northwest, North-Central and Northeast Massachusetts with rainfall amounts between 1-3″ with isolated 3-4″ amounts across this area and lesser amounts under 1″ in the southern half of Southern New England. Strong to damaging winds will be likely in pockets across much of Southern New England Friday Afternoon and Evening with even some snow showers in higher terrain locations Friday Night..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for the entire NWS Boston/Norton coverage area from 12 PM Friday Afternoon to 2 AM Saturday Morning for sustained winds of 15-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH and isolated higher gusts in the higher terrain and coastal areas. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..There is a chance for some snow showers Friday Night in higher terrain locations above 1000-1500 feet in Western and Central New England including the Worcester Hills, Northeast CT and perhaps even Northwest RI where a coating to 1″ of snow on grassy surfaces is possible with little to no accumulation in lower elevations but the potential for wet snow flakes mixed with rain in those areas..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rainfall reports from Thursday into early Friday Morning and then strong to damaging winds region wide Friday Afternoon and Evening and any snow accumulations in the higher terrain of Western and Central New England. This will be the final coordination message on this storm event. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Wind Gust Map..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Gust Map:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/NWS_Boston_Norton_Wind_Gust_Map_4_30_21.png

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Strong to Damaging Wind Potential – Friday Afternoon and Evening 4/29/21

April 30, 2021 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Beneficial Rainfall across Southern New England particularly in Northwest, North-Central and Northeast Massachusetts will continue through late evening with rainfall amounts between 1-2.5″+ across this area and lesser amounts under 1″ in the southern half of Southern New England. Strong to damaging winds will be likely in pockets across much of Southern New England Friday Afternoon and Evening..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for the entire NWS Boston/Norton coverage area from 12 PM Friday Afternoon through 12 AM Saturday Morning for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH and isolated higher gusts in the higher terrain and coastal areas. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..There is a chance for some snow showers Friday Night in higher terrain locations above 1000-1500 feet in Western New England where a coating to 1″ of snow on grassy surfaces is possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for rainfall reports as the rain winds down overnight and then strong to damaging winds region wide Friday Afternoon and Evening and any snow accumulations in the higher terrain of Western New England. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday 4/21/21 Severe Weather Potential

April 21, 2021 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms possible to likely particularly over Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut and extreme Northwest Rhode Island Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, lightning and brief urban and poor drainage flooding would be the main threats between 2-8 PM Wednesday.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Connecticut and extreme Northwest Rhode Island in a marginal to slight risk for severe weather for today,. Key factors in strong to severe thunderstorm development today is the degree of instability available or the amount of forcing to offset limited instability for convective showers and low-topped thunderstorms to organize and maintain their strength into portions of Southern New England to tap into strong wind fields aloft. Reliable models have trended further east with the strong to severe thunderstorm potential overnight into this morning resulting in the upgrade and expansion of the marginal and slight risk areas into our area..
..Potential exists for strong post frontal wind gusts of around 40 MPH with higher gusts possible across much of Southern New England Wednesday Night into Thursday. Separate updates will be posted regarding the strong wind potential later tonight after the severe weather potential has passed..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong to severe thunderstorm potential for Wednesday. This will be the final coordination message on the severe thunderstorm potential as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday 4/21/21 Strong to Isolated Severe Thunderstorm Potential

April 21, 2021 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Isolated to scattered strong to possibly severe thunderstorms possible particularly over Western and Central Massachusetts and Western and Central Connecticut Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to damaging winds, hail, lightning and brief urban and poor drainage flooding would be the main threats between 2-10 PM Wednesday. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed areas of Eastern New York and New Jersey in a marginal risk for severe weather and this will be monitored for any expansion further east in future updates..
..Key factors in any strong to possibly isolated severe thunderstorm is the degree of instability available for convective showers and low-topped thunderstorms to organize and maintain their strength into portions of Southern New England to tap into strong wind fields aloft..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong to severe thunderstorm potential for Wednesday. Another coordination message will be posted on this potential by 1100 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2021/day2otlk_20210420_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

« 1 … 50 51 52 53 54 … 211 »