Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday May 16th, 2012 Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible across Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut Wednesday Afternoon into Early Wednesday Evening. Damaging Winds and hail are the primary threats with heavy downpours and urban/poor drainage flooding also possible..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a slight risk for severe weather in Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for Wednesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Evening..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Wednesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Evening..
Tonight, showers are moving through portions of Southern New England ahead of warm front which will move through the area overnight into early Wednesday Morning. A cold front will move into Eastern New York and Western New England Wednesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Evening. At this time, conditions are expected to clear out over the area to allow for sufficient heating and destablization. Wind fields should be strong enough to support isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms in a continuous line or one or two short lines of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. Damaging winds and hail are the primary threats with heavy downpours and urban and poor drainage flooding also possible. The greatest threat for severe weather is in Southwest New Hampshire and Western Massachusetts from the Worcester area west and in Northern Connecticut through Hartford and Tolland Counties. SPC and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a slight risk for severe weather for Wednesday Afternoon into early evening for this area.
Caveats to the severe weather potential include the amount of cooling aloft, degree of heating and destablization if clearing doesn’t occur as quickly as currently anticiapted and location and intensity of the wind fields over the current SPC depicted slight risk area. This will be better understood on Wednesday Morning.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Wednesday Afternoon into early evening. Another Coordination Message will be issued by 900 AM Wednesday to update the threat. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/latest.acus02.KWNS.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible across Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut Wednesday Afternoon into Early Wednesday Evening. Damaging Winds and hail are the primary threats with heavy downpours and urban/poor drainage flooding also possible..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a slight risk for severe weather in Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for Wednesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Evening..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Wednesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Evening..
Tonight, showers are moving through portions of Southern New England ahead of warm front which will move through the area overnight into early Wednesday Morning. A cold front will move into Eastern New York and Western New England Wednesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Evening. At this time, conditions are expected to clear out over the area to allow for sufficient heating and destablization. Wind fields should be strong enough to support isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms in a continuous line or one or two short lines of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. Damaging winds and hail are the primary threats with heavy downpours and urban and poor drainage flooding also possible. The greatest threat for severe weather is in Southwest New Hampshire and Western Massachusetts from the Worcester area west and in Northern Connecticut through Hartford and Tolland Counties. SPC and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a slight risk for severe weather for Wednesday Afternoon into early evening for this area.
Caveats to the severe weather potential include the amount of cooling aloft, degree of heating and destablization if clearing doesn’t occur as quickly as currently anticiapted and location and intensity of the wind fields over the current SPC depicted slight risk area. This will be better understood on Wednesday Morning.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Wednesday Afternoon into early evening. Another Coordination Message will be issued by 900 AM Wednesday to update the threat. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/latest.acus02.KWNS.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org