Severe Weather Coordination Message #3 – Wednesday 7/18/12 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Scattered to Numerous Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely today across much of Southern New England with the highest risk area for strong to severe thunderstorms along and south of the Mass. Pike. Damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..Threat timeframe will be centered anytime after Noon today lasting through tonight. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a slight risk for severe weather for today..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM ET today lasting through Wednesday Evening..

At 730 AM, Satellite imagery shows mostly clear skies with some high clouds in parts of Western New England. A cold front that will begin to usher in cooler and more seasonable temperatures is currently over Western Maine through South-Central New Hampshire and Vermont through Central New York and will move southeast. Overnight low temperatures were in the upper 70’s to lower 80s and with mostly clear skies, significant heating and destablization is expected. Wind shear profiles are sufficient for strong to severe thunderstorm development. Most parameters are favorable for scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms today with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. The threat timeframe for severe weather will be anytime after Noon today with the greatest threat in areas along and south of the Mass. Pike, however, all areas should monitor. SPC and NWS Taunton and surrounding NWS offices are in agreement on a slight risk for severe weather for Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM today lasting through Wednesday Evening. This will be the last coordination message on today’s threat. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

Hello to all..

..Scattered to Numerous Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely today across much of Southern New England with the highest risk area for strong to severe thunderstorms along and south of the Mass. Pike. Damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..Threat timeframe will be centered anytime after Noon today lasting through tonight. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a slight risk for severe weather for today..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM ET today lasting through Wednesday Evening..

At 730 AM, Satellite imagery shows mostly clear skies with some high clouds in parts of Western New England. A cold front that will begin to usher in cooler and more seasonable temperatures is currently over Western Maine through South-Central New Hampshire and Vermont through Central New York and will move southeast. Overnight low temperatures were in the upper 70’s to lower 80s and with mostly clear skies, significant heating and destablization is expected. Wind shear profiles are sufficient for strong to severe thunderstorm development. Most parameters are favorable for scattered to numerous strong to severe thunderstorms today with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. The threat timeframe for severe weather will be anytime after Noon today with the greatest threat in areas along and south of the Mass. Pike, however, all areas should monitor. SPC and NWS Taunton and surrounding NWS offices are in agreement on a slight risk for severe weather for Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Connecticut.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 11 AM today lasting through Wednesday Evening. This will be the last coordination message on today’s threat. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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