Storm Coordination Message #4 – Late Tuesday Night 2/4/14-Wednesday PM 2/5/14 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Strong Winter Storm On Track to Impact Region late Tuesday Night through early Wednesday Evening. Timing Details and precipitation changeover and possible dry slot in southern areas also better defined..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from Midnight tonight through 6 PM Wednesday for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island and Massachusetts from Northern Bristol and Northern Plymouth Counties north and west through the Berkshire for 6-12 Inches of Snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 14″ along the MA/CT/RI border area and points north. A trace of ice is possible in southern parts of the warning area where some sleet and freezing rain may occur..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from Midnight tonight through 6 PM Wednesday for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod for 4-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 8 inches and ice accumulations of a trace to one-tenth of an inch with isolated higher amounts possible if precipitation remains in frozen form throughout the storm..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from Midnight Tonight Through 6 PM Wednesday for Dukes County (Martha’s Vineyard) and Block Island Rhode Island is also now under the advisory. Total snowfall in this area will be 2-4″ of snow and a trace of ice with worst conditions during the Morning Commute. A changeover to rain is expected by midday. On Nantucket Island, 1-2″ of snow is expected before a changeover to rain..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 500-515 AM Wednesday Morning through early Wednesday Evening..

Weather models have trended slightly warmer for southern parts of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area which has led to a slight reduction in snowfall amounts for these areas and up to the Mass. Pike but these slight reductions are really in the margin of error of the models and we are still looking for widespread snowfall of 6-12″ with the possibility of a trace of ice along and south of the Mass. Pike. Interior areas in the north and west may still see isolated snowfall amounts of 12-14″. For the immediate south coast of Massachusetts including Cape Cod and South Coastal Rhode Island snowfall of 4-6 Inches with isolated higher amounts of up to 8 inches are likely with a trace to a tenth inch of ice before a possible changeover to rain. Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect for these areas. For Martha’s Vineyard, a Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for slightly reduced snowfall of 2-4″ and a trace of ice and Block Island RI has been added into this advisory for the same snow and ice amounts. Nantucket Island is expected to receive a quick 1-2 inches of snow and possibly sleet before a changeover to rain as in prior forecasts. Also, it is noted that after an initial burst of heavy snow in southern areas in the morning to midday, as temperatures warm, precipitation will turn light as this area dry slots and there will be a drizzle or freezing drizzle/light rain or light freezing rain that will change back to light snow before ending. Northern areas should remain snow and heavy at times through early evening.

As stated in prior coordination messages, there has been much discussion regarding an even more powerful storm for the second half of this weekend into Monday of next week. There is certainly potential for a significant storm during this time period but it is too early to get into details and there is a reasonably strong storm system for Wednesday that needs to be focused on first before looking into details on the weekend storm system. This will bear watching though as we get towards the end of this week and past the Wednesday storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 500-515 AM Wednesday Morning through early Wednesday Evening. This will be the last coordination message as we move into Amateur Radio Storm Operations mode. Below are the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and the NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the late Tuesday Night into Wednesday storm system:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the Wednesday Storm System:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Strong Winter Storm On Track to Impact Region late Tuesday Night through early Wednesday Evening. Timing Details and precipitation changeover and possible dry slot in southern areas also better defined..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from Midnight tonight through 6 PM Wednesday for Southern New Hampshire, Northern Connecticut, Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island and Massachusetts from Northern Bristol and Northern Plymouth Counties north and west through the Berkshire for 6-12 Inches of Snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 14″ along the MA/CT/RI border area and points north. A trace of ice is possible in southern parts of the warning area where some sleet and freezing rain may occur..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from Midnight tonight through 6 PM Wednesday for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod for 4-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts of up to 8 inches and ice accumulations of a trace to one-tenth of an inch with isolated higher amounts possible if precipitation remains in frozen form throughout the storm..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from Midnight Tonight Through 6 PM Wednesday for Dukes County (Martha’s Vineyard) and Block Island Rhode Island is also now under the advisory. Total snowfall in this area will be 2-4″ of snow and a trace of ice with worst conditions during the Morning Commute. A changeover to rain is expected by midday. On Nantucket Island, 1-2″ of snow is expected before a changeover to rain..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 500-515 AM Wednesday Morning through early Wednesday Evening..

Weather models have trended slightly warmer for southern parts of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area which has led to a slight reduction in snowfall amounts for these areas and up to the Mass. Pike but these slight reductions are really in the margin of error of the models and we are still looking for widespread snowfall of 6-12″ with the possibility of a trace of ice along and south of the Mass. Pike. Interior areas in the north and west may still see isolated snowfall amounts of 12-14″. For the immediate south coast of Massachusetts including Cape Cod and South Coastal Rhode Island snowfall of 4-6 Inches with isolated higher amounts of up to 8 inches are likely with a trace to a tenth inch of ice before a possible changeover to rain. Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect for these areas. For Martha’s Vineyard, a Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for slightly reduced snowfall of 2-4″ and a trace of ice and Block Island RI has been added into this advisory for the same snow and ice amounts. Nantucket Island is expected to receive a quick 1-2 inches of snow and possibly sleet before a changeover to rain as in prior forecasts. Also, it is noted that after an initial burst of heavy snow in southern areas in the morning to midday, as temperatures warm, precipitation will turn light as this area dry slots and there will be a drizzle or freezing drizzle/light rain or light freezing rain that will change back to light snow before ending. Northern areas should remain snow and heavy at times through early evening.

As stated in prior coordination messages, there has been much discussion regarding an even more powerful storm for the second half of this weekend into Monday of next week. There is certainly potential for a significant storm during this time period but it is too early to get into details and there is a reasonably strong storm system for Wednesday that needs to be focused on first before looking into details on the weekend storm system. This will bear watching though as we get towards the end of this week and past the Wednesday storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 500-515 AM Wednesday Morning through early Wednesday Evening. This will be the last coordination message as we move into Amateur Radio Storm Operations mode. Below are the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and the NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the late Tuesday Night into Wednesday storm system:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map for the Wednesday Storm System:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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