November 2014 – Page 2

Special Announcement: Final SKYWARN Training Class of 2014 – Sandwich Mass. Emergency Operations Center – Monday 11/24/14 – 7-10 PM

November 18, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

We will have one last SKYWARN Training Class for 2014. This will be at the Sandwich Massachusetts Emergency Operations Center and co-sponsored by the town of Sandwich Emergency Management Agency. Details on the class are listed below:

Monday November 24th, 2014 7-10 PM:
Sandwich Emergency Operations Center (EOC)
270 Quaker Meetinghouse Road
East Sandwich, MA
Taught by: Amateur Radio Coordinator
Registration: Required RSVP via email: Rob Macedo-KD1CY – rmacedo@rcn.com and Sandwich Emergency Management Director Brian Gallant – bgall3473@aol.com
Co-Sponsor: Sandwich Emergency Management

We look forward to the class and appreciate the co-sponsorship of Sandwich Emergency Management as they have been a strong supporter of the NWS Taunton SKYWARN program.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday 11/17/14 Storm Potential

November 17, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System is affecting the west-central interior portions of Southern New England with a light wintry mix. Much of Southern New England will see heavy rainfall especially this afternoon and evening with strong to damaging winds likely in Eastern and Southeastern New England this afternoon and evening as well..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 1 PM Monday for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester, and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts particularly in elevations above 1000 feet for up to 1″ of snow along with a coating to a tenth inch of ice resulting in slippery travel during this time period..
..A High Wind Warning is in effect for Southern Bristol, Southern and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 3-11 PM Monday for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 3-10 PM Monday for all of Rhode Island and North-Central Bristol, Western Plymouth, Norfolk, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex and Eastern Essex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds 20-30 MPH with gusts to 55 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2-230 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential..

A strong storm system will track into Southern New England Monday into Monday Evening. The storm is bringing a light wintry mix changing to rain over western and central New England particularly in the higher elevations, heavy rainfall for much of Southern New England and strong to damaging winds in Southeastern New England as we get into this afternoon an evening. The headlines indicate the latest expectations for this storm system.

Regarding the heavy rainfall across much of Southern New England, rainfall amounts of 1-2″ are likely region wide with portions of Southeast New England seeing isolated 2-3″ rainfall amounts. This rainfall could result in urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations.

Regarding the strong to damaging wind threat, the headlines depict the current expectation and the potential for stronger wind gusts and those stronger wind gusts extending northward into East-Coastal Massachusetts and other parts of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island as models depict a stronger wind field covering a larger part of the area. The wind threat remains contingent on a few factors:
1.) Temperatures in the Wind Advisory and High Wind Warning area. If they get into the 50s and lower 60s as expected, that will realize the strong to damaging wind threat.
2.) Strength of the low level winds. The trend has been towards a stronger wind field aloft. The current High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory reflects current thinking.
3.) Any heavy convective showers or possibly even thunderstorms that can organize in Southeast New England. These convective showers and thunderstorms would assist with bringing the stronger winds on to the surface.
4.) Position of the warm front. Some models bring the warm front further north which would allow the strong to damaging wind threat to expand farther inland. This will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England during Monday Morning into the early afternoon. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2-230 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday 11/17/14 Storm Potential

November 16, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System will affect the west-central interior portions of Southern New England with a light wintry mix. Much of Southern New England will see heavy rainfall. Strong to damaging winds are likely in Southeastern New England..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 3 AM-1 PM Monday for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Northern Worcester, and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for up to 1″ of snow along with a coating to a tenth inch of ice resulting in slippery travel during this time period..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 3-11 PM Monday for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 55-60 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 3-10 PM Monday for Southeast Providence, Eastern Kent, Bristol, Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Bristol ad Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH likely. These winds will be sufficient for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely anytime after 1-2 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential..

A strong storm system will track into Southern New England Monday into Monday Evening. The storm will bring a light wintry mix changing to rain over western and central New England, heavy rainfall in Eastern New England and strong to damaging winds in Southeastern New England. The headlines indicate the latest expectations for this storm system. Regarding the heavy rainfall across much of Southern New England, rainfall amounts of 1-2″ are likely region wide with portions of Southeast New England seeing isolated 2-3″ rainfall amounts. This rainfall could result in urban and poor drainage flooding in the typical locations.

Regarding the strong to damaging wind threat, the headlines depict the current expectation. The wind threat is contingent on a few factors:
1.) Temperatures in the Wind Advisory and High Wind Warning area. If they get into the 60s as expected, that will realize the strong to damaging wind threat.
2.) Strength of the low level winds. Some models have a stronger lower level wind field than others and the low level jet strength will depict the extent of the strong to damaging wind event. The current High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory reflects current thinking.
3.) Any heavy convective showers or possibly even thunderstorms that can organize in Southeast New England. These convective showers and thunderstorms would assist with bringing the stronger winds on to the surface.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for the light wintry mix in west-central New England during Monday Morning into the early afternoon. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely anytime after 1-2 PM lasting through 10-11 PM for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall potential. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Thursday Evening 11/13/14-Friday Morning 11/14/14 Light Accumulating Snow Event

November 14, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Light accumulating snowfall remains likely across much of Southern New England tonight into Friday Morning. Precipitation will start from west to east over much of Southern New England as rain changing to snow with a brief burst of heavier snow possible during the overnight in the west and near the Friday Morning commute potentially impacting the commute in eastern areas. Total snowfall of a coating-2″ is expected area wide with the potential of 2-4″ amounts over portions of Northwest Rhode Island, Central-Southern Worcester, Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts where a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 9 AM Friday Morning..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this event looking for snowfall reports early Friday Morning across the area. This will be the last coordination message unless a significant upgrade to the situation has occurred. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Special Weather Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday Evening 11/13/14-Friday Morning 11/14/14 Light Accumulating Snow Event

November 13, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Light accumulating snowfall likely across much of Southern New England tonight into Friday Morning. Precipitation will start from west to east over much of Southern New England as rain changing to snow with a brief burst of heavier snow possible during the overnight in the west and near the Friday Morning commute potentially impacting the commute in eastern areas. Total snowfall of a coating-2″ is expected area wide with the potential of 2-4″ amounts over portions of North-Central Rhode Island, Northeast Connecticut and portions of Central-Southern Worcester, Western-Central Norfolk, Northern Bristol and Northwest Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this event looking for snowfall reports early Friday Morning across the area. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Special Announcement: NWS Taunton MA Winter Weather Preparedness Week – Monday 11/3/14-Friday 11/7/14

November 8, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

The week of November 3rd through November 7th was the NWS Taunton MA Winter Weather Preparedness Week. NWS Taunton issued 5 Public Information Statements on various subjects on Winter Weather Preparedness. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Preparedness Week web page as well as a listing of NWS Taunton Public Information Statements that has the text information from the Winter Weather Preparedness Week web page:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Preparedness Week Web Page:
http://www.weather.gov/box/WinterWeatherPreparednessWeek

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Preparedness Week – Public Information Statements:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/winter_weather_preparedness_11_8_14.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #3 – Saturday Late Evening 11/1/14-Sunday Afternoon 11/2/14 Coastal Storm Potential

November 2, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm On Track with strongest winds and another round of coastal flooding slated for Sunday Morning lasting into afternoon with a period of heavy rainfall and the possibility of some snow that could accumulate but the snow forecast is highly uncertain..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Eastern and Southern Plymouth Counties Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands and is expanded to Eastern Essex County through 4 PM Sunday for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect through 6 PM Sunday for the remainder of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts and isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages are possible..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is in effect for Plymouth and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts through 1000 AM Sunday for moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide and a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect through 1000 AM for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions overnight with Ops at NWS Taunton restarting at 5 AM Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Afternoon for the storm potential on Sunday..

Over the course of Saturday, wind gusts in the 50-58 MPH range and isolated tree and wire damage have been reported. Pockets of coastal flooding were reported particularly over portions of Southeast Coastal Massachusetts from Scituate through Plymouth. Conditions will worsen as we get towards Sunday Morning as the wind speeds increase and another round of precipitation and another round of coastal flooding expected for the Sunday Morning high tide. The headlines of this coordination message depict the threats well. Below is the link to the latest Local Storm Report:

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

There is now an uncertain risk for the heavy rainfall that will start overnight to mix with and change to a wet snow especially in parts of Eastern and Central Massachusetts north and west of Boston. Factors regarding the snowfall include:

1.) Where does a heavy band of precipitation develop as the storm intensifies and does that allow for cooling for snow and for the snow to accumulate.
2.) The ground temperatures for any snow to accumulate.
3.) Air temperatures and any cooling caused by the heavy precipitation.
4.) Wind direction and the ability for cold air to rush in and overlap with the heavy band of precipitation.

There have been reports this evening of wet snow flakes mixing in with the rain. This may be an indicator of the potential for colder air to lock in with a heavier band of precipitation but there remains high uncertainties in this scenario and this will be monitored closely when Amateur Radio Ops resume at NWS Taunton at 5 AM Sunday Morning.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions overnight with Ops at NWS Taunton restarting at 5 AM Sunday Morning lasting through Sunday Afternoon for the storm potential on Sunday. This will be the last complete coordination message. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #2 -Saturday Late Afternoon 11/1/14-Sunday Morning 11/2/14 Coastal Storm Potential

November 1, 2014 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm on track to Impact the Region with strong to damaging winds, minor to moderate coastal flooding in East Coastal Massachusetts and heavy rainfall in Eastern New England with the possibility of precipitation ending as a brief period of light wet snow. Main Storm Impacts Saturday late afternoon through Sunday Morning..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Eastern and Southern Plymouth Counties Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands from 5 PM Saturday to 4 PM Sunday for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH. These winds will cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Rhode Island and Essex, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts from 6 PM this evening to 7 AM Sunday for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH with isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages are possible..
..Strong winds will potentially affect portions of Western and Central New England on Sunday as the storm departs and the gradient tightens and cold air continues moves into the region..
..A Coastal Flood Watch remains in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts from Saturday Evening into Sunday Morning for minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide Saturday Evening and Sunday Morning..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 4 PM Saturday lasting through late evening and could potentially reactivate on Sunday for the strong to damaging wind potential..

A coastal storm remains on track to move southeast of New England but close enough to cause strong to damaging winds, minor to moderate coastal flooding in East Coastal Massachusetts and heavy rainfall in Eastern New England. The rain may end as a brief period of light wet snow but the real hazards from this storm system are the strong to damaging winds, minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding and heavy rainfall. Main storm impacts are Saturday late afternoon through Sunday Morning. The headlines denote the current storm hazards. It is noted that for western and central portions of Southern New England, the potential exists for strong winds during the day Sunday which may prompt the issuance of wind advisories in future forecasts.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 4 PM Saturday lasting through late evening and could potentially reactivate on Sunday for the strong to damaging wind potential. This will be the last complete coordination message. A shortened coordination message may be issued for the strong wind potential during the day on Sunday. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Watch Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

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