Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered convective heavy showers and strong thunderstorms with the potential for even an isolated severe thunderstorm remains possible Thursday Afternoon and Evening across much of interior Southern New England due to a very cold pool of air aloft and likely daytime heating prior to the organization of any potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms. Strong winds and hail/graupel are the primary threats..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Massachusetts into New Hampshire and Western Maine in a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather and all other parts of Southern New England particularly interior locations should monitor the situation and NWS Taunton has put out a Special Weather Statement on the convective shower and strong to possibly severe thunderstorm potential..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM today and could start as early as 1 PM today to monitor convective showers and thunderstorms in the region today..

A strong upper level low pressure system is on track to affect Southern New England Thursday Afternoon and Evening. After expected morning to early afternoon sunshine, cold air aloft will move into the region with strong winds aloft as well. This will set the stage for potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms with strong winds and hail/graupel as the primary threats across interior Southern New England. There is even the potential for an isolated severe thunderstorm with large hail and damaging winds possible. SPC has placed portions of Massachusetts into New Hampshire and Western Maine in a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather and all other parts of Southern New England particularly interior locations should monitor the situation. The key parameters on this potential event are as follows:

1.) Enough moisture to allow for the convective showers and strong thunderstorm potential. Profiles are very dry which could limit thunderstorm development and limit the extent of convective showers.
2.) Sufficient heating prior to any shower and thunderstorm develop
3.) Enough lift in the atmosphere coupled with heating, moisture and the cold air pool aloft over the region

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM today and could start as early as 1 PM today to monitor convective showers and thunderstorms in the region today. This will be the last complete coordination message on this severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered convective heavy showers and strong thunderstorms with the potential for even an isolated severe thunderstorm are possible Thursday Afternoon and Evening across much of interior Southern New England due to a very cold pool of air aloft and likely daytime heating prior to the organization of any potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms. Strong winds and hail/graupel are the primary threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely to monitor this potential Thursday Afternoon and Evening..

A strong upper level low pressure system will affect Southern New England Thursday Afternoon and Evening. After expected morning to early afternoon sunshine, cold air aloft will move into the region with strong winds aloft as well. This will set the stage for potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms with strong winds and hail/graupel as the primary threats across interior Southern New England. There is even the potential for an isolated severe thunderstorm with large hail and damaging winds possible. The key parameters on this potential event are as follows:

1.) Enough moisture to allow for the convective showers and strong thunderstorm potential.
2.) Sufficient heating prior to any shower and thunderstorm develop
3.) Enough lift in the atmosphere coupled with heating and the cold air pool aloft over the region

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely to monitor this potential Thursday Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..Storm system overnight will bring strong winds to Cape Cod and the Islands and the potential for heavy rainfall, possibly even an isolated thunderstorm and urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of Southeast New England overnight into mid-morning Tuesday..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 11 PM Monday Night to 11 AM Tuesday Morning for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Other Southeast New England coastal areas outside of the Wind Advisory area may see wind gusts to 40 MPH..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor these conditions through mid-Tuesday Morning. This will likely be the only coordination message on this situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all..

..A powerful ocean storm will track offshore of Southern New England. Model trends have held steady on the storm track and Cape Cod and the Islands is expected to get a light snowfall but strong to damaging winds likely. Will continue to closely monitor the storm given a small deviation in track closer to the coast could result in more snow and stronger winds for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for Nantucket from 7 AM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for 2-4″ of snow. Cape Cod and Martha’s Vineyard is expected to receive 1-3″ of snow at this time..
..It is noted that ocean effect snow may cause a Coating to 2″ accumulation over East Coastal Massachusetts and the North Shore of Massachusetts. Other parts of Southern New England will likely see a Coating to 1″ of snow and could cause some slick travel spots..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 4 PM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. The strong winds coupled with any wet snowfall could bring isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning..

An ocean storm will organize over the Mid-Atlantic states and offshore of North Carolina and track offshore of Southern New England and south and east of the 40 North/70 West benchmark. Model trends remain steady on the track of the storm system. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking with less snow but the continued threat of strong to damaging winds. It has been noted that there is some ocean effect snow over the North Shore and other parts of East Coastal Massachusetts which could result in light snow amounts in these areas of a Coating to 2″ and there could be a Coating to 1″ of snow in other parts of Southern New England. This may cause slick travel but is not expected to become more significant for accumulations but we will continue to monitor.

The storm will still bear close monitoring for Cape Cod and the Islands as any small wobbles and deviations in track, how tightly the storm wraps, and any ocean effect enhancement will affect snowfall amounts and as we’ve seen with other large offshore systems, if the envelope of heavier precipitation extends well away from the storm center or a track slightly closer to the coast occurs, it could allow for a period of heavier snowfall. This will continue to be monitored as we get into the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning. This will be the last coordination message on this storm situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Hello to all..

..A powerful ocean storm will track offshore of Southern New England. Model trends have been further offshore meaning less impact even to Cape Cod and the Islands with a light snowfall expected but strong to damaging winds likely. Will continue to closely monitor the storm given a small deviation in track closer to the coast could result in more snow and stronger winds for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Nantucket from 7 AM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for 2-4″ of snow. Cape Cod and Martha’s Vineyard is expected to receive 1-3″ of snow at this time..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 4 PM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. The strong winds coupled with any wet snowfall could bring isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning..

An ocean storm will organize over the Mid-Atlantic states and offshore of North Carolina and track offshore of Southern New England and south and east of the 40 North/70 West benchmark. Model trends have been further offshore with the system and is resulting in lesser snowfall amounts for Cape Cod and the Islands but strong to damaging winds remain likely and coupled with any snowfall could result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking with less snow but the continued threat of strong to damaging winds. The storm will still bear close monitoring for Cape Cod and the Islands as any small wobbles and deviations in track, how tightly the storm wraps, and any ocean effect enhancement will affect snowfall amounts and as we’ve seen with other large offshore systems, if the envelope of heavier precipitation extends well away from the storm center or a track slightly closer to the coast occurs, it could allow for a period of heavier snowfall. This will continue to be monitored as we get into the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all..

..A powerful ocean storm will track offshore of Southern New England but will pass close enough to the region for accumulating snow and strong winds in Southeast New England, especially for Cape Cod and the Islands, but will need to be monitored for impacts in other parts of Southeast New England with a sharp cutoff to the northwest as seen with other offshore ocean storm systems this winter..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Friday Afternoon through late Friday Night for Cape Cod and the Islands for 4-8″ of snow and sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH possible. The combination of wet snow and strong winds could result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Morning through late Friday Night..

An ocean storm will organize over the Mid-Atlantic states and offshore of North Carolina and track offshore of Southern New England and south of the 40 North/70 West benchmark but its large envelope could result in accumulating wet snow and strong winds across Cape Cod and the Islands in particular but potentially other parts of Southeast New England. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking though this thinking could change as we have seen with several other offshore systems this winter. Current model trends were slightly further offshore which means the most impacts would remain confined to Cape Cod and the Islands and especially the Outer Cape and Nantucket, however, small wobbles and deviations in track could bring the snow further northwest into other parts of Cape Cod and the Islands and Southeast New England and there still is a wider range in tracks with the storm system along with the other factor of how tightly the storm wraps that will snow amounts. Future forecasts and model runs will better define the storm track and impacts to the region.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Morning through late Friday Night. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Thursday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all..

..A powerful ocean storm will track offshore of Southern New England but will pass close enough to the region for accumulating snow and strong winds in Southeast New England, especially for Cape Cod and the Islands, but will need to be monitored for impacts in other parts of Southeast New England with a sharp cutoff to the northwest as seen with other offshore ocean storm systems this winter..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Friday Afternoon through late Friday Night for Cape Cod and the Islands for 4-8″ of snow and sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH possible. The combination of wet snow and strong winds could result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Morning through late Friday Night..

An ocean storm will organize over the Mid-Atlantic states and offshore of North Carolina and track offshore of Southern New England and south of the 40 North/70 West benchmark but its large envelope could result in accumulating wet snow and strong winds across Cape Cod and the Islands in particular but potentially other parts of Southeast New England. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking though this thinking could change as we have seen with several other offshore system this winter. There are indications in the models that there again could be a closer to the region track resulting in heavier snow and that snow extending a bit further north and west into other parts of Southeast New England. Other model runs are further offshore with less snowfall including in the current winter storm watch area. Future forecasts and model runs will better define the storm track and impacts to the region.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Morning through late Friday Night. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System to bring a short period of Wintry Mix to interior locations followed by a period of heavy rain and possible urban and poor drainage flooding and strong to damaging winds with isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages possible..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 1 AM Wednesday for Central Middlesex, Eastern Hampden and Southern Worcester County for up to an inch of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 6 AM Wednesday for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex County of Massachusetts for up to an inch of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to 9 AM Wednesday for Cape Cod and the Islands and Southern Bristol, Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport County Rhode Island for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages are possible..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 4 AM to 9 AM Wednesday for Eastern Essex County Massachusetts for sustained winds of 15-20 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages are possible..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 AM to 4 PM Wednesday Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages are possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong winds and heavy rain potential early Wednesday Morning to Wednesday Afternoon. This will be the only coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more