Storm Coordination Message #4 – Friday 3/4/16 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..A powerful ocean storm will track offshore of Southern New England. Model trends have held steady on the storm track and Cape Cod and the Islands is expected to get a light snowfall but strong to damaging winds likely. Will continue to closely monitor the storm given a small deviation in track closer to the coast could result in more snow and stronger winds for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for Nantucket from 7 AM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for 2-4″ of snow. Cape Cod and Martha’s Vineyard is expected to receive 1-3″ of snow at this time..
..It is noted that ocean effect snow may cause a Coating to 2″ accumulation over East Coastal Massachusetts and the North Shore of Massachusetts. Other parts of Southern New England will likely see a Coating to 1″ of snow and could cause some slick travel spots..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 4 PM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. The strong winds coupled with any wet snowfall could bring isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning..

An ocean storm will organize over the Mid-Atlantic states and offshore of North Carolina and track offshore of Southern New England and south and east of the 40 North/70 West benchmark. Model trends remain steady on the track of the storm system. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking with less snow but the continued threat of strong to damaging winds. It has been noted that there is some ocean effect snow over the North Shore and other parts of East Coastal Massachusetts which could result in light snow amounts in these areas of a Coating to 2″ and there could be a Coating to 1″ of snow in other parts of Southern New England. This may cause slick travel but is not expected to become more significant for accumulations but we will continue to monitor.

The storm will still bear close monitoring for Cape Cod and the Islands as any small wobbles and deviations in track, how tightly the storm wraps, and any ocean effect enhancement will affect snowfall amounts and as we’ve seen with other large offshore systems, if the envelope of heavier precipitation extends well away from the storm center or a track slightly closer to the coast occurs, it could allow for a period of heavier snowfall. This will continue to be monitored as we get into the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning. This will be the last coordination message on this storm situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..A powerful ocean storm will track offshore of Southern New England. Model trends have held steady on the storm track and Cape Cod and the Islands is expected to get a light snowfall but strong to damaging winds likely. Will continue to closely monitor the storm given a small deviation in track closer to the coast could result in more snow and stronger winds for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for Nantucket from 7 AM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for 2-4″ of snow. Cape Cod and Martha’s Vineyard is expected to receive 1-3″ of snow at this time..
..It is noted that ocean effect snow may cause a Coating to 2″ accumulation over East Coastal Massachusetts and the North Shore of Massachusetts. Other parts of Southern New England will likely see a Coating to 1″ of snow and could cause some slick travel spots..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 4 PM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. The strong winds coupled with any wet snowfall could bring isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning..

An ocean storm will organize over the Mid-Atlantic states and offshore of North Carolina and track offshore of Southern New England and south and east of the 40 North/70 West benchmark. Model trends remain steady on the track of the storm system. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking with less snow but the continued threat of strong to damaging winds. It has been noted that there is some ocean effect snow over the North Shore and other parts of East Coastal Massachusetts which could result in light snow amounts in these areas of a Coating to 2″ and there could be a Coating to 1″ of snow in other parts of Southern New England. This may cause slick travel but is not expected to become more significant for accumulations but we will continue to monitor.

The storm will still bear close monitoring for Cape Cod and the Islands as any small wobbles and deviations in track, how tightly the storm wraps, and any ocean effect enhancement will affect snowfall amounts and as we’ve seen with other large offshore systems, if the envelope of heavier precipitation extends well away from the storm center or a track slightly closer to the coast occurs, it could allow for a period of heavier snowfall. This will continue to be monitored as we get into the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning. This will be the last coordination message on this storm situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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