Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Convective Shower/Strong Thunderstorm Potential – Thursday 3/17/16

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered convective heavy showers and strong thunderstorms with the potential for even an isolated severe thunderstorm are possible Thursday Afternoon and Evening across much of interior Southern New England due to a very cold pool of air aloft and likely daytime heating prior to the organization of any potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms. Strong winds and hail/graupel are the primary threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely to monitor this potential Thursday Afternoon and Evening..

A strong upper level low pressure system will affect Southern New England Thursday Afternoon and Evening. After expected morning to early afternoon sunshine, cold air aloft will move into the region with strong winds aloft as well. This will set the stage for potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms with strong winds and hail/graupel as the primary threats across interior Southern New England. There is even the potential for an isolated severe thunderstorm with large hail and damaging winds possible. The key parameters on this potential event are as follows:

1.) Enough moisture to allow for the convective showers and strong thunderstorm potential.
2.) Sufficient heating prior to any shower and thunderstorm develop
3.) Enough lift in the atmosphere coupled with heating and the cold air pool aloft over the region

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely to monitor this potential Thursday Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered convective heavy showers and strong thunderstorms with the potential for even an isolated severe thunderstorm are possible Thursday Afternoon and Evening across much of interior Southern New England due to a very cold pool of air aloft and likely daytime heating prior to the organization of any potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms. Strong winds and hail/graupel are the primary threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely to monitor this potential Thursday Afternoon and Evening..

A strong upper level low pressure system will affect Southern New England Thursday Afternoon and Evening. After expected morning to early afternoon sunshine, cold air aloft will move into the region with strong winds aloft as well. This will set the stage for potential convective showers and strong thunderstorms with strong winds and hail/graupel as the primary threats across interior Southern New England. There is even the potential for an isolated severe thunderstorm with large hail and damaging winds possible. The key parameters on this potential event are as follows:

1.) Enough moisture to allow for the convective showers and strong thunderstorm potential.
2.) Sufficient heating prior to any shower and thunderstorm develop
3.) Enough lift in the atmosphere coupled with heating and the cold air pool aloft over the region

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely to monitor this potential Thursday Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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