Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday Evening 8/21/16-Early Monday Morning 8/22/16 Heavy Rainfall/Flood/Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Convective showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are likely tonight across much of Southern New England between 9 PM to 1 AM in Western and Central New England and between 1 AM to 6 AM across Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The heavy rainfall and urban and poor drainage flooding associated with the heavy rainfall is the main concern but a secondary concern for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with a strong to damaging wind component is also possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for reportable criteria conditions during the overnight hours..

A cold front will move through Southern New England overnight into early Monday Morning and will bring the first fall-like temperatures of the late summer for a couple of days to start the new work week. Ahead of the front, convective showers and thunderstorms are likely as the headlines depict the main concern heavy rainfall and urban and poor drainage flooding but there is a secondary concern for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with a strong to damaging wind component as well. There is even the small chance for an isolated weak tornado or waterspout in Southeast New England if there is enough instability to tap into strengthening wind shear profiles. The most likely scenario is for the heavy rainfall and the potential for localized urban and poor drainage flooding but we cannot rule out an isolated severe thunderstorms with a localized strong to damaging wind threat as the front moves through the entire region and the possibility of a weak tornado/waterspout and that possibility confined to Southeast New England.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for reportable criteria conditions during the overnight hours. This will likely be the only coordination message on this severe weather potential unless Ops at NWS become required or a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Area Forecast Discussion:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Convective showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are likely tonight across much of Southern New England between 9 PM to 1 AM in Western and Central New England and between 1 AM to 6 AM across Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The heavy rainfall and urban and poor drainage flooding associated with the heavy rainfall is the main concern but a secondary concern for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with a strong to damaging wind component is also possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for reportable criteria conditions during the overnight hours..

A cold front will move through Southern New England overnight into early Monday Morning and will bring the first fall-like temperatures of the late summer for a couple of days to start the new work week. Ahead of the front, convective showers and thunderstorms are likely as the headlines depict the main concern heavy rainfall and urban and poor drainage flooding but there is a secondary concern for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with a strong to damaging wind component as well. There is even the small chance for an isolated weak tornado or waterspout in Southeast New England if there is enough instability to tap into strengthening wind shear profiles. The most likely scenario is for the heavy rainfall and the potential for localized urban and poor drainage flooding but we cannot rule out an isolated severe thunderstorms with a localized strong to damaging wind threat as the front moves through the entire region and the possibility of a weak tornado/waterspout and that possibility confined to Southeast New England.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for reportable criteria conditions during the overnight hours. This will likely be the only coordination message on this severe weather potential unless Ops at NWS become required or a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Area Forecast Discussion:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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