September 2017

Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 9/5/17-9/6/17 Severe Weather and Flash Flood Potential and Special Announcement: Hurricane Irma Amateur Radio Hurricane Net Activation Plans

September 5, 2017 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible to likely across Western and North-Central Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut but timing is for late Tuesday Afternoon into Tuesday Night where the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has maintained the region in a marginal to slight risk for severe weather. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding are the main threats..
..As we get into later Tuesday Night into Wednesday Night, the severe weather threat wanes across western areas but heavy rainfall and localized urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding is possible across portions of Southern New England and there is a marginal risk for severe weather over a localized area of Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts area for Wednesday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor activity later this afternoon and tonight. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible as we get into Wednesday for urban and poor drainage flooding and flash flooding..
..This message also contains a Special Announcement regarding Hurricane Irma Amateur Radio Hurricane Net activation plans..

A strong cold front will be moving towards New England on Tuesday and will have sufficiently strong wind shear values and moisture pooling ahead of the front. The cold frontal timing is slower than originally projected and will now affect the region late Tuesday Afternoon into Tuesday Night with the best timeframe between 5-10 PM. This may limit the coverage of strong to severe thunderstorms as it will be towards the end of the peak heating cycle. An increasing concern exists for Wednesday into Wednesday Night for urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding from showers and non-severe thunderstorms during this timeframe with a marginal risk for severe weather and isolated severe thunderstorms across Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized to monitor activity late Tuesday Afternoon through late Tuesday Night. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible as we get into Wednesday into Wednesday Night. Another coordination message on Wednesday’s flood potential will be posted by 1130 PM EDT Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Experimental Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 and Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2017/day2otlk_20170905_1730.html

..Special Announcement for Amateur Radio Hurricane Net Activation Plans for Hurricane Irma and impacts to the Northern Leeward Islands potentially extending to the British and US Virgin Islands and Puero Rico..

..Amateur Radio Operators in Massachusetts will be providing support to the VoIP Hurricane Net Tuesday Evening through Wednesday Evening and later this week into the weekend as necessary..
..Links below provide information on various net activations for Hurricane Irma..

Hurricane Watch Net Activation Plans:
http://www.hwn.org/policies/activationplans.html

VoIP Hurricane Net Activation Plans:

http://www.voipwx.net/node/684

ARRL Web Story – Some Amateur Radio Preparations Under Way for Hurricane Irma:

http://www.arrl.org/news/some-amateur-radio-preparations-under-way-for-hurricane-irma

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Uncategorized

Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 and Special Announcement: Hurricane Irma Amateur Radio Hurricane Net Activation Plans

September 4, 2017 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

..Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible to likely across Western and North-Central Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut Tuesday Afternoon into Tuesday Night where the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the region in a marginal to slight risk for severe weather. Strong to damaging winds, hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding are the main threats..
..As we get into later Tuesday Night into Wednesday Night, the severe weather threat but heavy rainfall and localized urban and poor drainage flooding to flash flooding is possible across portions of Southern New England..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely any time after 200 PM Tuesday Afternoon through late Tuesday Evening. SKYWARN Activation of some type with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible as we get into Wednesday..
..This message also contains a Special Announcement regarding Hurricane Irma Amateur Radio Hurricane Net activation plans..

A strong cold front will be moving towards New England on Tuesday and will have sufficiently strong wind shear values and moisture pooling ahead of the front. While there will be some cloud cover, there is still expected to be sufficient heating for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms particularly across Western and North-Central Massachusetts and into Northwest Connecticut but could come as far east as the Boston to Providence corridor. The cold front will be slowing its approach toward Southern New England so areas south and east of Boston to Providence may see little to no rainfall. The headlines of the coordination message capture the severe weather situation well and the timing of the severe weather into the marginal to slight risk areas is between 2-10 PM on Tuesday.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely any time after 200 PM Tuesday Afternoon through late Tuesday Evening. SKYWARN Activation of some type with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible as we get into Wednesday. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM EDT Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Experimental Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Experimental Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2017/day2otlk_20170904_1730.html

Hurricane Watch Net Activation Plans:
http://www.hwn.org/policies/activationplans.html

VoIP Hurricane Net Activation Plans:

http://www.voipwx.net/node/684

ARRL Web Story – Some Amateur Radio Preparations Under Way for Hurricane Irma:

http://www.arrl.org/news/some-amateur-radio-preparations-under-way-for-hurricane-irma

Respectfully Submitted,