Storm Coordination Message #2 – Late Thursday Night 1/6/22-Friday Evening 1/7/22 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A moderate snowstorm with plowable snowfall remains likely for Southern New England late Thursday Night through Friday Afternoon with the worst conditions in and around the Friday Morning Work Commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 7 PM Friday Evening for Rhode Island and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 5-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 4 PM Friday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, and Northern Middlesex Counties for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts possible in Northeast Connecticut..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM Friday Morning through 7 PM Friday Evening for Block Island Rhode Island for 2-4″ of wet snow with winds gusting to 35 MPH..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from late tonight through Friday Evening for Essex, Central Middlesex and Southern Worcester County Massachusetts for 5-8″ of snow..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Late Tonight Through Friday Evening for Cape Cod and Martha’s Vineyard for 2-7″ of snow and wind gusts to 40 MPH. Key items on snow amounts here is any mixed precipitation cutting down amounts in parts of this area as well snow being heavy and wet and with wind gusts to around 40 MPH causing isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon..

A moderate snowstorm is expected for Southern New England late Thursday Night into Friday Afternoon. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The storm track still has some variance. If there is a track further southeast it could slide heavier snowfall further southeast in the watch area with less mixing on Cape Cod and the Islands and more snowfall there. A track further north and west could bring heavier snows to more of the region. Recent trends have been for a closer storm track to the area with an expansion of Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Watches and Warnings covering all areas except Nantucket.
2.) The storm is expected to intensify more rapidly as it moves away from Southern New England. If that intensification occurs sooner closer to Southern New England, it could enhance snowfall amounts a bit more and some of that intensification is going to occur closer to Southern New England allowing for slightly higher snowfall amounts.
3.) The worst conditions are expected during the Friday Morning commute which raises the impact for this storm versus one that is timed between the commutes or over the weekend.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 PM Thursday Evening. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Late Thursday Night 1/6/21-Friday Afternoon 1/7/21 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..A moderate snowstorm with plowable snowfall likely for Southern New England late Thursday Night through Friday Afternoon with the worst conditions in and around the Friday Morning Work Commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for late Thursday Night through Friday Afternoon for all of Rhode Island, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for a general 4-6″ of snow with isolated or a band of higher amounts greater than 6″ somewhere in the watch area. Areas outside of the watch area may see lower end advisory snowfall amounts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon..

A moderate snowstorm is expected for Southern New England late Thursday Night into Friday Afternoon. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) The storm track still has some variance. If there is a track further southeast it could slide heavier snowfall further southeast in the watch area with less mixing on Cape Cod and the Islands and more snowfall there. A track further north and west could bring heavier snows to northern areas of the Winter Storm Watch.
2.) The storm is expected to intensify more rapidly as it moves away from Southern New England. If that intensification occurs sooner closer to Southern New England, it could enhance snowfall amounts a bit more in the Winter Storm Watch area.
3.) The worst conditions are expected during the Friday Morning commute which raises the impact for this storm versus one that is timed between the commutes or over the weekend.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets for Snowfall Totals are likely Friday Morning through Friday Mid-Afternoon. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday Morning 1/5/22 Light Icing Potential & Friday 1/7/22 Snowstorm Potential

Hello to all…

..Light Icing could cause slippery travel and walkways Wednesday Morning and effect portions of the morning commute. A larger snowstorm event is possible on Friday but there is uncertainty on exact track, speed, intensity of the system. An initial snowfall map on the Friday storm is available in this coordination message and more info on that storm will be posted Wednesday Evening..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM-12 PM Wednesday for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island, Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts for a light glaze of ice causing slippery travel conditions..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for icing conditions and any ice accretion reports Wednesday Morning. This is the only coordination message to be posted on this icing event. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion and Winter Weather Advisory statement which includes the icing map for Wednesday and the snowfall potential map for Friday..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday 1/3/22 Winter Storm Potential for Southeast New England

Hello to all…

..A coastal storm will track south and east of Southern New England but may track far enough north for accumulating snow in Southeast New England and particularly Cape Cod and the Islands. Models are struggling with the northward extent of the storm and a difference of 25-50 miles north or south could be the difference between southeast parts of New England getting a coating to 1 inch of snow getting a coating to 1 inch of snow or even no snow at all versus as much as 6″ or more of snow. Areas north of a Westerly to Bristol to Taunton to Plymouth line are likely to see little to no snow from this storm event at this time..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 AM Monday Morning through 9 PM Monday Evening for Nantucket for 4-7″ of snow and wind gusts to 35-40 MPH with isolated higher gusts possible. A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM Monday Morning through 9 PM Monday Evening for Cape Cod and Marthas Vineyard for 2-5″ of snow. Areas from Westerly to Newport to Taunton to Plymouth could receive a coating to 2″ of snow with the highest amounts along the immediate south coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A more significant widespread coastal storm may impact Southern New England towards Friday. Coordination messages on this storm system if the threat materializes will likely start Wednesday Evening..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports in Southeast New England. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday 1/3/22 Winter Storm Potential for Southeast New England

Hello to all…

..A coastal storm will track south and east of Southern New England but may track far enough north for accumulating snow in Southeast New England and particularly Cape Cod and the Islands. Models are struggling with the northward extent of the storm and a difference of 25-50 miles north or south could be the difference between southeast parts of New England getting a coating to 1 inch of snow versus as much as 6″ or more of snow. Areas north of a Westerly to Bristol to Taunton to Plymouth line are likely to see little to no snow from this storm event at this time..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 AM Monday Morning through 9 PM Monday Evening for Nantucket for 4-7″ of snow and wind gusts to 35-40 MPH with isolated higher gusts possible. A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM Monday Morning through 9 PM Monday Evening for Cape Cod and Marthas Vineyard for 2-5″ of snow. Areas from Westerly to Newport to Taunton to Plymouth could receive a coating to 2″ of snow with the highest amounts along the immediate south coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 9 AM-2 PM Monday for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of high tide for late morning/early afternoon Monday..
..A more significant widespread coastal storm may impact Southern New England towards Friday. Coordination messages on this storm system if the threat materializes will likely start Wednesday Evening..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports in Southeast New England. This will be the last coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion..

..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports in Southeast New England. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Snowfall Maps and Area Forecast Discussion..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch Statement & Snowfall Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX&product=AFD&issuedby=BOX

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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