January 2023

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday Afternoon 1/25/23-Thursday 1/26/23 Coastal Winter Storm Hazards

January 25, 2023 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Yet another coastal storm system will bring the potential for a period of snow and the possibility of wet snow in areas hit hard with wet snow damage in Western and Northern Massachusetts, the potential for heavy rainfall and flooding issues in portions of Eastern New England, strong to damaging winds in Southeast New England and minor coastal flooding for the Wednesday Evening high tide cycle. Outages in Northern and Western Massachusetts area since last evening have dropped off to 617 customers without power as of 130 PM Wednesday Afternoon (any pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org), .
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through 1 AM Thursday for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island, Hampden, Hampshire, Franklin, Northern Worcester, North-Central Middlesex and expanded to Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and the highest amounts along and north of the Route 2 corridor through Western Franklin and Northwest Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts. The snow has the potential to be heavy and wet and in areas hit hard by the previous two winter storms with heavy wet snow, it could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. The evening commute could be affected by the snow with snow changing to rain in most if not all areas around or before 1 AM Thursday..
..Most if not all of the Winter Weather Advisory areas will see the snow change to all rain near the time of the advisory issuance with areas outside of the Winter Weather Advisory area seeing a coating to 2″ of snow before the changeover..
..A Flood Watch remains in effect from Wednesday Evening through Thursday Morning for Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts from Suffolk and Norfolk Counties south and east through Cape Cod and the Islands for heavy rainfall and in some areas of the watch area snow melt from 1-2.5″ of rain with isolated higher amounts and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and if higher amounts are realized the possibility of some small river and stream flooding..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 9 PM Wednesday to 9 AM Thursday for Southern Rhode Island including Block Island Rhode Island, Eastern and Southern Plymouth Counties, Southern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands and has been expanded to include Southeast Providence, Kent, Bristol Counties of Rhode Island, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and power line damage and isolated power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect from 8 PM Wednesday to 3 AM Thursday for South Coastal Massachusetts, and Southeast Coastal Rhode Island for up to a half foot of inundation above ground level causing minor coastal flooding of the most vulnerable shore roads and parking areas at the coast..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-up nets likely late Wednesday Afternoon through Wednesday Night in the Winter Weather Advisory areas with general self-activation in eastern areas of the region for any snowfall reports, rain gauge totals, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater, wind damage and coastal flood reports..

A multi-hazard coastal storm is on track to impact Southern New England later this afternoon into Thursday. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) Snow amounts were adjusted slightly downward but could extend into Western Essex County Mass and the advisory has been expanded to this area. The timing of the rain-snow line is key to the amounts and also the heavy wet snow in areas hard hit with tree and power line damage from prior winter storms will need to be watched carefully for additional outages as most repairs were completed only within the last 24 hours. Spotter reports will be critical to see how this situation evolves.
2.) Flooding from heavy rainfall is a concern in the Flood Watch area due to repeated heavy rainfall events leading to lower flood guidance. Some smaller rivers and streams could come out of their banks in addition to urban and poor drainage flooding.
3.) Strong winds will penetrate a bit further inland than thought yesterday and the Wind Advisory has been expanded to cover more of Eastern Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts. If temperatures get a bit warmer than expected or heavy rainfall processes are sufficient to mix out more of the inversion, a few isolated wind gusts stronger than 50 MPH will be possible in this area.
4.) Minor coastal flooding is possible at high tide tonight in Southeast coastal New England and will bear watching.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-up nets likely late Wednesday Afternoon through Wednesday Night in the Winter Weather Advisory areas with general self-activation in eastern areas of the region for any snowfall reports, rain gauge totals, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater, wind damage and coastal flood reports. The following repeater systems will have Amateur Radio nets to track snowfall, precip type changeover and wet snow damage:

Western Mass SKYWARN Net: 146.940-Mount Tom Repeater – PL: 127.3 Hz Wednesday Evening 600 PM, 800 PM and 1000 PM
Central Mass SKYWARN Net #1: 146.970-Paxton Repeater PL: 114.8 – Wednesday Evening 630 PM, 830 PM and 1030 PM
Central Mass SKYWARN Net – #2 – Route 2 corridor system: W1GZ-R Echolink conference node: 688832/IRLP 9122 – Wednesday Evening either at the same time as the Paxton Repeater schedule or 10-15 minutes after the Paxton Nets have taken place
New England Reflector System – *NEW-ENG3* Echolink conference node: 9123/IRLP 9123/N1XRS-L Echolink node: 8998 – DMR Brandmeister node: DMR Talkgroup 3125541 (Will monitor and make occasional call-ups)
Additional repeaters could become active depending on changing storm conditions and this aspect will be monitored and if time allows a shortened coordination message will be sent to update this information.

This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps, Wind Advisory Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=FFA&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
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Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday Afternoon 1/25/23-Thursday 1/26/23 Coastal Winter Storm Hazards

January 25, 2023 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Yet another coastal storm system will bring the potential for a period of snow and the possibility of wet snow in areas hit hard with wet snow damage in Western and Northern Massachusetts where as of 1040 PM Tuesday Evening over 5,000 customers are still without power (any pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent as a reply to this email, via our WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org), the potential for heavy rainfall and flooding issues in portions of Eastern New England, strong to damaging winds in Southeast New England and minor coastal flooding for the Wednesday Evening high tide cycle..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 1 PM Wednesday to 1 AM Thursday for Hampden, Hampshire, Franklin, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-5″ of snow. The snow has the potential to be heavy and wet and in areas hit hard by the previous two winter storms with heavy wet snow, it could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. The evening commutes could be affected by the snow with snow changing to rain in most if not all areas around or before 1 AM Thursday..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 1 PM Wednesday to 1 AM Thursday for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County RI, Southern Worcester and Central Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-4″ of snow. The snow will impact the evening commute and all areas should change to rain in most if not all areas around or before 1 AM Thursday..
..Most if not all of the Winter Weather Advisory areas will see the snow change to all rain near the time of the advisory issuance with areas outside of the Winter Weather Advisory area seeing a coating to 2″ of snow before the changeover..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect for Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts from Suffolk and Norfolk Counties south and east through Cape Cod and the Islands for heavy rainfall and in some areas of the watch area snow melt from 1-2″ of rain with isolated higher amounts and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and if higher amounts are realized the possibility of some small river and stream flooding..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 9 PM Wednesday to 9 AM Thursday for Southern Rhode Island including Block Island Rhode Island, Eastern and Southern Plymouth Counties, Southern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and power line damage and isolated power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 8 PM Wednesday to 3 AM Thursday for South Coastal Massachusetts, and Southeast Coastal Rhode Island for up to a half foot of inundation above ground level causing minor coastal flooding of the most vulnerable shore roads and parking areas at the coast..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-up nets likely late Wednesday Afternoon through Wednesday Night in the Winter Weather Advisory areas with general self-activation in eastern areas of the region for any snowfall reports, rain gauge totals, measured wind gusts 40 MPH or greater, wind damage and coastal flood reports. The next and most coordination message including schedule for Amateur Radio call-up nets will be posted by 11 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps, Wind Advisory Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Flood Watch Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=FFA&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Sunday Evening 1/22/23-Monday Night 1/23/23 Winter Storm Potential

January 23, 2023 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Another coastal storm system will bring the potential for a heavy wet snow in Western and Northern Massachusetts and the potential for wet snow related damage, heavy rainfall with strong wind gusts up to 40 MPH at the coast and the potential for minor coastal flooding for the Monday late morning/early afternoon High Tide cycle..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect Through 1 AM Tuesday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampshire, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and wind gusts up to 40 MPH. The snow has the potential to be heavy and wet which could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. The morning and evening commutes could be affected by the wet snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 1 AM Tuesday Morning for Western Hampden, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts 2-6″ of snow. The snow has the potential to be heavy and wet which could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. The morning and evening commutes could be affected by the snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 1 AM Tuesday Morning for Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut, Eastern Essex, Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 2-4″ of snow and wind gusts of 35 MPH. The snow may impact the morning commute with more likely impacts during the afternoon commute..
..Areas outside the Winter Storm Warning and Winter Weather advisory areas will see mostly rain changing to snow before ending. With a bit more of an offshore track, amounts of a coating to 2″ may now be possible in these areas..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 10 AM-2 PM Monday for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk and Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for minor coastal flooding of lots, parks, and shore roads with isolated road closures expected.
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-up nets late tonight and especially Monday for snowfall reports and wet snow damage reports. An Amateur Radio Call-Up Net schedule for these areas appear below in this message. For the self-activation, will be looking for snowfall, rain gauge and coastal flood reports and any wind gusts 40 MPH or greater..

Another coastal storm system will affect Southern New England Sunday Evening into Monday. The headlines depict the current thinking which shows a shift to a snowier event particularly for Western and Central and interior Eastern Massachusetts along and north of the I-95 corridor with slightly more snow accumulation outside of the warning and advisory areas. Key factors include:
1.) Track of the storm system which has shifted a bit further east meaning the potential for somewhat higher heavy wet snow accumulations in the Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather advisory statement.
2.) Coastal flooding and the timing of the strongest winds with the Monday high tide cycle as that will determine the extent of coastal flooding and at this time its expected to be minor coastal flooding.
3.) The strongest winds will remain offshore but coastal and some inland high terrain areas could see wind gusts up to 40 MPH based on the current track.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-up nets late tonight and especially Monday for snowfall reports and wet snow damage reports. For the self-activation, will be looking for snowfall, rain gauge and coastal flood reports and any wind gusts 40 MPH or greater. An Amateur Radio Call-Up Net schedule for these areas appear below:

Western Mass SKYWARN Net: 146.940-Mount Tom Repeater – PL: 127.3 Hz Sunday Evening 1000 PM – Monday Morning at 600 AM and in every 2 hour intervals – 800 AM, 1000 AM, 1200 PM etc.
Central Mass SKYWARN Net #1: 146.970-Paxton Repeater PL: 114.8 – Monday Morning at 600 AM and in every 2 hour intervals – 830 AM, 1030 AM, 1230 PM etc.
Central Mass SKYWARN Net – #2 – Route 2 corridor system: W1GZ-R Echolink conference node: 688832/IRLP 9122 – Monday Morning at 730 AM, 930 AM, 1130 AM etc.
New England Reflector System – *NEW-ENG3* Echolink conference node: 9123/IRLP 9123/N1XRS-L Echolink node: 8998 – DMR Brandmeister node: DMR Talkgroup 3125541 (Will monitor and make occasional call-ups)
Additional repeaters could become active depending on changing storm conditions and this aspect will be monitored and if time allows a shortened coordination message will be sent to update this information.

This will be the last complete coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warrning/Winter Weather Advisory & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps, Coastal Flood Advisory, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Sunday Evening 1/22/23-Monday Afternoon 1/23/23 Winter Storm Hazards

January 22, 2023 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Another coastal storm system will bring the potential for a heavy wet snow in Western and Northern Massachusetts, heavy rainfall with strong wind gusts up to 40 MPH at the coast and the potential for minor coastal flooding for the Monday High Tide cycle..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Sunday Evening Through Monday Afternoon for Western Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for 2-7″ of snow. The snow has the potential to be heavy and wet which could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. The morning and evening commutes could be affected by the snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 7 PM Sunday Evening through 4 PM Monday Afternoon for Eastern Franklin, Northern Worcester, Northern Middlesex County of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow. The snow has the potential to be heavy and wet which could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. The morning and evening commutes could be affected by the snow..
..Areas outside the Winter Storm Watch and Winter Weather advisory areas will see mostly rain changing to snow before ending with little to no accumulation..
..Minor coastal flooding is likely with a low probability for low end moderate coastal flooding in East Coastal Massachusetts for the Monday high tide cycle..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely with the possibility of Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets in the Winter Storm Watch and Winter Weather advisory areas. For the self-activation, will be looking for snowfall, rain gauge and coastal flood reports and any wind gusts 40 MPH or greater..

Another coastal storm system will affect Southern New England Sunday Evening into Monday. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) Track of the storm system which has shifted a bit further east meaning the potential for heavy wet snow in the Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather advisory statement.
2.) Coastal flooding and the timing of the strongest winds with the Monday high tide cycle as that will determine the extent of coastal flooding
3.) The strongest winds will remain offshore but coastal areas could see wind gusts up to 40 MPH based on the current track.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely with the possibility of Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets in the Winter Storm Watch and Winter Weather advisory areas. For the self-activation, will be looking for snowfall, rain gauge and coastal flood reports and any wind gusts 40 MPH or greater. Another coordination message will be posted by 1 PM Sunday Afternoon. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

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Storm Coordination Message #2 – Thursday Afternoon 1/19/23-Friday Evening 1/20/23 Wintry Mix Potential

January 20, 2023 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Storm system bringing a wintry mix of precipitation changing to snow to interior Southern New England Thursday Afternoon through early Friday Evening with rain across Southeast New England. Minor coastal flooding is likely during the Friday Morning high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 6 PM Friday Evening for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex, and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts and is now expanded through Southeast Middlesex and Eastern Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow and a light glaze of ice with the lowest amounts in lower elevations and eastern areas of the advisory and the higher amounts in western and northern parts of the advisory and the higher elevations. The Friday Morning commute will be impacted by the wintry precipitation..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 6 PM Friday Evening for Hartford County Connecticut, Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for a coating to 2″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and up to 0.10″ of ice particularly over the higher elevations. The Friday Morning commute will be impacted by the wintry precipitation..
..Areas outside of the Winter Weather Advisory will see mostly rain with a changeover to snow before ending with 1″ or less of accumulation..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM to Noon Friday for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for up to 1 foot inundation above ground level affecting the lower lying shore lines and most vulnerable shore road locations..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets possible to monitor for snowfall, ice accretion, rainfall, precipitation type and coastal flood reports through Friday Evening..

A storm system will affect portions of interior Southern New England with wintry precipitation with minor coastal flooding possible for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket during the Friday Morning high tide. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) While the heaviest snow is expected in Vermont and New Hampshire, accumulating snow will impact portions of interior Massachusetts with the highest amounts in Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. If deeper cold air can be maintained or continued in parts of interior Massachusetts particularly Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts, then higher snow amounts would be possible. Model trends shifted back a bit warmer which has resulted in slightly lower snow amounts in the advisory area.
2.) Main concerns are for hazardous travel conditions with little impact to infrastructure unless freezing rain would become more of a predominant form of precipitation and that’s currently not expected at this time but will be monitored.
3.) Minor coastal flooding could impact the Friday Morning high tide cycle and this will bear watching and reporting on coastal flooding during this high tide cycle will be needed.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets possible to monitor for snowfall, ice accretion, rainfall, precipitation type and coastal flood reports through Friday Evening. This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday Afternoon 1/19/23-Friday Evening 1/20/23 Wintry Mix Potential

January 19, 2023 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Storm system will bring a wintry mix of precipitation changing to snow to interior Southern New England Thursday Afternoon through early Friday Evening. Minor coastal flooding will also be possible during the Friday Morning high tide for East Coastal Massachusetts..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from Noon Thursday to 6 PM Friday Evening for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex, and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 3-7″ of snow and a light glaze of ice. The Thursday Evening and Friday Morning commutes will be impacted but the wintry precipitation..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from Noon Thursday to 6 PM Friday Evening for Hartford County Connecticut, Hampden and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for a coating to 3″ of snow and up to 0.10″ of ice particularly over the higher elevations. The Thursday Evening and Friday Morning commutes will be impacted but the wintry precipitation..
..Areas outside of the Winter Weather Advisory will see mostly rain with a changeover to snow before ending with 1″ or less of accumulation..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets possible to monitor for snowfall, ice accretion, rainfall, precipitation type and coastal flood reports Thursday Afternoon through Friday Evening..

A storm system will affect portions of interior Southern New England with wintry precipitation with minor coastal flooding possible for East Coastal Massachusetts during the Friday Morning high tide. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:

1.) While the heaviest snow is expected in Vermont and New Hampshire, accumulating snow will impact portions of interior Massachusetts with the highest amounts in Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. If deeper cold air can be maintained or continued in parts of interior Massachusetts particularly Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts, then higher snow amounts would be possible. Model trends have been moving in this direction so this will bear close monitoring.
2.) Main concerns are for hazardous travel conditions with little impact to infrastructure unless freezing rain would become more of a predominant form of precipitation and that’s currently not expected at this time but will be monitored.
3.) Minor coastal flooding could impact the Friday Morning high tide cycle and this will bear watching and reporting on coastal flooding during this high tide cycle will likely be needed.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets possible to monitor for snowfall, ice accretion, rainfall, precipitation type and coastal flood reports Thursday Afternoon through Friday Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 1 PM Thursday Afternoon. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Strong Wind and Light Snow Potential in Coastal Southern New England – Late Saturday Night 1/14/23-Monday 1/16/23

January 15, 2023 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Offshore Ocean Storm will bring strong winds to Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and the chance for an extended period of light snow with some ocean enhancement snow possible across East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts late Saturday Night through Monday Afternoon. Currently, snow is expected to be on the light side between a coating and 2 inches but this will be monitored as overall forecast confidence is lower than normal for the short-term forecast period..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 11 PM Saturday Evening through 10 PM Sunday Evening for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH and isolated higher gusts possible over the Outer Cape. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong wind and light snowfall potential for the region. Another and potentially more complete coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Sunday Morning depending on storm operations and forecast updates. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Area Forecast Discussion, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Wind Gust Map..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Gust Map:
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/Max-Wind-Gusts-1_15_22.png

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Late Thursday Night 1/12/23 Through Friday Afternoon 1/13/23 Strong Wind & Heavy Rainfall Potential

January 13, 2023 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Strong winds likely in Southeast New England along with much of Southern New England receiving rainfall from 0.75-1.5″ with isolated higher amounts and perhaps even some convective showers and isolated or a fine line of thunderstorms that will help bring strong winds down to the surface..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 11 PM Thursday Evening to 2 PM Friday Afternoon for Bristol, Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts and Southeast Providence, Eastern Kent, Bristol, Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island including Block Island for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Other coastal and higher terrain areas could see wind gusts of around 40 MPH. These winds will cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm system from late Thursday Night into Friday Afternoon. This will likely be the only coordination message on this storm system unless a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Wind Advisory Statement:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Late Thursday Night 1/5/23 Freezing Drizzle and Friday 1/6/23 Accumulating Snow Potential

January 6, 2023 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Light Freezing Drizzle overnight will cause a few icy spots in parts of western and northern Massachusetts and then a potential for accumulating snow particularly for the higher elevations is expected on Friday. The key factors for rain versus wet snow will be how cold temperatures are as they will be near or slightly above 32 degrees, how heavy the precipitation is as heavier precipitation would lend to heavier snow and higher elevations would stand the best chance of getting the highest snowfall accumulations..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to 7 PM Friday for Hampshire, Hampden, Southern Worcester, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Western Essex and Western Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts with 1-3″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and the higher amounts in the higher elevations. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 7 PM Friday for Western Franklin, Northern Worcester, and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and the highest amounts in the higher elevations..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports and any temperature and precipitation type reports for Friday as amounts could vary widely based on elevation, temperature and where any heavier bands of snow may setup in the region. This will be the only coordination message on this wet snow potential unless a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday Afternoon & Evening 1/5/23 Light Icing Potential

January 5, 2023 Rob Macedo

Hello to all…

..Light icing may cause slick road conditions for a time midday Thursday through Thursday Evening for parts of interior Northern and West-Central Massachusetts..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from Noon to 10 PM EDT Thursday for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire, Western Hampden and Northern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and from 1-10 PM EDT Thursday for Eastern Franklin, Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts for a light icing glaze from Freezing Rain and Freezing Drizzle resulting in slick travel conditions. This was originally expected for the morning commute but the timeframe of colder air has shifted making the late afternoon/evening commute the greater risk for slick travel conditions..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the light icing conditions for Thursday Afternoon into Thursday Evening. This will be the only coordination message on this storm situation unless a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Weather Advisory Statement & Snow/Ice Accretion Maps:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

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