Storm Coordination Message #3 – Late Monday Evening 2/27/23-Tuesday Evening 2/28/23 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all…

..A moderate plowable snowstorm remains likely for much of Southern New England late Monday Night into Tuesday Afternoon. Winter Storm Warnings issued for portions of Southern New England..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 PM Monday Evening through 7 PM Tuesday Evening for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 7-10″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The worst conditions will be overnight into the Tuesday Morning commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 PM Monday Evening through 7 PM Tuesday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Worcester, Northwest Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts, Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The worst conditions will be overnight into the Tuesday Morning commute timeframe..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 9 PM Monday Evening through 7 PM Tuesday Evening for the remainder of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for 2-6″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in interior Southeast Massachusetts and Southeast Rhode Island with lower amounts along the immediate coast particularly over Cape Cod and the Islands..
..Wind Gusts inland will be 25-30 MPH and along the coast wind gusts of 35-40 MPH are possible. At this time, the snow consistency and these winds are not expected to cause damage but this aspect will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely and an initial schedule of Amateur Radio Nets is listed in this message mostly centered from Tuesday Morning through mid-afternoon Tuesday though there will be one or two late Monday evening call-up nets in Western Massachusetts..

A moderate plowable snowstorm remains likely for much of Southern New England late Monday Night into Tuesday Afternoon. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) The strength of the approaching system as if its able to maintain strength further south and east, it could result in a bit more snowfall and those model trends of a bit of a stronger system has continued so the Winter Storm Warning was expanded to more of the region.
2.) Exact placement of the heaviest snowfall. The highest confidence is in the current Winter Storm Warning areas but other portions of the Winter Weather Advisory area will be monitored.
3.) The amount of mixing along southeast coastal areas in addition to precipitation intensity for this region. This is the area of greatest uncertainty on snow amounts.
4.) Winds and snow consistency should be such that tree and power line damage should be minimal but this will be monitored closely.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely and an initial schedule of Amateur Radio Nets is listed in this message mostly centered from Tuesday Morning through mid-afternoon Tuesday though there will be one or two late Monday evening call-up nets in Western Massachusetts. Here is the current Amateur Radio Call-Up Net schedule and if time allows another update will be posted Monday Evening:

146.940-Mount Tom Repeater (PL: 127.3 Hz): Monday 2/27/23: 800 PM (if needed), 1000 PM & Tuesday 2/28/23: 600 AM, 800 AM, 1200 PM, 200 PM etc. as needed.
146.790-Vernon CT repeater (PL: 82.5 Hz): Tuesday 2/28/23 – will have active nets – timeframe is TBD
146.970-Paxton Repeater (PL: 114.8 Hz): Tuesday 2/28/23 – 630 AM (pending net control availability), 830 AM, 1030 AM, 1230 PM, 230 PM etc. as needed.
146.895-Walpole Repeater (PL: 123.0 Hz): Tuesday 2/28/23 – 700 AM, 900 AM, 1100 AM, 100 PM, 300 PM etc. as needed.
NB1RI Repeater System: Tuesday 2/28/23 – will have active nets – timeframe is TBD
147.180-Bridgewater Repeater: Tuesday 2/28/23 – will have active nets – timeframe is TBD
147.000-Dartmouth Repeater: Tuesday 2/28/23 – will have active nets – timeframe is TBD
-The New England Reflector system *NEW-ENG3* Echolink conference node: 9123/IRLP 9123 system will be monitored from around 530-600 AM through 300 PM for any snowfall reports.

Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement with Snowfall Maps/Infographics, Area Forecast Discussion and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Winter_Headlines.png

https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/02_27_23-NWS-Boston-Onset-Snowfall.png

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
https://www.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/wx1box