Storm Coordination Message #2 – Friday Evening 3/2/23-Saturday Evening 3/3/23 Coastal Storm Impacts

Hello to all…

..Coastal Storm Will Impact Portions of Southern New England with significant snowfall north of the Mass Pike away from the coast, Wintry Mix to rain in interior locations south of the Mass Pike with a Wintry Mix to Rain in East Coastal And Southeast Coastal New England, strong to damaging winds and minor coastal flooding Friday Evening to Saturday Evening. Subtle, small track differences could mean significant changes to the final snow and/or ice/wintry mix accumulations in the region..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect through 7 PM Saturday Evening for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester, North-Central Middlesex and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and wind gusts to 40 MPH except in Eastern Essex County particularly Cape Ann where wind gusts will be as high as 50-60 MPH. The potentially wet consistency of the snow and strong wind gusts could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 7 PM Saturday Evening for Providence, Kent Counties of Rhode Island, Northern Connecticut, Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk and Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts for 2-6″ of snow with the highest amounts near the Mass Pike and west of Route 128..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 4 AM to 6 PM Saturday for Eastern Essex and Barnstable Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with Gusts to 60 MPH likely. A Wind Advisory is in effect from 4 AM to 6 PM Saturday for Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, and Plymouth counties, from 1 AM-10 AM Saturday for Southern Bristol County Massachusetts, Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island including Block Island and from 1 AM to 6 PM Saturday for Dukes and Nantucket Counties. These winds could cause isolated to scattered tree and power line damage and power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 5-9 AM Saturday Morning for Washington County RI and 8 AM-Noon Saturday for Dukes ad Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts for minor coastal flooding of shore roads with the possibility of isolated moderate pockets of coastal flooding in Dukes and Nantucket Counties of Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely late Friday Evening and especially Saturday for snowfall and ice totals, precip type reports, minor coastal flooding reports and strong to damaging winds in coastal Southern New England. An Amateur Radio Call-Up Net schedule appears below..

A coastal storm will impact the region late Friday evening into Saturday Evening. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors include:
1.) A subtle, small track difference of 25-50 miles south could mean heavier snow in the Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory area and more snow and ice in areas further south across Southern New England. A track difference of 25-50 miles north could mean more rain than frozen precipitation south of the Mass Pike and more of a wintry mix north of the Mass Pike.
2.) The track differences and amount of cold air will determine the snow consistency and whether its heavy and wet in and near the Winter Storm Warning area. If its a heavy wet snow with wind gusts to 40 MPH, it could result in isolated pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages and will be monitored closely.
3.) Strong to damaging winds in coastal areas are likely unlike the storm earlier this week where winds were light with High Wind Warnings for Cape Cod and Cape Ann and Wind Advisories for much of the rest of East and South Coastal Massachusetts through Plymouth and Eastern Norfolk Counties.
4.) Minor coastal flooding is possible at the time of high tide in portions of Southern Rhode Island, Nantucket and Marthas Vineyard with a low risk for pockets of moderate coastal flooding in Nantucket and Marthas Vineyard.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with Amateur Radio Call-Up Nets are likely late Friday Evening and especially Saturday for snowfall and ice totals, precip type reports, minor coastal flooding reports and strong to damaging winds in coastal Southern New England. An Amateur Radio Call-Up Net schedule appears below:
146.940-Mount Tom Repeater – 800 AM, 1000 AM, 1200 PM, 200 PM etc. as needed and resources allow (It is noted that many Amateurs may attend the Mount Tom Amateur Radio Association Hamfest so snow reports before and after attending that Hamfest would be appreciated)
146.970-Paxton Repeater – 830 AM, 1030 AM, 1230 PM, 230 PM etc. as needed
145.450-Fitchburg Repeater/145.370-Route 2 Corridor System- 730 AM, 930 AM, 1130 AM, 130 PM etc. as needed
146.790-Vernon CT Repeater- Nets Saturday Morning if/as needed
NB1RI Repeater System – RI – 700 AM, 900 AM, 1100 AM, 100 PM, 300 PM etc. as needed
Other nets in Southeast and East Coastal New England will be monitored as needed including the New England Weather Net and Cape and Islands Weather Net.

This will be the last coordination message as we shift into operations mode. Below is the NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement and Infographics, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement and Infographics, Area Forecast Discussion, and Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Boston/Norton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement and Snow Maps/Infographics:
https://www.weather.gov/box/winter
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/FqU0ukTaEAAwsth.png
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/FqU0yBraIAAmUvD.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement and Infographics:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=NPW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/FqU0wUuaEAAPvdM.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement and Infographics:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=CFW&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
https://wx1box.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/FqTgEk8acAIS6_X.jpg

NWS Boston/Norton Area Forecast Discussion:
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

NWS Boston/Norton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=box

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
https://ares.ema.arrl.org
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