Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Monday July 4th, 2011 Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible in portions of Southern New England with the greatest risk in Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts. SPC has placed New Hampshire and Maine in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather Today..
..Key potential limiters in severe weather potential today is drier air in the mid levels of the atmosphere and weak wind fields..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible this afternoon and evening..
At 910 AM, Satellite imagery shows high level clouds over Southern New England with sunshine and heating occurring through those clouds while in Northern New England conditions are sunny. A trough over Quebec will move southeast into the region today and this can be seen on Satellite imagery as well. Heating should allow for destablization of the atmosphere across the region through this afternoon. As the trough approaches the region, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop as we get into the afternoon and evening hours. The greatest threat appears to be in Northern and Central New Hampshire and Maine where wind fields are a bit stronger, however, portions of Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts in the NWS Taunton County Warning Area may see activity as the trough swings through the region. Wind fields are weaker over Southern New England and dry air in the mid-levels of the atmosphere may limit coverage of any strong to severe thunderstorms, however, if stronger wind fields enter the region and/or thunderstorms overcome the mid-level dry air, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop in portions of Southern New England particularly over Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts. Trends will be monitored throughout the day.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible this afternoon and evening. This will likely be the only complete coordiantion message on today’s event. A shortened coordination message will be sent if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible in portions of Southern New England with the greatest risk in Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts. SPC has placed New Hampshire and Maine in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather Today..
..Key potential limiters in severe weather potential today is drier air in the mid levels of the atmosphere and weak wind fields..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible this afternoon and evening..
At 910 AM, Satellite imagery shows high level clouds over Southern New England with sunshine and heating occurring through those clouds while in Northern New England conditions are sunny. A trough over Quebec will move southeast into the region today and this can be seen on Satellite imagery as well. Heating should allow for destablization of the atmosphere across the region through this afternoon. As the trough approaches the region, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop as we get into the afternoon and evening hours. The greatest threat appears to be in Northern and Central New Hampshire and Maine where wind fields are a bit stronger, however, portions of Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts in the NWS Taunton County Warning Area may see activity as the trough swings through the region. Wind fields are weaker over Southern New England and dry air in the mid-levels of the atmosphere may limit coverage of any strong to severe thunderstorms, however, if stronger wind fields enter the region and/or thunderstorms overcome the mid-level dry air, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will develop in portions of Southern New England particularly over Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts. Trends will be monitored throughout the day.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible this afternoon and evening. This will likely be the only complete coordiantion message on today’s event. A shortened coordination message will be sent if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org