Storm Coordination Message #4 – Friday 3/4/16 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..A powerful ocean storm will track offshore of Southern New England. Model trends have held steady on the storm track and Cape Cod and the Islands is expected to get a light snowfall but strong to damaging winds likely. Will continue to closely monitor the storm given a small deviation in track closer to the coast could result in more snow and stronger winds for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for Nantucket from 7 AM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for 2-4″ of snow. Cape Cod and Martha’s Vineyard is expected to receive 1-3″ of snow at this time..
..It is noted that ocean effect snow may cause a Coating to 2″ accumulation over East Coastal Massachusetts and the North Shore of Massachusetts. Other parts of Southern New England will likely see a Coating to 1″ of snow and could cause some slick travel spots..
..A Wind Advisory remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 4 PM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. The strong winds coupled with any wet snowfall could bring isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning..

An ocean storm will organize over the Mid-Atlantic states and offshore of North Carolina and track offshore of Southern New England and south and east of the 40 North/70 West benchmark. Model trends remain steady on the track of the storm system. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking with less snow but the continued threat of strong to damaging winds. It has been noted that there is some ocean effect snow over the North Shore and other parts of East Coastal Massachusetts which could result in light snow amounts in these areas of a Coating to 2″ and there could be a Coating to 1″ of snow in other parts of Southern New England. This may cause slick travel but is not expected to become more significant for accumulations but we will continue to monitor.

The storm will still bear close monitoring for Cape Cod and the Islands as any small wobbles and deviations in track, how tightly the storm wraps, and any ocean effect enhancement will affect snowfall amounts and as we’ve seen with other large offshore systems, if the envelope of heavier precipitation extends well away from the storm center or a track slightly closer to the coast occurs, it could allow for a period of heavier snowfall. This will continue to be monitored as we get into the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning. This will be the last coordination message on this storm situation unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Friday 3/4/16 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..A powerful ocean storm will track offshore of Southern New England. Model trends have been further offshore meaning less impact even to Cape Cod and the Islands with a light snowfall expected but strong to damaging winds likely. Will continue to closely monitor the storm given a small deviation in track closer to the coast could result in more snow and stronger winds for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect for Nantucket from 7 AM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for 2-4″ of snow. Cape Cod and Martha’s Vineyard is expected to receive 1-3″ of snow at this time..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 4 PM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH. The strong winds coupled with any wet snowfall could bring isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning..

An ocean storm will organize over the Mid-Atlantic states and offshore of North Carolina and track offshore of Southern New England and south and east of the 40 North/70 West benchmark. Model trends have been further offshore with the system and is resulting in lesser snowfall amounts for Cape Cod and the Islands but strong to damaging winds remain likely and coupled with any snowfall could result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking with less snow but the continued threat of strong to damaging winds. The storm will still bear close monitoring for Cape Cod and the Islands as any small wobbles and deviations in track, how tightly the storm wraps, and any ocean effect enhancement will affect snowfall amounts and as we’ve seen with other large offshore systems, if the envelope of heavier precipitation extends well away from the storm center or a track slightly closer to the coast occurs, it could allow for a period of heavier snowfall. This will continue to be monitored as we get into the storm event.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this storm system late Friday Morning through early Saturday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Friday 3/4/16 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..A powerful ocean storm will track offshore of Southern New England but will pass close enough to the region for accumulating snow and strong winds in Southeast New England, especially for Cape Cod and the Islands, but will need to be monitored for impacts in other parts of Southeast New England with a sharp cutoff to the northwest as seen with other offshore ocean storm systems this winter..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Friday Afternoon through late Friday Night for Cape Cod and the Islands for 4-8″ of snow and sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH possible. The combination of wet snow and strong winds could result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Morning through late Friday Night..

An ocean storm will organize over the Mid-Atlantic states and offshore of North Carolina and track offshore of Southern New England and south of the 40 North/70 West benchmark but its large envelope could result in accumulating wet snow and strong winds across Cape Cod and the Islands in particular but potentially other parts of Southeast New England. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking though this thinking could change as we have seen with several other offshore systems this winter. Current model trends were slightly further offshore which means the most impacts would remain confined to Cape Cod and the Islands and especially the Outer Cape and Nantucket, however, small wobbles and deviations in track could bring the snow further northwest into other parts of Cape Cod and the Islands and Southeast New England and there still is a wider range in tracks with the storm system along with the other factor of how tightly the storm wraps that will snow amounts. Future forecasts and model runs will better define the storm track and impacts to the region.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Morning through late Friday Night. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Thursday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Friday 3/4/16 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..A powerful ocean storm will track offshore of Southern New England but will pass close enough to the region for accumulating snow and strong winds in Southeast New England, especially for Cape Cod and the Islands, but will need to be monitored for impacts in other parts of Southeast New England with a sharp cutoff to the northwest as seen with other offshore ocean storm systems this winter..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Friday Afternoon through late Friday Night for Cape Cod and the Islands for 4-8″ of snow and sustained winds of 20-35 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH possible. The combination of wet snow and strong winds could result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Morning through late Friday Night..

An ocean storm will organize over the Mid-Atlantic states and offshore of North Carolina and track offshore of Southern New England and south of the 40 North/70 West benchmark but its large envelope could result in accumulating wet snow and strong winds across Cape Cod and the Islands in particular but potentially other parts of Southeast New England. The headlines of the coordination message reflect current thinking though this thinking could change as we have seen with several other offshore system this winter. There are indications in the models that there again could be a closer to the region track resulting in heavier snow and that snow extending a bit further north and west into other parts of Southeast New England. Other model runs are further offshore with less snowfall including in the current winter storm watch area. Future forecasts and model runs will better define the storm track and impacts to the region.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible late Friday Morning through late Friday Night. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday March 2nd, 2016 – Strong Wind and Heavy Rainfall Potential

Hello to all..

..Strong Storm System to bring a short period of Wintry Mix to interior locations followed by a period of heavy rain and possible urban and poor drainage flooding and strong to damaging winds with isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages possible..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 1 AM Wednesday for Central Middlesex, Eastern Hampden and Southern Worcester County for up to an inch of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 6 AM Wednesday for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex County of Massachusetts for up to an inch of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to 9 AM Wednesday for Cape Cod and the Islands and Southern Bristol, Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Newport County Rhode Island for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages are possible..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 4 AM to 9 AM Wednesday for Eastern Essex County Massachusetts for sustained winds of 15-20 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages are possible..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 AM to 4 PM Wednesday Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages are possible..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the strong winds and heavy rain potential early Wednesday Morning to Wednesday Afternoon. This will be the only coordination message on this storm event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Wind Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Storm/Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Late Wednesday Night 2/24/16-Thursday Evening 2/25/16 Storm/Severe Weather/Wind Potential

Hello to all..

..Heavy Rainfall, Strong Winds and the threat for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds and small hail are possible overnight into early Thursday Morning across much of Southern New England. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a Marginal Risk for severe weather with much of Connecticut in a Slight Risk for Severe Weather. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for Fairfield, Middlesex, New Haven and New London Counties of Connecticut until 2 AM Thursday..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 PM Wednesday Evening through 7 PM Thursday Evening for Southeast Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands and all of Rhode Island except for Northwest RI for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts to 50 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. There could be two rounds of strong winds in this area, one during the overnight and another in the mid afternoon into early evening..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 PM Wednesday Evening through 7 AM Thursday Morning for Northwest Rhode Island, Northern Connecticut, Norfolk, Suffolk, Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts to 50 MPH. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. This area should only see strong winds during the overnight time period..
..Isolated pockets of minor coastal flooding possible in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island during the Thursday Morning high tide and will be monitored. This could result in minor flooding of shore roads during the high tide..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions overnight tonight into Thursday Morning for heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds and minor coastal flooding and in the Thursday Afternoon into early evening timeframe for strong winds in Southeast Massachusetts and much of Rhode Island. It is advised that SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators should have weather radio alert systems or computer or cell phone app based systems online to alert of severe thunderstorm warnings or other similar warnings during the overnight hours..

An active weather night is possible over Southern New England. The headlines of this message reflect the current thinking. While its rare to have the possibility for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms in an overnight timeframe in February, it is not unprecedented. With a warm front moving through the area, temperatures will warm to the upper 40s and 50s across interior Southern New England and even lower 60s across Southeast New England. One area rain is moving through Southern New England, and a line of heavy rain and strong to severe thunderstorms is over Eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey and will swing east-northeastward into the area. This will being heavy rainfall with possible urban and poor drainage flooding along with potentially 1-2″ of rainfall with isolated higher amounts, strong winds and the potential for damaging winds in any thunderstorms or convection that can pull the strongest winds down to the surface with an isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outage threat. SPC has placed much of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather with a slight risk for severe weather for Connecticut. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for Southern Connecticut until 2 AM and this will be monitored for any possible expansion. Wind Advisories are posted for wind gusts to 50 MPH but if winds meet severe criteria of 58 MPH or greater and associated with thunderstorms, Severe Thunderstorm Warnings could be issued. It is advised that SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators should have weather radio alert systems or computer or cell phone app based systems online to alert of severe thunderstorm warnings or other similar warnings during the overnight hours.

It is noted that across Southeast Massachusetts and portions of Rhode Island, a second pulse of strong winds could occur during the afternoon and early evening. For that reason, the wind advisory is in effect through 7 PM Thursday Evening. Also south coastal Massachusetts and South Coastal Rhode Island could see isolated pockets of minor coastal flooding at the time of the Thursday Morning high tide resulting in minor street flooding of shore roads and this will be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor conditions overnight tonight into Thursday Morning for heavy rainfall, strong to damaging winds and minor coastal flooding and in the Thursday Afternoon into early evening timeframe for strong winds in Southeast Massachusetts and much of Rhode Island. This will be the last coordination message posted for this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Hazard Message, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Hazard Message:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2016/day1otlk_20160225_0100.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-187(508) 994-1875(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-450(508) 997-4503(508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday Afternoon 2/23/16-Thursday Morning 2/25/16 Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Wintry Mix expected late Tuesday Afternoon into Wednesday Morning for portions of interior Southern New England with the main impact hazardous travel but will monitor the freezing rain threat closely for any impacts. The precipitation will then change to rain, heavy at times, with urban and poor drainage flooding possible later Wednesday into Thursday Morning with the potential for strong to damaging winds in portions of Southeast New England and minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 4 PM Tuesday Afternoon to 6 AM Wednesday Morning for Tolland and Windham Counties of Connecticut, Northwest Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island and Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Western Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts for 1-2″ of snow and a trace of ice causing hazardous travel..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 2 PM Tuesday Afternoon to Noon Wednesday for Hartford County Connecticut and Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 1-3″ of snow and a trace to 0.15″ of icing with isolated higher amounts to 0.25″ possible. The main threat is hazardous travel but areas that receive 0.25″ of icing could see isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the Winter Weather Advisory areas late Tuesday Afternoon through Wednesday Morning. The heavy rain, minor coastal flooding and strong wind potential and SKYWARN Activation posture for Wednesday Night into Thursday will be detailed further in future coordination messages..

A wintry mix will affect portions of interior Southern New England late this afternoon and early evening lasting into Wednesday Morning. The headlines of this coordination message depict the latest information and areas affected. This wintry mix is largely to be a travel concern but there will be monitoring for northwest parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area where ice accretion could reach 0.15″ with isolated amounts to 0.25″. If 0.25″ amounts are realized, this may allow for isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages and this will bear watching.

As we move into later Wednesday Afternoon, Wednesday Night and into Thursday Morning, heavy rainfall will impact the area with the potential for strong to damaging winds particularly in Southeast New England but potentially in other areas if heavy rains can bring the stronger winds down to the surface or a line of thunderstorms is able to develop which could allow for strong winds to reach the surface along or ahead of the convective line. Rainfall amounts of 1-2″ are likely with isolated higher amounts possible along with the strong winds. The strongest winds are expected between 3-9 AM. Minor coastal flooding along South Coastal Massachusetts and South Coastal Rhode Island given the strong southerly winds is possible as well. These potential hazards will be detailed further in future coordination messages.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the Winter Weather Advisory areas late Tuesday Afternoon through Wednesday Morning. The heavy rain, minor coastal flooding and strong wind potential and SKYWARN Activation posture for Wednesday Night into Thursday will be detailed further in future coordination messages. The next coordination message will be posted by 1100 PM Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503(508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Tuesday 2/16/16 Light Icing/Strong to Damaging Wind and Heavy Rainfall Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Light Icing through mid-morning in western parts of Southern New England followed by a round of heavy rain and strong to damaging winds for eastern portions of Southern New England..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect through 9 AM Tuesday for Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex, Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts and Hartford County Connecticut for light icing conditions. Temperatures should warm above freezing by mid-morning ending the icing threat..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 1 to 10 PM Tuesday for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties, Cape Cod and the Islands and all of Rhode Island for a period of strong to damaging winds sustained at 15 to 25 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH when a band of heavy rain and even embedded thunderstorms move through the region. These winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 1 to 7 PM Tuesday for Windham County Connecticut and Central Middlesex, Southern Worcester and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 10 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 50 MPH when a band of heavy rain and even embedded thunderstorms move through the region. These winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..Brief heavy rains may cause urban and poor drainage flooding between the heavy rainfall and snow melt..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will be monitoring the storm today with Ops at NWS Taunton possible as we move towards this afternoon and evening for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall threat..

During the late afternoon and evening on Monday, light snow amounts and icing occurred over the region with temperatures remaining below freezing. Through the overnight, Southeast New England has warmed above freezing with northern and western areas remaining at or below freezing. Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect through 9 AM per the headlines for light icing conditions as much of the precipitation changed to sleet and then freezing rain around or after midnight in the remaining advisory areas while other parts of the region changed over to rain after a period of snow, sleet and freezing rain. Latest snow and ice reports can be seen here:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

After mid-morning, attention turns to the heavy rainfall and damaging wind threats. The headlines indicate the current High Wind Warning and Wind Advisory areas across much of Eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Northeast Connecticut. As is generally the case with southerly winds, it is difficult to know how much wind will reach the surface. A few degree temperature change and the ability of precipitation to drag the strong wind to the surface are always key in determining how much of the winds reach the ground. The current model runs suggest the scenarios as listed in the current warnings and advisories. Brief heavy rainfall may also cause urban and poor drainage flooding between the heavy rainfall and the snow melt.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will be monitoring the storm today with Ops at NWS Taunton possible as we move towards this afternoon and evening for the strong to damaging wind and heavy rainfall threats. This will be the last complete coordination message on this storm. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday Late Afternoon 2/15/16-Tuesday Evening 2/16/16 Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..After extreme cold and strong winds across all of Southern New England and light snows on Cape Cod, another storm system will bring snow and a wintry mix of precipitation late Monday Afternoon into Tuesday Morning before changing into rain and the rain being heavy at times along with the potential for strong winds later Tuesday into Tuesday Evening and minor coastal flooding at the time of Tuesday’s high tide over South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 3 PM Monday to 6 AM Tuesday for a mixture of snow, sleet and freezing rain for Northern Connecticut, Southern Worcester, Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Eastern Hampden Counties for 1-3″ of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 3 PM Monday to 9 AM Tuesday for a mixture of snow, sleet and freezing rain for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester, Western Hampden and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-4″ of snow and up to one tenth inch of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 4 PM Monday to 1 AM Tuesday for Rhode Island except for Block Island and Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth counties for a 1″ of snow and a trace to a few hundredths of an inch of ice..
..A High Wind Watch is in effect from Tuesday Afternoon to Tuesday Evening for Rhode Island except for Northwest Providence County and Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk, Bristol, Plymouth, Barnstable, Dukes and Nantucket Counties for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts up to 50-60 MPH. These strong to damaging winds could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..Minor urban and poor drainage flooding is possible in heavy rainfall with any snow melt through the day on Tuesday with 1-1.5″ rainfall amounts possible. At this time the strongest winds are expected to occur at low tide precluding a threat for minor coastal flooding along the South Coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island but this will continue to be monitored..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the wintry weather conditions for late Monday Afternoon into early Tuesday Morning. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely on Tuesday to monitor heavy rainfall and strong wind potential with Ops at NWS Taunton possible for the strong to damaging wind potential..

A strong storm system will track west of Southern New England Monday Night through Tuesday Night. The track of the storm known as an “inside runner” will bring a period of snow and mixed precipitation to portions of interior Southern New England before precipitation changes to rain. The storm message headlines depict the areas where Winter Weather Advisories are in effect. The main change was to expand the Winter Weather Advisories to all locations except Cape Cod and the Islands. A wintry mix of precipitation is expected across Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island before a changeover to rain with some sleet and freezing rain making for hazardous travel in these areas. The freezing rain will last longer in Western and Central parts of Southern New England. At this time, expecting all icing to be more of a road hazard then a damage concern but this will be monitored. The cold ground from the recent cold weather may allow for icing to last longer even at marginal temperatures.

There will be very strong winds aloft and at this time while their remains uncertainty as to how much wind and how long any strong wind could mix down to the surface, there remains a concern for a short period of strong to damaging winds causing isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages in Eastern New England where a High Wind Watch is in effect from Tuesday Afternoon through Tuesday Evening for much of East Coastal and Southeast Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island except Northwest Rhode Island. Minor urban and poor drainage flooding is possible in heavy rainfall with any snow melt through the day on Tuesday with 1-1.5″ rainfall amounts possible.  At this time the strongest winds are expected to occur at low tide precluding a threat for minor coastal flooding along the South Coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island but this will continue to be monitored.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the wintry weather conditions for late Monday Afternoon into early Tuesday Morning. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely on Tuesday to monitor heavy rainfall and strong wind potential with Ops at NWS Taunton possible for the strong to damaging wind potential. The next coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #:(508) 994-1875(After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday Late Afternoon 2/15/16-Tuesday Evening 2/16/16 Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..After extreme cold and strong winds across all of Southern New England and light snows on Cape Cod, another storm system will bring snow and a wintry mix of precipitation late Monday Afternoon into Tuesday Morning before changing into rain and the rain being heavy at times along with the potential for strong winds later Tuesday into Tuesday Evening and minor coastal flooding at the time of Tuesday’s high tide over South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Monday to 6 AM Tuesday for a mixture of snow, sleet and freezing rain for Northern Connecticut, Southern Worcester, Central Middlesex, Western Essex and Eastern Hampden Counties for 1-3″ of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM Monday to 9 AM Tuesday for a mixture of snow, sleet and freezing rain for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester, Western Hampden and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-4″ of snow and up to one tenth inch of ice..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the wintry weather conditions for late Monday Afternoon into early Tuesday Morning. Details on the potential heavy rainfall, strong winds across Southern New England and potential for minor coastal flooding along the south coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island for Tuesday will be posted in later coordination messages..

After the extreme cold and strong winds Southern New England experienced this weekend, the pattern will turn stormy but also signal a warming trend. The wind and extreme cold low temperature info can be seen via the following link:

http://beta.wx1box.org/local/wind_temp_reports_2_13_16_2_14_16.txt

A strong storm system will track west of Southern New England Monday Night through Tuesday Night. The track of the storm known as an “inside runner” will bring a period of snow and mixed precipitation to portions of interior Southern New England before precipitation changes to rain. The storm message headlines depict the areas where Winter Weather Advisories are in effect. Rain will then become heavy at times Tuesday across much of Southern New England. There will be very strong winds aloft but it is unclear how much of those winds will reach the surface. Depending on the strength of the winds and the storm track, minor coastal flooding will be possible at the time of high tide across south coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the wintry weather conditions for late Monday Afternoon into early Tuesday Morning. Details on the potential heavy rainfall, strong winds across Southern New England and potential for minor coastal flooding along the south coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island for Tuesday will be posted in later coordination messages. The next coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Map:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875(508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503(508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more

1 120 121 122 123 124 206