Hello to all…

..After a mild spring-like day Wednesday, conditions will get colder and a coastal storm will organize bringing a significant snowfall for Southern New England with strong to damaging winds along the coast and in Eastern New England and a period of blizzard conditions for Eastern Plymouth County and Cape Cod and the Islands and near blizzard conditions in portions of Eastern New England early Thursday Morning through Thursday Evening..
..A Blizzard Warning is now in effect from 9 AM to 8 PM Thursday for Cape Cod and the Islands including Block Island Rhode Island and Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts for 8-14″ of snow with isolated higher amounts or a band of higher amounts of 14-18″ of snow except on Nantucket where 6-12″ of snow is expected. In the Blizzard Warning area, sustained winds of 20-40 MPH with wind gusts of 50-60 MPH. With the heavy snowfall and strong to damaging winds, this will have the potential to create blizzard conditions and isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 4 AM Thursday Morning to 8 PM Thursday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 7-14″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and wind gusts in the 20-35 MPH range..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 6 AM Thursday Morning through 8 PM Thursday Night for all of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts not covered by the blizzard warning for 8-14″ of snow with isolated higher amounts or a band of higher amounts of 14-18″ possible and sustained winds of 10-20 MPH with higher sustained winds closer to the coast of 20-30 MPH and wind gusts in the 40-50 MPH range with the higher gusts at the coast. The winds and snowfall may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages along with considerable blowing and drifting snow and near blizzard conditions likely..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from 8 AM-1 PM Thursday for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands for minor coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of high tide and potentially extending a couple hours after high tide. Minor splashover could occur at the Thursday Evening high tide cycle…
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely commence no later than 6 AM Thursday Morning and last through Thursday Evening..

After a mild spring-like day will occur Wednesday, colder air will be entering the region Wednesday Night. As conditions get colder, a coastal storm will develop and bring a widespread significant snowfall to the region. The headlines depict the current thinking in terms of snowfall amounts and strong to damaging winds in Eastern New England and especially along the coast line including blizzard conditions for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands and Block Island where a Blizzard Warning is in effect. Near blizzard conditions are likely in eastern parts of the Winter Storm Warning area especially near the coast and Southeast Massachusetts in South Coastal Rhode Island. Heavier bands of snow are likely and some delineation of those areas are noted. Also, more of a widespread minor coastal flood event has resulted in a coastal flood advisory for East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for the Thursday Morning high tide cycle.  Key factors that will determine possible heavier bands of snow and stronger winds and extent of minor coastal flooding and damage from snow and strong winds are as follows:

1.) As stated previously, this will be a coastal storm and the track of the storm will determine where the heaviest snow and possibly a band or two of heavier snow beyond the current ranges will occur within the NWS Taunton coverage area. It will also determine where a wetter snow may occur which coupled with strong winds could result in isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. At this time, the consistency of the snow is expected to start as a wet snow and then get drier as colder air continues to move into the region. Since the last coordination message, heavier snowfall on Nantucket is looking more likely and that along with strong to damaging winds has resulted in a Blizzard Warning being issued for Nantucket along with the other islands, Cape Cod, and Eastern Plymouth County.
2.) There now appears to be the potential for a bigger build up of seas or waves for a bit more of a widespread minor coastal flood event resulting in a Coastal Flood Advisory for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands for the Thursday Morning high tide cycle. Shore road flooding is the biggest threat for coastal flooding Thursday Morning. More minor splashover and isolated coastal flooding is expected for the Thursday Evening high tide cycle as winds turn more offshore by that time.
3.) The track and intensity of the storm and the pressure gradient has meant a bump up in the strength of the winds over Coastal areas of Southern New England and extending into Southeast New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely commence no later than 6 AM Thursday Morning and last through Thursday Evening. This will be the last coordination message for this storm system unless time allows and a significant change to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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Hello to all…

..After a mild spring-like day Wednesday, conditions will get colder and a coastal storm will organize bringing a significant snowfall for Southern New England with strong winds along the coast and in Eastern New England late Wednesday Night through Thursday Evening..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 4 AM Thursday Morning to 9 PM Thursday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Franklin, Hampshire, Hampden, Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 8-12″ of snow with isolated or a band of higher amounts possible and wind gusts in the 20-35 MPH range..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 6 AM Thursday Morning through Midnight Thursday Night for all of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Nantucket for 6-12″ of snow with isolated or a band of higher amounts possible and sustained winds of 10-20 MPH with higher sustained winds closer to the coast of 20-30 MPH and wind gusts in the 40-50 MPH range with the higher gusts at the coast. The winds and snowfall may cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages along with considerable blowing and drifting snow..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely commence some time between 4-6 AM and last through Thursday Evening..

After the light wintry mix and icing overnight, a mild spring-like day will occur Wednesday but a cold front will move through the area with colder air lagging behind and entering the region Wednesday Night. As conditions get colder, a coastal storm will develop and bring a widespread significant snowfall to the region. The headlines depict the current thinking in terms of snowfall amounts and strong winds in Eastern New England and especially along the coast line. Key factors that will determine possible heavier bands of snow and stronger winds and possibly isolated minor coastal flooding are as follows:

1.) The Wednesday Evening through late Thursday Night winter storm event will be a coastal storm and the track of the storm will determine where the heaviest snow and possibly a band or two of heavier snow beyond the current ranges will occur within the NWS Taunton coverage area. It will also determine where a wetter snow may occur which coupled with strong winds could result in isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages and how much mixing or rain occurs on Nantucket Island.
2.) There will not be enough build up of seas or waves for a widespread coastal flood event but a few pockets of minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide may occur and will bear watching.
3.) The track and intensity of the storm and the pressure gradient will determine if stronger wind gusts beyond the current ranges are possible in the region.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will likely commence some time between 4-6 AM and last through Thursday Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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Hello to all…

..A Wintry Mix of precipitation winds down overnight followed by a mild spring-like day Wednesday. Conditions will get colder and a coastal storm will organize bringing a significant snowfall for Southern New England with strong winds along the coast and in Eastern New England late Wednesday Night through Thursday Evening..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until 3 AM Wednesday Morning for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for continued light wintry mix conditions..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until 10 PM Tuesday Evening for Northern Connecticut, Hampden, Southern Worcester, Central Middlesex and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for continued light wintry mix conditions..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Evening through late Thursday Night for the entire NWS Taunton Coverage area except for Nantucket Island for 8-12″ of snow with the possibility of higher amounts in a few areas within the watch area. Winds in Eastern Massachusetts and coastal Rhode island could be sustained at 15-30 MPH with gusts of 45-50 MPH with possible higher gusts along coastal areas. Wind gusts to 35 MPH are possible in the remaining watch areas. The winds at coastal areas and the possibility of heavier wetter snow particularly along the south coast of Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod could result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will continue to monitor light wintry mix conditions overnight. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely beginning early Thursday Morning lasting through Thursday Evening..

A light wintry mix is continuing across the Winter Weather Advisory as indicated in the headlines of this coordination message. Snowfall/sleet amounts in the advisory areas have been anywhere from a coating to around 4″ with some icing amounts anywhere from a trace to one-quarter inch of icing. Another trace of ice and/or snow is possible this evening with slick/icy conditions possible. If enough icing occurs, there could be some isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. This will wind down tonight with a spring-like day of temperatures in the 50s to possibly even the lower 60s before conditions quickly return to winter with a significant snowfall expected and a Winter Storm Watch up for the entire region except for Nantucket Island but a plowable snowfall is possible for Nantucket. The headlines of this coordination message depict the current thinking with the winter storm for Wednesday Evening through late Thursday Night. Other items for consideration with the upcoming winter storm include:

1.) The Wednesday Evening through late Thursday Night winter storm event will be a coastal storm and the track of the storm will determine where the heaviest snow and possibly a band or two of heavier snow beyond the current ranges will occur within the NWS Taunton coverage area. It will also determine where a wetter snow may occur which coupled with strong winds could result in isolated tree and wire damage and isolated power outages and how mixing or rain occurs on Nantucket Island.
2.) There will not be enough build up of seas or waves for a widespread coastal flood event but a few pockets of minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide may occur and will bear watching.
3.) The track and intensity of the storm and the pressure gradient will determine if stronger wind gusts beyond the current ranges are possible in the region.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will continue to monitor light wintry mix conditions overnight. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely beginning early Thursday Morning lasting through Thursday Evening.

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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Hello to all…

..Storm System for Tuesday into early Wednesday Morning will bring a wintry mix of precipitation to Southern New England and affect both the morning and evening commutes..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM Tuesday to 3 AM Wednesday for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 1-3″ of snow and ice accretion of up to one-tenth to one-quarter of an inch with amounts of one-quarter to one-half inch of ice possible in higher elevations. If heavier icing can occur, isolated tree and wire damage and Isolated power outages are possible..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM to 7 PM Tuesday for Northern Connecticut, Hampden, Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence County of Rhode Island for an inch or less of snow and one-tenth of an inch of ice or less..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM to 7 PM Tuesday for Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 1-3″ of snow and sleet and a trace of ice accumulation..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM to 11 AM Tuesday for Western Norfolk, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and Southeast Providence and Kent Counties of Rhode Island for a trace to a few hundredths of an inch of ice..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 5 AM to 1 PM Tuesday for Eastern Essex and Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for up to 1″ of snow and a trace of ice..
..There is high confidence in timing and that a wintry mix of precipitation types but lower confidence in precipitation amounts for the different types of frozen precipitation. The different precip type amounts have been adjusted for a bit more ice accumulation and lesser snow amounts. The northern and western parts of the advisory areas could see icing amounts where if higher ice accumulations occur, some isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages are possible. Other areas will see a lighter icing that will just affect travel conditions..
..Another winter storm is possible Wednesday Night into Thursday. This will be handled in future coordination messages after the Tuesday event has passed..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm on Tuesday. This will likely be the last coordination message for this storm event unless time allows and a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..Storm System for Tuesday into early Wednesday Morning will bring a wintry mix of precipitation to Southern New England and affect both the morning and evening commutes..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 6 AM Tuesday to 3 AM Wednesday for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-4″ of snow and ice accretion of up to one-tenth of an inch with amounts of one-tenth to one-quarter inch of ice possible in higher elevations..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 6 AM to 7 PM Tuesday for Northern Connecticut, Hampden, Southern Worcester Counties of Massachusetts and Northwest Providence County of Rhode Island for an inch or less of snow and one-tenth of an inch of ice or less..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 6 AM to 7 PM Tuesday for Central Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-4″ of snow and sleet and possibly a trace of ice accumulation..
..There is high confidence in timing and that a wintry mix of precipitation types but lower confidence in precipitation amounts for the different types of frozen precipitation. The different precip type amounts could be adjusted in future forecasts..
..Another winter storm is possible Wednesday Night into Thursday. This will be handled in future coordination messages after the Tuesday event has passed..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the storm on Tuesday. Another coordination message will be posted by 11 PM Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

We wanted to provide an update on the SKYWARN Training 2017 Schedule. We currently have 7 SKYWARN Classes booked across the region and we will be looking to add additional classes between now and early March. The complete schedule can be seen at the following links:

NWS Taunton SKYWARN Training Class Schedule Links:
http://beta.wx1box.org/node/36
http://www.weather.gov/box/skywarn

Please forward the current SKYWARN Training Class schedule links and information to any Amateur Radio Clubs or other volunteer groups who might be interested in becoming SKYWARN Spotters.

Also, as we have posted yearly as an off topic item, there are volunteer opportunities for the 2017 Boston Marathon including for Amateur Radio Operators across the start, course, finish and with transportation medical buses and for non-Amateur Radio Operators for various medical and logistical roles across these areas. Volunteer registration is open through 500 PM Wednesday February 8th. For volunteer information registration and information, please see the following link:

http://www.baa.org/races/boston-marathon/event-information/volunteer-information/volunteer-registration.aspx

If you are interested in volunteering for the 2017 Boston Marathon but are not sure at this early stage about whether you can participate, we encourage you to register now and if it turns out you cannot volunteer, send notification that you can no longer volunteer. It will be very difficult to bring in volunteers once registration closes.

For Amateur Radio/Ham Radio Operators, you don’t need to specify any group name or passcode. Just make sure you request at least one ham radio assignment in your preferences. Once you get your application confirmation number, you’re all set.

If you’re a returning volunteer (whether an Amateur Radio or non-Amateur Radio assignment), you’ll be asked to provide your BAA Volunteer Loyalty Number. You should’ve received that in a separate e-mail from the BAA today. There’s also a tool to look it up on the BAA volunteer site. If you still have trouble finding it, e-mail us and we can help you out.

Don’t delay! Volunteer registration closes on Wednesday February 8th at 500 PM. Help us get the word out by forwarding this e-mail to your club and other hams who might like to volunteer and for non-hams to any volunteer groups who might be interested in supporting the event. Most volunteers first learn about the event through word of mouth. If you know new amateurs or other new people involved in volunteering for events who might like to volunteer, make sure to let them know about it. Even just a quick mention at your club meeting or regular meeting of your organization can be a big help.

If you have any questions about volunteer registration, or the 2017 Marathon generally, please get in touch anytime. Volunteering at the Marathon is a big job, and we appreciate the time and effort everyone puts into it. We’re happy to do what we can to make your work more comfortable or effective.

Thanks to anyone who is interested in volunteering for the 2017 Boston Marathon and spreading the word on that event and for spreading the word on the current slate of SKYWARN Training Classes. Again, more SKYWARN Training classes will be scheduled over the next one month period.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
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Hello to all…

..A light to moderate snowfall expected Tuesday Afternoon into the early Wednesday Morning timeframe and will cause slippery travel during the Tuesday Evening commute. A short period of snowfall at a rate of 1″ to possibly 2″ per hour is possible this evening..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 11 AM Tuesday to 4 AM Wednesday for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and Massachusetts from North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts through the east slopes of the Berkshires for a widespread 2-4″ of snowfall with higher amounts of 4-6″ possible to likely in portions of Northeast Massachusetts from North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties through the Boston area, North Shore, Norfolk, Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 11 AM Tuesday to 4 AM Wednesday for South Coastal Rhode Island, South Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod for 2-4″ of snow..
..Martha’s Vineyard and Nantucket Islands are expected to receive a Coating to 2″ of snow with lighter precipitation and a possible mix or changeover to light rain..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall total reports through this storm event. This will be the last coordination message on this storm system unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..A light to moderate snowfall expected Tuesday Afternoon into the early Wednesday Morning timeframe and will cause slippery travel during the Tuesday Evening commute..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 11 AM Tuesday to 4 AM Wednesday for Northern Connecticut, North-Central Rhode Island and Massachusetts from North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts through the east slopes of the Berkshires for a widespread 2-4″ of snowfall with higher amounts of 4-6″ possible to likely in portions of Northeast Massachusetts from North-Central Bristol and North-Central Plymouth Counties through the Boston area, North Shore, Norfolk, Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts..
..Southern areas outside of the advisory area from South Coastal Massachusetts through South Coastal Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands are expected to receive 1-3″ of snow..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall total reports through this storm event. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Tuesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday Night into Tuesday Morning with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide Monday Evening and minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide Tuesday Morning and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts. Height of the coastal storm will be during the overnight hours Monday Night into early Tuesday Morning..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect until 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Essex, Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and isolated wind gusts in the 60-70 MPH range particularly on Cape Cod and the islands. These winds could result in isolated to scattered tree and power line damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is in effect for all of Central and Eastern Massachusetts including Hampden County Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Northern Connecticut for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts to 50-55 MPH with the higher wind gusts along coastal areas. These winds could result in isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages..
..A Flood Watch remains in effect from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands for heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with higher amounts possible in areas where heavy rain trains over the same area. This could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region and small river and stream flooding if amounts of more than 3″ occur in a short enough period of time..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Franklin, Hampshire, Worcester, Western Hampden, Northern and Central Middlesex, Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts, Hartford and Tolland Counties Connecticut for 3-6″ of snow in the higher terrain and the east slopes of the Berkshires and 1-4″ of snow along the Massachusetts and New Hampshire border and in Northwest and North-Central Connecticut and 0.10″-0.25″ of ice across the advisory area. This remains the most problematic area of the forecast as just a one degree temperature difference could make the difference between either heavier snowfall or more ice accretion or even just having a heavy rainfall..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect through 1000 PM Monday Evening for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, and Eastern Plymouth Counties for the Monday Evening high tide and the Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect through 1100 PM Monday Evening for Cape Cod and the Islands for the Monday Evening high tide cycle for splashover and minor coastal flooding of shore roads..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is in effect from 5 AM-11 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Essex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, and Eastern Plymouth Counties and from 6 AM-Noon Tuesday for Cape Cod and the Islands for the Tuesday Morning high tide cycle for minor to moderate coastal flooding of shore roads where the tide cycle is higher and could result in a more significant coastal flood episode in this area with additional road closures..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from 3 AM-7 AM Tuesday Morning for Washington and Newport Counties in Rhode Island and from 6 AM-Noon Tuesday for Dukes County (Marthas Vineyard) for isolated to scattered pockets of minor coastal flooding..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation with structured remote operations at minimum to ops at NWS Taunton will be utilized for the duration of this storm event..

This is the fifth and final message in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:

1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line remains very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages and tree and power line damage. Isolated pockets of wind damage are already occurring in the region.
2.) The snow and ice portion of this forecast remains lowest confidence and could be the area that has a very wide variance in outcomes. The headlines reflect the latest thinking but just a one or two degree temperature change could make the difference between heavy wet snow accumulations, significant ice and/or sleet accumulations or heavy rainfall. Also, higher terrain and elevation may also cause variability in snow, ice, and rain amounts. Some snow accumulations of 1-2″ have been recorded in parts of the advisory area already.
3.) Confidence has increased in widespread heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with the potential for higher amounts in bands across a portion of Eastern New England. This has resulted in flood watches being posted for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds will compensate for possible minor coastal flooding for the Monday Evening high tide with a more significant coastal flood episode likely for the Tuesday Morning high tide given the later time period for strong to damaging winds with the higher astronomical tide for that tide cycle. The main impact will be splashover and pockets of minor to moderate shore road flooding across East Coastal Massachusetts and to a lesser extent in parts of South Coastal RI.

SKYWARN Self-Activation with structured remote operations at minimum to ops at NWS Taunton will be utilized for the duration of this storm event. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday into early Tuesday with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts. Timing is about 6 hours later bringing the strongest part of the storm Monday Evening into the overnight hours into early Tuesday Morning..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts in the 60-70 MPH range from 9 AM Monday to 6 AM Tuesday with strongest winds early Monday Evening into Tuesday Morning. These winds will likely cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages. A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Eastern Essex and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts from Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts 50-60 MPH. The strongest winds occurring during Monday Evening into Tuesday Morning and these winds could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. Additional wind headlines will likely be issued across much of Southern New England as we get closer to the storm event, specifically Wind Advisories for much of the rest of Eastern New England and could extend to much of the NWS Taunton coverage area. These strong winds outside the High Wind Warning area could bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands for heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with higher amounts possible in areas where heavy rain trains over the same area. This could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region and small river and stream flooding if amounts of more than 3″ occur in a short enough period of time..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 4 PM Monday Afternoon through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampshire, and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts and Hartford County Connecticut for 1-2″ of snow and 0.25″-0.50″ of ice. Concern has increased since the last update on icing and possible ice storm like conditions but this remains highly uncertain given questions on what the predominant precip type will be. There may also be a period of light wintry mix overnight Sunday Evening in this area and a Special Weather Statement has been issued but the main wintry precipitation is expected late Monday Afternoon into early Tuesday Morning..
..Astronomical tides are very low on Monday Evening and somewhat higher on Tuesday Morning but still on the low side. The seas and wave action may bring some minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands depending on the strongest winds and fetch over the region. Given the later timing, the higher tide conditions may not happen until Tuesday Morning..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence between 5-6 PM Monday Evening and could last into at least a portion of the overnight hours. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region and whether Ops continue through the entire overnight hours..

This is the fourth in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:

1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line remains very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages. High Wind Watches remain in effect for Eastern Essex and Plymouth Counties Massachusetts from Monday Afternoon into Monday Night for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-60 MPH. Wind Advisories will likely be issued for much of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island in future forecasts and possibly into much of the rest of Southern New England. A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from 9 AM Monday to 6 AM Tuesday where sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts to 60-70 MPH could cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages with the strongest winds late Monday Afternoon into Tuesday Morning.
2.) How much snow and ice can occur in far inland areas of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. Currently, a Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 4 PM Monday Afternoon through 7 AM Tuesday Morning for Franklin, Western Hampshire, and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts and Hartford County Connecticut for 1-2″ of snow and 0.25″-0.50″ of ice. There has been some more concern in current models where the icing may reach the 0.50″ of radial ice criteria for an ice storm and this will bear close watching.
3.) Confidence has increased in widespread heavy rainfall of 2-3″ with the potential for higher amounts in bands across a portion of Eastern New England. This has resulted in flood watches being posted for Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and the Islands from Monday Afternoon through Tuesday Morning.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds may compensate enough if there is enough of a surge to result in minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide pending the strength of the strongest winds. The tide Monday Evening is about 1 foot lower than Tuesday Morning and the speed of the coastal storm and its coincidence with high tide will determine the extent of any minor coastal flooding and these details could still change as a 6-12 hour time difference will change the extent of any coastal flooding. Currently, timing is 6 hours later and is actually timed between the high tide cycles but it may mean that minor coastal flooding could occur more on the Tuesday Morning high tide versus the Monday Evening high tide and will continued to be monitored.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence between 5-6 PM Monday Evening and could last into at least a portion of the overnight hours. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region and whether Ops continue through the entire overnight hours. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Monday. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more