Special Announcement: ARRL Web Story: “We Are Ready!” – 2014 WX4NHC On-the-Air Station Test a Success

Hello to all..

The WX4NHC Communications Test last Saturday May 31st, 2014 was a great success with over 300 contacts made and various modes of passing surface reports to WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center completed. The ARRL Web Story can be seen via the following link and the ARRL Letter Story is also listed below:

http://www.arrl.org/news/we-are-ready-2014-wx4nhc-on-the-air-station-test-a-success

We are grateful to have a continued strong working relationship with the team at WX4NHC. Also, we are grateful to all those who checked in with WX4NHC via all the various modes including, Echolink, IRLP, D-STAR/RATS, HF, VHF, and UHF. A few additional pictures have been posted to the WX1BOX Facebook page from last week’s test. Thanks to all those who were able to check into the WX4NHC Communications Test for 2014!

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Special Announcement: Public Information Statement – Preliminary Meteorological Spring 2014 Review

Hello to all..

NWS Taunton issued their preliminary Meteorological Spring 2014 Review. The statement is listed via the link below:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/meteorological_spring_2014_PNS.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday June 3rd, 2014 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible across Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut between 545 and 1000 PM this Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to possibly damaging winds and torrential rainfall with possible urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats as a line of strong to severe thunderstorms slowly moves into the Connecticut River Valley area. Storms should weaken east of this area..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor this activity this evening. This will be the only coordination message on this threat. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Special Announcement: Remembering the June 1st, 2011 Massachusetts Tornado Outbreak – 3rd Anniversary

Hello to all..

We have reached the third-year anniversary of a historic day in Southern New England Weather History. The June 1st, 2011 Massachusetts Tornado Outbreak will be a day long remembered in weather history. This announcement recaps the tornado outbreak and the lessons learned that apply today. This message is leveraged from prior anniversary messages with some updates.

The June 1st, 2011 event was forecasted by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman Oklahoma as far as 5 days out. This is very rare for New England to be in a convective outlook past 3 days. The outlook of ‘Slight Risk’ for severe weather would continue right up through June 1st. As we got into June 1st, a fast moving area of rapidly developing severe thunderstorms ahead of the warm front affected portions of Southern New Hampshire and Northeast Massachusetts producing large hail. These storms quickly moved out of area and were a sign of things to come and how explosive the atmosphere was on June 1st. Abundant sunshine and rapid heating and destabilization coupled with extremely strong wind shear values, set the stage for a historic major severe weather outbreak in Massachusetts and other parts of New England. The Storm Prediction Center in Norman Oklahoma issued a Mesoscale Convective Discussion highlighting the need for Tornado Watches for much of New York and New England. The Tornado Watches would be issued and supercell severe thunderstorms would move into Southern New England.

Initially the supercells produced very large hail including hail slightly over 4″ in diameter in East Windsor Massachusetts, Berkshire County, which may potentially set the new record for the commonwealth as far as hail size but no tornadic or wind damage activity through 400 PM. This is when the supercell began to take shape in Western Hampden County Massachusetts and set the stage for the large, long track EF-3 Tornado that traversed the area from Westfield to Charlton Massachusetts for a 39-mile long damage path and was on the ground for 70 minutes. Three smaller tornadoes occurred in Western and Central Massachusetts from additional supercells moving through the area. Another area of supercells went through Northern Worcester County into Middlesex and Suffolk Counties producing Golf Ball Sized hail and pockets of wind damage all the way into the Metro Boston area.

June 1st, 2011 underscored how important Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters are to the warning process and how the timely severe weather reporting can not only help the warning process but can also help saves lives. The near real-time reporting of the large EF-3 tornado touchdown with initial preliminary reports in Westfield, the actual spotting of the EF3 Tornado by Western Massachusetts SKYWARN Coordinator, Ray Weber-KA1JJM, and the amazing remote webcam footage from WWLP-TV channel 22 in Springfield Massachusetts helped to tell people that not only was this a radar detected tornado but that it was definitely on the ground and doing significant damage. It is quite likely that many lives were saved by this near realtime reporting of the tornado being on the ground.

Amateur Radio SKYWARN Nets were active on several Amateur Radio Repeaters including the 146.940-Mount Tom Repeater run by the Mount Tom Amateur Radio Club and with Amateur Radio members and SKYWARN Spotters from the Hampden County Radio Association also reporting into the net. The 146.970-Paxton Repeater run by the Central Massachusetts Amateur Radio Club was active for several hours as well. Both repeaters providing significant near realtime reporting for situational awareness and disaster intelligence purposes not only to the National Weather Service but also to the media, local, state and federal emergency management officials. The Amateur Radio Internet Radio Linking Project (IRLP)/Echolink system on the echolink conference *NEW-ENG* node 9123/IRLP 9123 was also active with liaisons from various Amateur Radio nets reporting into the network. While not in the NWS Taunton County Warning Area, the 146.910-Mount Greylock Repeater was active with Berkshire County SKYWARN as run by Rick-WA1ZHM with Walt-N1DQU providing information from the net into NWS Taunton. Net Controls for the 146.940 Mount Tom Net were Bob Meneguzzo-K1YO and for the 146.970 Paxton Net, John Ruggiero-N2YHK. N9SC-Steve Craven provided a critical liaison link from the 146.970-Paxton Repeater Net to the 146.940-Mount Tom Net during the tornadic outbreak. Many Amateur Radio Operators and non-Amateur Radio SKYWARN Spotters reported severe weather conditions despite being at risk from these powerful supercells. We are forever grateful for the reporting that helped save lives. The outpouring of damage assessment pictures and videos and reports near and after the event was unprecedented. This clearly helped Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs), local and state emergency management perform their duties to try and bring as many resources to bear on the significant path of destruction carved out by the tornado outbreak.

For the victims, today is likely a painful reminder of what occurred and what loses they face and in some cases are still recovering from in terms of property damage and possibly lives lost. Our thoughts and prayers remain to all those people that are affected and we hope that their recovery will complete as soon as possible.

For those not impacted by such a significant event as June 1st and not impacted severely by the likes of Irene, Sandy, the February 2013 Blizzard and Snowtober over the past 3 years, this is a reminder that we must all be prepared for these significant weather situations that occur at low frequency but can be with high impact. The more self-sufficient and prepared we are, the easier the situation will be if we are faced with such a significant scenario if it comes our way and potentially occurs in a more widespread way. For those SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators who have not witnessed such severe weather, this is why we train and prepare because we never know the hour or day where a critical severe weather report can help the warning process and save lives.

On a personal level, we never want severe weather like this to happen but if it has to happen, the level of commitment, support and reporting of the situation in near realtime on June 1st with a high level of precision and quality but also in the quantity that the reports came through in our network is a testament to all of you for remaining dedicated and supportive of the National Weather Service SKYWARN program. It is an honor and a privilege for myself and many of our Amateur Radio SKYWARN Coordinators across the NWS Taunton County Warning Area to serve as leaders of the program and we appreciate everything you do, as without all of you, we wouldn’t have the SKYWARN program we have today in our region. Having been the leader of the program for 18 years, this was our finest hour in supporting the NWS Taunton office and saving lives and it couldn’t have been done without all of your support.

We hope this remembrance makes people never forget what happened on June 1st 2011 and remind ourselves again that we must remain, prepared and vigilant especially here in New England where events such as June 1st can happen but on a low frequency basis. A June 1st 2011 video collage has been posted at our SKYWARN video page at video.nsradio.org with recordings of some of the Amateur Radio reports that came in through the network and a direct link is listed below. Also listed below is the NWS Taunton – Massachusetts Tornado Summary, the NWS Taunton June 1st, 2011 Facebook Graphic, the ARRL Story on the June 1st Tornado Outbreak, the NWS Taunton June 1st Local Storm Report and the Raw Storm log from the WX1BOX Amateur Radio Station.

Amateur Radio SKYWARN Video – June 1st, 2011:
http://www.nsradio.org/video/features/recap/2011tornado/index.html

NWS Taunton June 1st, 2011 Facebook Graphic:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/remembering_june_1st_2011_mass_tornado_outbreak.jpg

NWS Taunton Massachusetts Tornado Summary:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/sigevents/jun01_2011_summary.php

NWS Taunton Local Storm Reports 6/1/11:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/lsr_6_1_11.txt

ARRL Story from 6/1/11 – Central Massachusetts Experiences Rare Tornado, Area Hams Hasten to Help:
http://www.arrl.org/news/central-massachusetts-experiences-rare-tornado-area-hams-hasten-to-help

NWS Taunton-WX1BOX Raw Amateur Radio Storm Log:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/storm_reports.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Special Announcement: Start of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season – Sunday June 1st, 2014

Hello to all..

Sunday June 1st 2014 marks the start of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season. On Saturday May 31st, 2014, Amateur Radio Operators prepared for the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season by participating in the 2014 WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, Communications Test. Several hundred Amateur Radio Operators from across the country and in the Caribbean made contact with WX4NHC during this communications test used to prepare the Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center for the upcoming Atlantic Hurricane Season and to prepare the Amateur Stations and infrastructure in the path of potential hurricanes for use during a potential hurricane strike.

NWS Taunton has put out their Public Information Statement marking the start of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season. The Public Information Statement and a web page marking the start of the season can be seen at the following links:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/jun_1st_2014_atlantic_hurricane_season_pns.txt
http://www.weather.gov/box/tropicalseasonstart_2014

The National Hurricane Center had their National Hurricane Preparedness Week from Sunday May 25th 2014-Saturday May 31st, 2014. Also, with the start of the Atlantic Hurricane Season, the Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook has been issued, which is utilized to update systems that could become tropical cyclones within a 5 day period. For the first outlook, it gives the Atlantic Hurricane season names and an overview of products issued by the National Hurricane Center. Those links are listed below:

National Hurricane Preparedness Week Information:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook with storm names and overview of National Hurricane Center products:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/nhc_two_2014_june_1st_2014.txt

The National Hurricane Center also now has a blog called “Inside the Eye” which contains stories and information on hurricanes as well as the National Hurricane Center social media links. A link to the blog is below:
http://noaanhc.wordpress.com/

As announced at the National Hurricane Conference in April 2014, a new storm surge flooding map will be issued for hurricanes and some tropical storms. Feedback is being requested on these maps. See a link below for that info:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/20140523_pns_inundation.php

There is also an overview of changes and products and services from the National Hurricane Center. This information can be seen at the following link:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/news/20140320_pa_2014seasonChanges.pdf

The current prediction for the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season is for a near to below normal Hurricane Season, however, it only takes one hurricane to affect our region to make it feel like an active season. Details on the NOAA Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook can be seen:
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2014/20140522_hurricaneoutlook_atlantic.html
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml (Technical Discussion)

This information combined with information from federal and state emergency management should be utilized to prepare in case of a tropical system strike on the region. Any preparations and work that can be done long before a tropical system threatens also helps with preparation if a tropical system threatens the region. It is hoped this information to mark the start of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season will be useful to all SKYWARN Spotters, Amateur Radio Operators and the general public.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Reminder and Note Echolink/IRLP Location Change: WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, Annual Station Test Event – Saturday May 31st, 2014

Hello to all..

The WX4NHC Annual Station Test event will be today, Saturday May 31st, 2014. WX4NHC, the Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, will be on the air using various modes from 9 AM-6 PM EDT (1300-2200 UTC). WX4NHC will now be on the *VKEMCOMM* Echolink Conference node: 270177/IRLP 9508 system from 4-6 PM EDT (2000-2200 UTC) for contacts and testing of their Echolink/IRLP station. This is due to an outage of the *WX-TALK*/IRLP 9219 system. This system should be back in operation in the next few weeks. The complete announcement on the Annual Station Test Event is listed below with the new Echolink/IRLP info:

Announcement from WX4NHC
Amateur Radio Station at the National Hurricane Center, Miami Florida

WX4NHC will be On-The-Air for the Annual Station Test on
Saturday, May 31st, 2014 from 9AM- 6 PM EDT (1300z- 2200z)

This will be our 34th year of public service at NHC.

The purpose of this event is to test Amateur Radio Station equipment, antennas and computers prior to this year’s Hurricane Season, which starts June 1st and runs through November 30th.

This event will be good practice for Ham Radio Operators world-wide as well as NWS Staff to become familiar with Amateur Radio communications available during times of severe weather.

WX4NHC will also be performing operator training.

We will be making  brief contacts on many frequencies and modes, exchanging signal reports and basic weather data exchange (“Sunny”, or “Rain”, etc.) with any station in any location.

WX4NHC will be On-The-Air on HF, VHF, UHF , 2 & 30 meter APRS and WinLink wx4nhc@winlink.org subject must contain “//WL2K”.

We will try to stay on the recognized Hurricane Watch Net frequency 14.325 MHz most of the time and announce when we QSY.

Due to space and equipment limitations, we will have 2 to 3 operators per shift, we can not be everywhere and every mode at the same time.
You may be able to find us on HF by using one of the DX Spotting Networks,

Such as the DX Summit Web Site:
http://www.dxsummit.fi/Search.aspx

We will also be on VoIP Hurricane Net 4pm-6pm EST (2000-2200z)
*VKEMCOMM* Echolink Conference node: 270177/IRLP 9508 (due to *WX-TALK* Echolink conference node: 7203/IRLP 9219 outage)
http://www.voipwx.net/

Local South Florida area VHF & UHF Repeaters will be contacted.

QSL Cards are available via WD4R.
Please send your card with a S.A.S.E.

Please do NOT send QSLs directly to the Hurricane Center address, as it will get delayed.

Due to security measures;
Please, NO VISITORS will be allowed entry to NHC without prior clearance from NHC PIO and Security.

Only WX4NHC Operators on the pre-approved operating schedule will be allowed entry.

For more information about WX4NHC, please visit our website
www.wx4nhc.org

Thank you for your participation in the WX4NHC Annual Station Test event.

-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-
Julio Ripoll Architect WD4R
WX4NHC Amateur Radio Asst. Coordinator
www.wx4nhc.org

Celebrating  33 years at the
National Hurricane Center
www.nhc.noaa.gov
-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-.-

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Friday May 30th, 2014 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Potentially Marginally Severe Thunderstorms possible this afternoon and evening over interior Southern New England. Heavy rainfall with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and hail are the primary threats with strong winds as a secondary threat..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of interior Southern New England in a 5% severe weather risk category..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely today with Ops at NWS Taunton Possible. Timeframe is anytime from Noon-8 PM today..

A front will approach Southern New England today with a pool of cold temperatures aloft and if enough clearing and destabilization can take place to create instability, it will set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to potentially marginally severe thunderstorms. Heavy rainfall with the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and hail are the primary threats with strong winds as a secondary threat. The timeframe is anytime between Noon-8 PM today and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of interior Southern New England in a 5% severe weather risk category.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely today with Ops at NWS Taunton Possible. This will be the last complete coordination message on this event. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, NWS Taunton Facebook Graphic and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Facebook Graphic:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/may_30th_2014_fb_graphic.jpg

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Friday May 30th, 2014 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered strong to possibly marginally severe thunderstorms are possible Friday Afternoon and Evening depending on sufficient instability and heating and positioning of a front over interior Southern New England. Main threats are heavy rainfall with potential urban and poor drainage flooding and hail that could reach or be just below severe limits..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely Friday Afternoon and Evening to monitor the situation with Ops at NWS Taunton possible. Another more complete coordination message will be posted by 10 AM Friday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1405261721.acus02.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday May 27th, 2014 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to possibly Severe Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. The threat looks confined now to Western Massachusetts and West-Central Connecticut. It is a conditional threat contingent on the position of the back door cold front and the amount of atmospheric destabilization that takes place. Strong Winds and Hail are the primary threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) still has portions of Western New England in the 5% severe weather probability category..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. Ops at NWS Taunton remain possible..

A backdoor cold front will gradually make its way through Eastern New England over the course of the day today. Backdoor cold fronts do not typically produce severe weather, however, the front will slow its progression as it gets into West-Central New England and if sufficient daytime heating allows for a sufficient amount of atmospheric destabilization, a disturbance moving northwest to southeast into Eastern New York and Western New England would be a triggering mechanism for isolated to scattered strong to possibly severe thunderstorms Tuesday Afternoon and Evening across Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and West-Central Connecticut. Strong Winds and Hail would be the primary threats. The threat remains contingent on the position of the backdoor cold front and the amount of heating that can take place. If the backdoor cold front is able to swing through much of the region, little to no severe weather is expected but the current forecast places it in a location where Western New England could see isolated to scattered strong to possibly severe thunderstorms. Heating is a secondary concern for portions of Western New England but at this time, it looks to be sufficient for potential isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. Ops at NWS Taunton remain possible. This is the last complete coordination message for this event. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, NWS Taunton Facebook Graphic and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Facebook Graphic:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/5_27_14_severe_tstorm_graphic.jpg

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday May 27th, 2014 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to possibly Severe Thunderstorms are possible Tuesday Afternoon and Evening across Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and West-Central Connecticut. It is a conditional threat contingent on the position of the back door cold front and the amount of atmospheric destabilization that takes place. Strong Winds and Hail are the primary threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western New England in the 5% severe weather probability category..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible..

A backdoor cold front will gradually make its way through Eastern New England over the course of the day Tuesday. Backdoor cold fronts do not typically produce severe weather, however, the front will slow its progression as it gets into West-Central New England and if sufficient daytime heating allows for a sufficient amount of atmospheric destabilization, a disturbance moving northwest to southeast into Eastern New York and Western New England would be a triggering mechanism for isolated to scattered strong to possibly severe thunderstorms Tuesday Afternoon and Evening across Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and West-Central Connecticut. Strong Winds and Hail would be the primary threats. The threat is contingent on the position of the backdoor cold front and the amount of heating that can take place. If the backdoor cold front is able to swing through much of the region, little to no severe weather is expected but the current forecast places it in a location where Western New England could see isolated to scattered strong to possibly severe thunderstorms. Heating is a secondary concern for portions of Western New England but at this time, it looks to be sufficient for potential isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely Tuesday Afternoon and Evening. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible. The next coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Tuesday. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1405261721.acus02.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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