Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely today during the afternoon and evening with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding to possibly flash flooding being the main threats. The extent of the severe weather threat will be contingent on the amount of heating that takes place over the region..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed much of Southern New England in a Slight Risk for severe weather and NWS Taunton is in agreement..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely this Friday Afternoon and Evening..

At 735 AM, Doppler Radar showed an area of showers and thunderstorms over Eastern Pennsylvania and New York State and moving into parts of Eastern New York. This activity should continue moving north and then northeastward into Southern New England for later today. Satellite imagery shows some breaks in the cloud cover which allow for at least some heating and destablization to take place over the region. This will set the stage for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding to potentially flash flooding as the primary threats. The extent of the severe weather threat will be contingent on the amount of surface heating. If significant heating takes place, this could potentially allow for a more widespread severe weather threat. Less heating will mean a more isolated severe weather threat with more of a flash flood threat expected. Wind shear profiles are stronger today then they were yesterday and are conducive for some severe thunderstorm development if sufficient heating takes place. SPC and NWS Taunton are in agreement on a Slight Risk for severe weather over much of interior Southern New England though some coastal areas are included.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely this Friday Afternoon and evening. This will likely be the only complete coordination message issued on today’s threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

..The threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for this Thursday Afternoon and Evening has become less as dry air and lack of wind shear are expected to keep the coverage more isolated then thought Wednesday Evening. Nonetheless, an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm cannot be ruled out for later this afternoon and evening with the greatest threat in Western Massachusetts, Southwest New Hampsire and Western Connecticut..
..A greater threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms exists for both Friday and Saturday. Further information on the severe weather threats for this timeframe will be posted later today into Friday..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will likely be utilized to cover any isolated thunderstorm threat for today. Ops are less likely for today but possible if thunderstorm coverage is greater than expected. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible both Friday and Saturday. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible Thursday Afternoon and Evening Across interior Southern New England. Strong to Damaging Winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Thursday Afternoon and Evening..

Heat and humidity are returning into Southern New England. On Thursday, an impulse in the mid levels of the atmosphere ahead of a destablizing atmosphere will set the stage for the potential of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. The main threat timeframe will be Thursday Afternoon and Evening and the threat area will be across interior Southern New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Thursday Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message will follow by 9 AM Thursday Morning.

Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible for Sunday Afternoon and Evening across Southwest New Hampshire, Western and Central Massachusetts and Western and Central Connecticut. Damaging Winds, large hail and urban/poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has this area in a slight risk for severe weather..
..A Flash Flood Watch is in effect from 2 PM this afternoon through Monday Morning for Cheshire County New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampshire and Hampden Counties of Western Massachusetts and Hartford County Connecticut..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely this Sunday Afternoon into Sunday Night..

Yesterday featured slow moving thunderstorms of an isolated to scattered variety across Northern Massachusetts and Southern New Hampshire dumping rainfall of 1-3″ over those isolated to scattered areas resulting in flooding, some large hail and pockets of wind damage over the area. Also, lightning strikes caused fires in some communities the biggest of which was the total loss of the Rowe Elementary School in Rowe Massachusetts due to lightning. The NWS Taunton Local Storm Report and Public Information Statement from yesterday’s events are listed below:

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1208042321.nwus51.html

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1208050240.nous41.html

At 940 AM, Satellite images showed pockets of clearing over the area allowing for destablization across interior Southern New England. Doppler Radar shows a line of showers and thunderstorms moving into East-Central New York. It is unclear what this line of showers and thunderstorms will do and if they will strengthen as they approach the area as heating continues or weaken as they move toward us as they move farther away from more favorable winds aloft. This will be monitored over the course of the moring into early this afternoon. This line is associated with a pre-frontal trough that will move through the area.

Later this afternoon and tonight as the cold front approaches, another round of more intense thunderstorms are expected to develop across New York and Pennsylvania with favorable wind shear available with those storms along with some favorable instability parameters. This thunderstorms are expected to move into Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and West-Central Connecticut later this afternoon and tonight. This will set the stage for a round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect from 2 PM Sunday through Monday Morning for Southwest New Hampshire, Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely later this afternoon and tonight. This will be the only complete coordination message on this event. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

..Isolated to scattered strong to ‘pulse type’ severe thunderstorms possible this afternoon into early this evening across interior Southern New England. Strong to damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible anytime after Noon today..

A weakening cold front will be moving into Southern New England this afternoon and this evening before dissipating over the area. Wind fields are marginal for severe thunderstorm development, however with sufficient instability and forcing from the cold front, conditions appear to be sufficient for isolated to scattered strong to ‘pulse type’ severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening across interior Southern New England. Strong to damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The threat timeframe appears to be anytime after Noon today.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible this afternoon and evening. This will be the only complete coordination message on today’s threat. Below is the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day-1 Convective Outlook and NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

The following is a Public Information Statement issued by NWS Taunton regarding an EF0 Tornado that was confirmed in the Manomet section of Plymouth, Mass. on Tuesday July 24th 2012. Below is that statement:

http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_7_30_12.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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This is to inform users of the Plymouth G.A.R.S. “685” repeater will be out of service for a general checkup.  The repeater will be shut down on Wednesday August 1, 2012 and hopefully returned to general amateur use on the following Tuesday August 7, ready for the weekly net.

The repeater trustee’s will notify the G.A.R.S. if the repeater has any problems.  If a skywarn activation is needed use one of the other local repeaters for information.  You can check on line with the New England Repeater Directory or the SKYWARN Frequency listing on the wx1box.org web site.

73

John, KB1EVY
Kevin, K1KOD

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Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms possible across Western and Central Massachusetts and Connecticut through Southwest New Hampshire along with attendant localized Flash Flood Threat. Due to these conditions, SKYWARN Activation and Ops at NWS Taunton are now active. See NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and SPC Mesoscale Convective Discussion links below..

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Mesoscale Convective Discussion:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1630.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

..Slow moving thundestorms across Western New England may bring the threat of flash flooding to portions of that region. An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm may also be possible with strong to damaging winds as the main threat..
..A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for Cheshire County New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts and Hartford County Connecticut from Noon today through late tonight..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible this afternoon and tonight for flash flood and isolated strong to severe thunderstorm potential..

Satellite imagery shows clouds with some breaks in the clouds over portions of Western New England and Eastern New York with showers and embedded thunderstorms in West-Central New York per Doppler Radar. With enough sunny breaks, the atmosphere should destabilize and this should allow thunderstorms to develop. Due to weak low level winds, they will be slow moving meaning thunderstorms would have the potential to produce heavy rainfall in a short period of time as the main threat over localized areas. There are some stronger winds higher up in the atmosphere so if a thunderstorm could intensify sufficiently an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm could occur with strong to damaging winds as a secondary threat but the main threat from thunderstorms today is heavy rainfall and flash flooding. A Flash Flood Watch has been posted for Cheshire County New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampden and Hampshire counties of Western Massachusetts and Hartford County of North-Central Connecticut from Noon today through late tonight. The east slopes of the Berkshires could have the greatest risk of flash flooding but all of the Flash Flood Watch area has potential. At this time, eastern portions of the NWS Taunton coverage area should not see any significant thunderstorm activity causing any flash flood issues.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible this afternoon and evening. This will be the only complete coordination message on today’s threat. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows and Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Hello to all..

..Severe Weather Threat for the region has been greatly reduced. Reasons for lack of severe weather over the area were due to the warm frontal position not moving far enough north to allow the storm complex to track into Southern New England and the complex dove further southeast to the New York City area and Southern Connecticut. While clearing occurred over Western New England to allow for instability, the greater instability remained south of our region causing the severe weather threat to be south of the region as the complex of storms moved further south towards the area of greater instability. These caveats were mentioned in the coordination messages issued previously..
..Overnight tonight, heavy rain and some embedded thunderstorms will occur across much of the area. There is a low possibility that an isolated strong or severe thunderstorm or two but nothing as widespread as originally indicated. A Flash Flood Watch will remain in effect through Friday Morning for the area of moderate to heavy rainfall that could cause some flooding issues over the area..
..SKYWARN Amateur Radio Operations at NWS Taunton will likely secure by 930-1000 PM. Below is the NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement..

NWS Taunton Flash Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

Read more