Severe Weather Coordination Message #3 – Sunday July 3rd, 2011 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Numerous Showers and embedded Thunderstorms will slowly spread from northwest to southeast over the NWS Taunton County Warning Area. Biggest threats will be for frequent lightning and heavy rainfall causing urban/poor drainage flooding to possibly flash flooding. An Isolated Severe Thunderstorm or two capable of damaging wind or an isolated wet microburst or two cannot be ruled out..
..There is a threat for more thunderstorms on Monday. This will be discussed in greater detail later this evening..
..After coordination with NWS Taunton, SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized to handle this event unless more widespread strong to severe thunderstorms or flash flooding becomes evident. If Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated, a shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows..

At 1120 AM, Doppler Radar is showing an area of showers and embedded thunderstorms from Southwest New Hampshire through Western Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut. This activity is moving South-Southeast and will affect Central Massachusetts, Northeast Connecticut, Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts between Noon and 3 PM. Satellite imagery earlier this morning showed sun and some heating and destablization over Central Massachusetts into Rhode Island. This may allow some of the activity currently in Western New England to intensify a bit as it moves east provided it doesn’t outrun upper level air support. Further back in Eastern New York, stronger thunderstorms are organizing with heavier rainfall and possibly strong winds and are slowly moving east-southeast and may affect portions of Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut later this afternoon.

The primary threats for today are heavy rainfall causing urban and poor drainage flooding to possibly flash flooding and lightning affecting outdoor activities. An Isolated strong to severe thunderstorm producing a wet microburst or damaging wind cannot be ruled out but its not the primary threat today.

There is a threat for more thunderstorms on Monday. This will be discussed in greater detail later this evening.

After coordination with NWS Taunton, SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized to handle this event unless more widespread strong to severe thunderstorms or flash flooding becomes evident. If Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated, a shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows. This will be the last complete coordination message for today’s event. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator        
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

Hello to all..

..Numerous Showers and embedded Thunderstorms will slowly spread from northwest to southeast over the NWS Taunton County Warning Area. Biggest threats will be for frequent lightning and heavy rainfall causing urban/poor drainage flooding to possibly flash flooding. An Isolated Severe Thunderstorm or two capable of damaging wind or an isolated wet microburst or two cannot be ruled out..
..There is a threat for more thunderstorms on Monday. This will be discussed in greater detail later this evening..
..After coordination with NWS Taunton, SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized to handle this event unless more widespread strong to severe thunderstorms or flash flooding becomes evident. If Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated, a shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows..

At 1120 AM, Doppler Radar is showing an area of showers and embedded thunderstorms from Southwest New Hampshire through Western Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut. This activity is moving South-Southeast and will affect Central Massachusetts, Northeast Connecticut, Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts between Noon and 3 PM. Satellite imagery earlier this morning showed sun and some heating and destablization over Central Massachusetts into Rhode Island. This may allow some of the activity currently in Western New England to intensify a bit as it moves east provided it doesn’t outrun upper level air support. Further back in Eastern New York, stronger thunderstorms are organizing with heavier rainfall and possibly strong winds and are slowly moving east-southeast and may affect portions of Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut later this afternoon.

The primary threats for today are heavy rainfall causing urban and poor drainage flooding to possibly flash flooding and lightning affecting outdoor activities. An Isolated strong to severe thunderstorm producing a wet microburst or damaging wind cannot be ruled out but its not the primary threat today.

There is a threat for more thunderstorms on Monday. This will be discussed in greater detail later this evening.

After coordination with NWS Taunton, SKYWARN Self-Activation will be utilized to handle this event unless more widespread strong to severe thunderstorms or flash flooding becomes evident. If Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated, a shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows. This will be the last complete coordination message for today’s event. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator        
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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