Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Thursday July 14th, 2016 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible to likely across Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut Thursday Afternoon into early evening, strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats. There is the secondary threat for an isolated tornado in this area.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western New England in a marginal risk for severe weather with a potential upgrade to a slight risk for severe weather in later outlooks..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely no later than 2 PM to monitor this severe weather potential..

The headlines of this coordination message depict the severe weather potential mainly over Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for Thursday Afternoon into early evening. There is expected to be sufficient instability and shear with a trigger in the atmosphere for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development over Western New England. Factors that will affect the outlook are as follows:

1.) Any cloud cover and lingering shower/thunderstorm activity in the morning that could temper instability.
2.) Timing of the trigger in the atmosphere into Western New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely no later than 2 PM to monitor this severe weather potential. Another coordination message will be sent by 800 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2016/day2otlk_20160713_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible to likely across Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut Thursday Afternoon into early evening, strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats. There is the secondary threat for an isolated tornado in this area.
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western New England in a marginal risk for severe weather with a potential upgrade to a slight risk for severe weather in later outlooks..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely no later than 2 PM to monitor this severe weather potential..

The headlines of this coordination message depict the severe weather potential mainly over Western and Central Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut for Thursday Afternoon into early evening. There is expected to be sufficient instability and shear with a trigger in the atmosphere for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development over Western New England. Factors that will affect the outlook are as follows:

1.) Any cloud cover and lingering shower/thunderstorm activity in the morning that could temper instability.
2.) Timing of the trigger in the atmosphere into Western New England.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely no later than 2 PM to monitor this severe weather potential. Another coordination message will be sent by 800 AM Thursday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2016/day2otlk_20160713_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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