Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Monday July 18th, 2016 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night across much of Southern New England. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western and Central Massachusetts through Northwest Connecticut in a Slight risk for severe weather with the rest of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Monday lasting through late Monday Evening..

The heat and humidity will continue on Monday and be even warmer and more humid than Sunday across the region. A trough and cold front will swing through Southern New England later Monday Afternoon into Monday Night with the potential of one or two rounds of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. The first round potentially being in the mid-afternoon into early evening with a second round possible in the early evening through late Monday Night around the midnight timeframe. There will be sufficient heating for destabilization and sufficiently strong shear profiles to support severe weather. The key item will be the timing of the forcing of the trough and cold front as it moves through the area.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Monday lasting through late Monday Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2016/day2otlk_20160717_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely Monday Afternoon through late Monday Night across much of Southern New England. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed Western and Central Massachusetts through Northwest Connecticut in a Slight risk for severe weather with the rest of Southern New England in a marginal risk for severe weather. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Monday lasting through late Monday Evening..

The heat and humidity will continue on Monday and be even warmer and more humid than Sunday across the region. A trough and cold front will swing through Southern New England later Monday Afternoon into Monday Night with the potential of one or two rounds of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms. The first round potentially being in the mid-afternoon into early evening with a second round possible in the early evening through late Monday Night around the midnight timeframe. There will be sufficient heating for destabilization and sufficiently strong shear profiles to support severe weather. The key item will be the timing of the forcing of the trough and cold front as it moves through the area.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 2 PM EDT Monday lasting through late Monday Evening. Another coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2016/day2otlk_20160717_1730.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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