Hello to all…

..An accumulating/plowable snowfall occurred Friday Morning in Southeast New England with a lighter snowfall elsewhere in the region. A major winter storm will strike Southeast New England with near blizzard conditions likely and a significant plowable snowfall across much of Eastern New England and a lighter snowfall elsewhere..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 7 AM Saturday to 4 AM Sunday for Cape Cod and the Islands, Southern Bristol and all of Plymouth County Massachusetts for 12-16″ of snow with isolated higher amounts and considerable blowing and drifting snow with a period of near blizzard conditions as wind gusts get into the 40-45 MPH range..
..A Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 7 AM Saturday to 1 AM Sunday for all of Rhode Island and Essex, Suffolk, Southeast Middlesex, Norfolk and Northern Bristol County Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow and isolated higher amounts possible along Northeast coastal Massachusetts and Southern Rhode Island. Wind gusts to 35 MPH may result in considerable blowing and drifting snow..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 7 to 10 PM Saturday for Central Middlesex, Southern Worcester and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts and Tolland and Windham Counties Connecticut for 3-5″ of snow. Areas outside of the advisory will likely see a coating to 3″ of snow with the 3″ amounts closest to the advisory area..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight Sunday for this major winter storm. Pictures and video of the major winter storm for situational awareness can be sent to the pics@nsradio.org email address, via our Facebook and/or Twitter feed or as a reply to this coordination message..

Snowfall Friday Morning accumulated between 3-5″ across Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central Rhode Island with isolated 6-7″ amounts in parts of Cape Cod and the Islands with snowfall rates briefly getting into the 1-2″ per hour range. Lighter snowfall amounts occurred to the north and west. Latest snowfall reports from SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators can be seen at the following links.

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1701062221.nous41.html

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1701062221.nwus51.html

The headlines of this coordination message depict the latest information on the now major winter storm expected for Saturday especially in Southeast Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands where a period of near blizzard conditions are likely with 12″-16″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. Models have maintained a track that will get portions of Eastern New England into significant snowfall of 4-8″ with higher amounts towards Southern Rhode Island and East-Coastal Massachusetts. The one area of uncertainty is where the cutoff of heaviest snow will be as a change in track of 15-20 miles closer to the region could allow for heavier snowfall further north and west into much of the coverage area while a track of 15-20 miles further south and east would mean less snow in northern and western parts of the the advisory and warning areas. This will continue to be monitored in future model runs with snowfall amounts in the northwest portions of the warning and advisory area being adjusted if needed.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 1000 AM EST lasting through around Midnight Sunday for this major winter storm. The next coordination message will be posted by 900 AM Saturday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…

..An accumulating/plowable snowfall Friday Morning to Midday across Southeast Coastal New England followed by a more significant winter storm for Saturday Morning through late Saturday Night/Sunday Morning across Southern New England as models shift the track of the Saturday Winter Storm Northwestward..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until 12 PM Friday for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 6″ possible. Across interior South-Central Rhode Island and interior Southeast Massachusetts, 1-3″ of snow is likely and outside of these areas, a coating to 1″ of snow is possible with amounts of 2″ possible in a few locations..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Morning through Sunday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County for the potential of 8 to 15″ of snow. Over the Cape and Islands, Northeast winds will increase with gusts to 40 MPH possible and the potential for blowing and drifting snow and the potential for whiteout conditions..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Saturday Morning through late Saturday Night for Windham County Connecticut, all of Rhode Island, Southern Worcester, Essex, Central and Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Norfolk, Bristol and North-Central and Southern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 4-8″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in any significant snow bands or ocean effect enhancement that could occur in the watch area.
..Some areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area may see advisory level snowfall from the Saturday storm system and that will be monitored..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor snowfall totals in the advisory area through the early afternoon Friday. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for the Saturday Winter Storm with Ops at NWS Taunton possible depending on storm impacts, storm track and trends in that storm track..

Snow is ongoing from the Friday winter storm and will wind down by midday across Southeast New England after producing a period of 1-2″ per hour snow in parts of the region. The headlines of the coordination message depict the current situation well. Latest snowfall reports from SKYWARN Spotters and Amateur Radio Operators can be seen at the following link.

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nous41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report – Spotter Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.nwus51.KBOX.html

Focus of the rest of this coordination message will be on the Saturday Winter Storm system. Models have trended further north and west with this system and this has resulted in the expansion of Winter Storm Watches to much of Eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Windham County Connecticut and the raising of snowfall amounts using a consensus of the model guidance. It is noted that Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Plymouth County near the Plymouth area are likely to see the highest snowfall amounts with the potential for considerable blowing and drifting of snow and a period of whiteout conditions with wind gusts up to 40 MPH possible. Model trends will continue to be monitored to see if the current track holds firm, if a further shift north and west occurs or if the trend in the track reverses. This will ultimately determine the heaviest snow amounts and the extent of that heavier snow over the area.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor snowfall totals in the advisory area through the early afternoon Friday. SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for the Saturday Winter Storm with Ops at NWS Taunton possible depending on storm impacts, storm track and trends in that storm track. The next coordination message focused on the Saturday winter storm will be posted by 900 PM Friday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..An offshore storm system will affect Southeast New England with accumulating snow with confidence growing in a plowable snowfall for that area for Friday Morning and a track that will see that plowable snowfall cover much of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for Friday Morning. Another storm system has the potential to bring another plowable to possibly significant snowfall some time between Saturday Morning to Sunday Morning..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 12 AM to 12 PM Friday for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island and Cape Cod and the Islands for 3-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 6″ possible. Across interior South-Central Rhode Island and interior Southeast Massachusetts, 1-3″ of snow is likely and outside of these areas, a coating to 1″ of snow is possible with amounts of 2″ possible in a few locations..
..There will be a sharp northwest cutoff between the heavier accumulating snow and the lighter snowfall area with this offshore storm system. The current trend is for a track slightly closer to the area which resulted in expansion of the Winter Weather Advisory for all of South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands from Saturday Morning into Sunday Morning for 6″ or more of snow and there is the potential for advisory level snow in other parts of Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central RI with this system. Similar to the Friday system, it is an offshore track with a sharp cutoff between heavier snow and lighter snow and also a wide model spread on what could occur with this system..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Saturday but too early to get into specific details on the type and timing of any activation for Saturday..

A couple of storm systems will affect the region, particularly Southeast New England, Friday Morning and again Saturday Morning into Sunday Morning. The headlines depict the current thinking on both storms. Regarding the Saturday storm, models still have a pretty wide spread in solutions and it is noted that one particular model is producing a rather prolific snow event for Southeast New England. In scenarios where there are a wide spread in model solutions, a consensus of models must be reviewed as well as looking at trends in the model guidance. Currently, a Winter Storm Watch for 6″ or more of snow is in effect Saturday Morning through Sunday Morning for Cape Cod and the Islands with advisory level snowfall possible in other parts of Southeast Massachusetts and South-Central Rhode Island. Future model runs will help better discern the storm potential and whether a closer to the coast track with the Saturday system occurs or if it tracks further offshore.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely on Saturday but too early to get into specific details on the type and timing of any activation for Saturday. This will be the last coordination message regarding the Friday winter storm system. Another coordination message on the Saturday system will either be posted by 11 AM Friday Morning or not until Friday Evening depending on SKYWARN Self-Activation operations for the Friday Morning winter storm. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory/Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Hello to all…

..An offshore storm system will affect Southeast New England with accumulating snow with confidence growing in a plowable snowfall for that area..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 AM to 11 AM Friday for Southern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for 2-5″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 6″ possible. Across the remainder of South Coastal Massachusetts and South Coastal Rhode Island up to the Providence and Taunton Mass area, 1-3″ of snow is likely and parts of this area could see an upgrade to a Winter Weather Advisory area. Outside of these areas, a coating to 1″ of snow is possible with amounts of 2″ possible in a few locations..
..There will be a sharp northwest cutoff between the heavier accumulating snow and the lighter snowfall area with this offshore storm system. The current trend is for a track slightly closer to the area and trends will be monitored to see if things remain as they are, continue to trend closer to the area or track further offshore..
..Another storm system could affect Southeast New England late Saturday and Saturday Night. Details on this system will be posted as they become more apparent in future forecasts..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall reports Friday Morning in and around the Winter Weather Advisory area. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics..

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Read more