Severe Weather Coordination Message #3 – Wednesday July 4th Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms remain possible late this Wednesday Afternoon and Evening across much of the NWS Taunton coverage area with some models indicating that Southern New Hampshire and Eastern Massachusetts may be at greatest risk for isolated to scattered severe weather activity. Damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats. SPC and NWS Taunton maintain the 5% probability of severe weather risk over the area..
..Much of the region is clearing out this morning in the wake of earlier showers and isolated downpours which will allow temperatures to rise into the lower 90’s with high humidity. Much of the region will remain dry but isolated to scattered locations could receive a shower or thunderstorm and a couple to few locations could see a strong to severe thunderstorm..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely to monitor the severe weather potential for later Wednesday Afternoon and Wednesday Evening. Ops at NWS Taunton remain possible to likely for the same time period..

At 1030 AM, Satellite and Radar imagery indicate clearing conditions across much of Southern New England. Clouds across Southeast Massachusetts and Southern Rhode Island will move out of the area allowing for temperatures to rise quickly with much higher humidity there as well. Temperatures are expected to reach the lower 90s.

As this occurs, the atmosphere will destabilize over the course of the day with good wind shear profiles over the region. Warmer temperatures aloft and the lack of a trigger will keep the atmosphere capped for a good portion of the day across the region and this will mean little in the way of shower and thunderstorm activity during the day. As we get into late this afternoon and this evening, an impulse will approach the region from southern Canada and this may allow for the cap to be broken allowing for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. The threat is conditional on the impulse being able to break the cap and tap into the unstable environment and wind shear aloft. Models seem to indicate that Southern New Hampshire and Eastern Massachusetts may be an area to watch though all areas should monitor the situation. As stated in this coordination message and prior messages, much of the region will remain dry but isolated to scattered locations could receive a shower or thunderstorm and a couple to few locations could see a strong to severe thunderstorm.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely to monitor the severe weather potential for later Wednesday Afternoon and Wednesday Evening. Ops at NWS Taunton remain possible to likely for the same time period. This will be the last full coordination message on today’s threat. Given the 4th of July holiday and many outdoor activities, a shortened coordination message will be issued later today, likely prior to or around 800 PM this evening, either indicating the threat is cleared or if Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated or SKYWARN Self-Activation is actively monitoring activity over the region. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday July 4th 2012 Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms continue to be possible for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening across much of Southern New England. Damaging Winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..

..Uncertainities remain with what occurs with convection during the early morning hours of Wednesday and what impacts that has on the environment for later Wednesday. Anyone with outdoor interests particularly given the amount of them occurring for July 4th/Independence Day activities should continue to monitor later forecasts. It will not be a washout and many areas will remain dry but events impacted by thunderstorms, particularly strong to severe thunderstorms, could have issues so monitoring later forecasts remains prudent..

..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton remain possible to likely for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening..

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has continued with a severe weathre threat level of ‘See Text’/5% severe weather probability owing to uncertainties in what evolves for convection and storms during the early morning hours Wednesday. This could get upgraded if conditions become more certain for severe weather for later Wednesday Afternoon and evening.

The two different scenario setup as indicated in the last coordination message remains in play. Wind fields should be sufficient for strong to severe thunderstorm development, the keys for severe weather development later Wednesday Afternoon and Evening are the amount of cloud cover over the region from any shower and thunderstorm activity Wednesday Morning and whether expected heating and destablization is realized and sufficient triggering for thunderstorms to develop. The information from the previous message on the two scenarios is brought forward to this message below.

The first sceneario would be that convection that occurs during Wednesday Morning will mitigate heating and destablization lessening the threat for showers and thunderstorms and a severe weather threat for later in the day Wednesday. The second scenario is that this activity moves through quickly and allows for clearing, heating and destablization that would allow for at least isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms and even the potential for a more potent severe weather outbreak. The forecast is uncertain in the regards to the severe weather magnitude but odds favor at least isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats during Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. If enough clearing and other parameters line up, a more potent severe weather episode would be possible. Given the amount of outdoor activities for July 4th, future forecasts should be monitored closely for changes as the initial set of convection moves through Wednesday Morning and what that means for potential severe weather later Wednesday.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton remain possible to likely for Wednesday. Another coordination message will be issued by 1100 AM Wednesday Morning to update the July 4th severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)

ARES SKYWARN Coordinator

Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator

Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)

Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)

Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)

Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com

http://ares.ema.arrl.org

http://beta.wx1box.org

 

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday July 4th, 2012 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms continue to be possible for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening across much of Southern New England. Damaging Winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..Uncertainities exist with what occurs with convection during the early morning hours of Wednesday and what impacts that has on the environment for later Wednesday. Anyone with outdoor interests particularly given the amount of them occurring for July 4th/Independence Day activities should continue to monitor later forecasts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely for Wednesday..

This morning the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) reduced the threat level for severe weather from Slight Risk to ‘See Text’/5% severe weather probability owing to uncertainties in what evolves for convection and storms during the early morning hours Wednesday. They also stated, however, that a Slight risk could be reintroduced in later outlooks.

Essentially, two scenarios could evolve for July 4th. The first sceneario would be that convection that occurs during Wednesday Morning will mitigate heating and destablization lessening the threat for showers and thunderstorms and a severe weather threat for later in the day Wednesday. The second scenario is that this activity moves through quickly and allows for clearing, heating and destablization that would allow for at least isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms and even the potential for a more potent severe weather outbreak. The forecast is uncertain in the regards to the severe weather magnitude but odds favor at least isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats during Wednesday Afternoon and Evening. If enough clearing and other parameters line up, a more potent severe weather episode would be possible. Given the amount of outdoor activities for July 4th, future forecasts should be monitored closely for changes as the initial set of convection moves through Wednesday Morning and what that means for potential severe weather later Wednesday.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible to likely for Wednesday. Another coordination message will be issued by 1130 PM this evening to update Wednesday’s severe weather potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Monday July 2nd Severe Weather Potential and Look Ahead to Wednesday July 4th Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated Strong to possibly Severe Thunderstorms possible this Monday afternoon into early evening. The greatest threat would be in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island but all areas should monitor. Strong to damaging winds, hail and urban/poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..Instability and shear is forecast to be less than on Sunday which should mean less storms over the area but an isolated strong to possibly severe thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out over the area..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the threat for this afternoon into early tonight. Ops at NWS Taunton will be possible if the threat becomes more widespread. This will be the only message on today’s threat unless the threat becomes more widespread and Ops are initiated. The NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook is posted below for reference..
..Looking ahead to Wednesday July 4th, it is noted that both NWS Taunton and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) are in agreement on a Slight risk for Severe Weather for the entire region with SPC posting the slight risk in their Day-3 Convective Outlook. There are still some uncertainties but the potential exists for severe weather Wednesday Afternoon and Evening across the region. If a Slight risk for severe weather remains in the Tuesday Morning SPC Day-2 convective outlook, coordination messages for Wednesday July 4th will start Tuesday Morning to cover the potential threat given the significant number of outdoor activities for July 4th. The SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook is posted for reference..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1A – Sunday July 1st Severe Weather Potential – SKYWARN Activation and Ops at NWS Taunton Starting at 2 PM ET

Hello to all..

..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence starting at 2 PM Sunday Afternoon lasting through early evening for Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms potential for portions of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts during this Sunday afternoon into early evening. Damaging Winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats. SPC has upgraded portions of Southern New England (Specifically portions of Connecticut) to a Slight Risk for Severe Weather and parts of the area could be under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch later today per the Mesoscale Convective Discussion issued by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC). This will be the last update on today’s severe weather threat. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and Mesoscale Convective Discussion..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Mesoscale Convective Discussion:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1332.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday July 1st Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible for portions of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts during this Sunday afternoon into early evening. Damaging Winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..Biggest question for any threat of a few strong to severe thunderstorms is the ability of a weak frontal boundary to be able to tap into the unstable atmosphere and wind shear profiles to allow for thunderstorm development..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will montior today’s threat. Ops at NWS Taunton would be possible if the threat becomes more widespread..

Hazy, Hot and Humid weather will occur Sunday over much of the region. Unlike the past warm days, where a lack of a trigger and capping in the atmosphere prevented any thunderstorm development, there is the possibility that a weak frontal boundary moving into the area may be enough of a trigger to allow for the formation of a few isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging wind, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. The greatest risk for any strong to severe thunderstorms would be over Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts south of the Massachusetts Turnpike. There is some question as to whether this frontal boundary will be enough of a trigger to tap into an enviroment of instability and shear over the area. If there is not enough forcing, little to no activity could occur, however given the shear profiles and instability and the fact that there is at least some possible focus for thunderstorm devleopment, a message is warranted to monitor the threat for Sunday Afternoon into early this evening.

SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the situation and activate as required for any strong to severe thunderstorms that can develop. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible if the threat becomes widespread. This will be the only message on today’s threat unless Ops at NWS Taunton are initiated and time allows to send out an updated shortened coordination message. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

 

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NWS Taunton Public Information Statements for Lightning Safety Preparedness Week – Monday 6/25/12 through Friday 6/29/12

Hello to all..

The week of June 25th through June 29th, 2012 is Lightning Safety Preparedness Week for the NWS Taunton Coverage area. The NWS Taunton Forecast Office has issued 5 Lightning Safety Preparedness Week Public Information Statements to cover various safety rules for lightning. Below are the NWS Taunton Public Information Statements regarding Lightning Safety Preparedness Week:

http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_lightning_safety_2012.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Monday June 25th, 2012 – Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence around 800 AM as Severe Thunderstorm Watch Issued for Connecticut through 200 PM today..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely in Connecticut and could potentially extend into Rhode Island and portions of Southeast and Eastern Massachusetts later this morning into this afternoon, damaging winds, large hail, and urban/poor drainage flooding are the main threats..
..Threat timeframe will be from 800-1100 AM this morning across Connecticut with the threat in eastern areas after 11 AM or Noon today. This will be the only coordination message on today’s severe weather threat. Below is the SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and Severe Thunderstorm Watch Statement and NWS Taunton County Watch Outline and Hazardous Weather Outlook..

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch Statement:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0425.html

NWS Taunton County Watch Outline:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Amateur Radio Field Day/Severe Weather Coordination Message #5 – Saturday June 23rd-Sunday June 24th, 2012 – Final Update

Hello to all..

..The following is the fifth and final message in a series of messages on Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend and providing information on severe weather potential during this period..
..Another round of Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible to likely Saturday Afternoon into early evening with damaging winds, large hail, and urban/poor drainage flooding as the main threats as a cyclonic flow with cooler temperatures aloft and strong winds aloft set the stage for another round of activity. The greatest risk is over Central and Eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Northeast Connecticut but all areas should monitor. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and NWS Taunton are in agreement on this severe weather threat. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at Noon today with storm initiation expected between 1-3 PM this afternoon..
..Friday brought isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms over portions of Connecticut, Rhode Island and East-Central Massachusetts. The Local Storm Report and Public Information Statement on Friday’s storms events are posted..
..As we get into Saturday Night and Sunday, temperatures and humidity will be pleasant with lows in the 50’s to lower 60’s and highs Sunday in the 70s to lower 80s. The next threat of another round of showers and thunderstorms will be after Amateur Radio Field Day is completed and sites have taken down their antennas and equipment..
..Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend is an annual event where Ham Operators across the United States setup at Emergency Operations Centers, field locations, home locations etc. to operate and test their equipment and skills and make as many radio contacts as possible during the weekend. Many locations can be visited by the public and Amateur Radio Field Day can be a form of outreach to Ham and non-Ham Operators. It is also noted that several states have given proclamations to Amateur Radio/Ham Radio Operators for either an ‘Amateur Radio Week’ during the month of June or ‘Amateur Radio Month’ for this month. It is both a fun/preparatory event for Ham Radio Operators for Emergency Communications scenarios..
..As have been done over the past 10 plus years, this will be the first in a series of Severe Weather/Amateur Radio Field Day Coordination Messages to pass instructions to Amateur Radio Field Day sites on what to do if threatening weather approaches and to have Field Day sites guard their SKYWARN repeaters as required if threatening weather approaches..
.Unlike past years, Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend doesn’t coinicide with Lightning Awareness Week so lightning safety information from NOAA’s Lightning Safety web site has been posted for awareness for all Amateur Radio Field Day Sites..

There are a large number of Amateur Radio Field Day sites across the NWS Taunton County Warning Area and adjacent NWS County Warning Areas. Here are some links to information on these Amateur Radio Field Day Sites from across the region

Amateur Radio Field Day Information: http://www.arrl.org/field-day

Amateur Radio Field Day National Locator: http://www.arrl.org/field-day-locator

Eastern Massachusetts Field Day Home Page: http://fd.ema.arrl.org/

If there is additional Amateur Radio Field Day information that you would like to appear in these coordination messages, please contact me and I will add it to this section of the Amateur Radio Field Day Coordination Message.

Friday brought hot and humid conditions with isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms causing pockets of wind damage, flooding, large hail and damage from lightning strikes across portions of the region. The Cape Ann Amateur Radio Association Club in Gloucester, Massachusetts lost 2 large tents in strong thunderstorm wind gusts measured at 43 MPH at the Gloucester Marina and 60 MPH in the Pebble Beach area of Rockport, Massachusetts. The Local Storm Report and Public Information Statement for these events are listed at the following links:

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1206230135.nwus51.html

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Rainfall Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1206230141.nous41.html

Reviewing latest radar and satellite imagery as of 915 AM Saturday Morning showed showers over the Metro Boston area and South Shore moving offshore with rapid clearing over Eastern New York and breaks into Western and Central New England. This will move over the remainder of the region allowing for sunshine and destablization of the atmosphere. An impulse will move into the area this afternoon and with the cooling aloft, increasing wind shear aloft and heating to allow for instability that could set the stage for another round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats over portions of Southern New England. The greatest threat area appears to be in Central and Eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Northeast Connecticut but all areas should monitor the situation. Activity will start in the 1-3 PM timeframe lasting through early evening. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at Noon today. Temperatures are expected to be in the low to mid 80s Saturday. While it won’t be as warm as past days, please use caution in the warm conditions and the link to heat safety is listed below:

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/heat/index.shtml

Amateur Radio Field Day sites active on Saturday should use caution and keep an eye to the sky and monitor their local SKYWARN Repeater, NOAA Weather Radio or weather information via Internet and media resources to guard against safety issues if thunderstorms, even if they are non-severe, occur in the region due to the potential lightning risk on radio equipment and antennas. Proper grouding of antennas is essential to help reduce any risk from lightning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook, SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook and the link for lightning safety awareness information:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook: http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

NWS Lightning Safety Awareness Home Page: http://www.lightningsafety.noaa.gov/

Field Day sites are encouraged to bring a NOAA All-Hazards Weather Radio and a dedicated Ham Radio that can monitor their local SKYWARN Frequency for their area or if they have mobile Internet capability, that is also a way to monitor for weather information if thunderstorms, even that are non-severe, approach your area. With Mobile Internet capability, utilizing Echolink to monitor the New England Reflector system on Echolink Conference Node: 9123/IRLP 9123 would be helpful. Please see the link below for the latest SKYWARN Frequency information for the region:

http://beta.wx1box.org/node/37

As we get into Saturday Night and Sunday, the threat for severe weather and thunderstorms will have passed and pleasant weather conditions with low temperatures in the 50’s to lower 60’s Saturday Night and highs Sunday in the 70’s to lower 80’s with sunshine and less humidity. The next storm system bringing another round of showers and thunderstorms will not affect the region until late Sunday Night and Monday after Field Day and takedown of Field Day equipment is completed.

This will be the last coordination message for Amateur Radio Field Day Weeekend as we move to NWS Taunton SKYWARN Operations mode for Saturday and there will be no further severe weather threats beyond this Saturday Afternoon and early Evening.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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Amateur Radio Field Day/Severe Weather Coordination Message #4 – Saturday June 23rd-Sunday June 24th, 2012

Hello to all..

..The following is the fourth in a series of messages on Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend and providing information on severe weather potential during this period..
..Another round of Isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible to likely Saturday Afternoon into early evening with damaging winds, large hail, and urban/poor drainage flooding as the main threats as a cyclonic flow with cooler temperatures aloft and strong winds aloft set the stage for another round of activity. The greatest risk is over Central and Eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Northeast Connecticut but all areas should monitor. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Saturday Afternoon and Evening..
..Friday brought isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms over portions of Connecticut, Rhode Island and East-Central Massachusetts. The Local Storm Report and Public Information Statement on Friday’s storms events are posted..
..As we get into Saturday Night and Sunday, temperatures and humidity will be pleasant with lows in the 50’s to lower 60’s and highs Sunday in the 70s to lower 80s. The next threat of another round of showers and thunderstorms will be after Amateur Radio Field Day is completed and sites have taken down their antennas and equipment..
..Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend is an annual event where Ham Operators across the United States setup at Emergency Operations Centers, field locations, home locations etc. to operate and test their equipment and skills and make as many radio contacts as possible during the weekend. Many locations can be visited by the public and Amateur Radio Field Day can be a form of outreach to Ham and non-Ham Operators. It is also noted that several states have given proclamations to Amateur Radio/Ham Radio Operators for either an ‘Amateur Radio Week’ during the month of June or ‘Amateur Radio Month’ for this month. It is both a fun/preparatory event for Ham Radio Operators for Emergency Communications scenarios..
..As have been done over the past 10 plus years, this will be the first in a series of Severe Weather/Amateur Radio Field Day Coordination Messages to pass instructions to Amateur Radio Field Day sites on what to do if threatening weather approaches and to have Field Day sites guard their SKYWARN repeaters as required if threatening weather approaches..
..Unlike past years, Amateur Radio Field Day Weekend doesn’t coinicide with Lightning Awareness Week so lightning safety information from NOAA’s Lightning Safety web site has been posted for awareness for all Amateur Radio Field Day Sites..

There are a large number of Amateur Radio Field Day sites across the NWS Taunton County Warning Area and adjacent NWS County Warning Areas. Here are some links to information on these Amateur Radio Field Day Sites from across the region

Amateur Radio Field Day Information: http://www.arrl.org/field-day

Amateur Radio Field Day National Locator: http://www.arrl.org/field-day-locator

Eastern Massachusetts Field Day Home Page: http://fd.ema.arrl.org/

If there is additional Amateur Radio Field Day information that you would like to appear in these coordination messages, please contact me and I will add it to this section of the Amateur Radio Field Day Coordination Message.

Friday brought hot and humid conditions with isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms causing pockets of wind damage, flooding, large hail and damage from lightning strikes across portions of the region. The Cape Ann Amateur Radio Association Club in Gloucester, Massachusetts lost 2 large tents in strong thunderstorm wind gusts measured at 43 MPH at the Gloucester Marina and 60 MPH in the Pebble Beach area of Rockport, Massachusetts. The Local Storm Report and Public Information Statement for these events are listed at the following links:

NWS Taunton Local Storm Report:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1206230135.nwus51.html

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – Rainfall Reports:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1206230141.nous41.html

Reviewing latest radar and satellite imagery as of 1030 PM Friday evening showed cloud cover over the region but most of the rain remaining offshore. There is the possibility of lingering cloud cover, a few showers and embedded thunderstorms Saturday Morning but this will likely clear out allowing for sunshine. An impulse behind today’s cold front will move into the area and the cooling aloft, increasing wind shear aloft and heating to allow for instability that could set the stage for another round of isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging winds, large hail and urban and poor drainage flooding as the main threats over portions of Southern New England. The greatest threat area appears to be in Central and Eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Northeast Connecticut but all areas should monitor the situation. Activity would start in the early to mid afternoon lasting through early evening. SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Saturday afternoon and evening. Temperatures are expected to be in the low to mid 80s Saturday. While it won’t be as warm as past days, please use caution in the warm conditions and the link to heat safety is listed below:

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/heat/index.shtml

Amateur Radio Field Day sites active on Saturday should use caution and keep an eye to the sky and monitor their local SKYWARN Repeater, NOAA Weather Radio or weather information via Internet and media resources to guard against safety issues if thunderstorms, even if they are non-severe, occur in the region due to the potential lightning risk on radio equipment and antennas. Proper grouding of antennas is essential to help reduce any risk from lightning. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and the link for lightning safety awareness information:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook: http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Lightning Safety Awareness Home Page: http://www.lightningsafety.noaa.gov/

Field Day sites are encouraged to bring a NOAA All-Hazards Weather Radio and a dedicated Ham Radio that can monitor their local SKYWARN Frequency for their area or if they have mobile Internet capability, that is also a way to monitor for weather information if thunderstorms, even that are non-severe, approach your area. With Mobile Internet capability, utilizing Echolink to monitor the New England Reflector system on Echolink Conference Node: 9123/IRLP 9123 would be helpful. Please see the link below for the latest SKYWARN Frequency information for the region:

http://beta.wx1box.org/node/37

As we get into Saturday Night and Sunday, the threat for severe weather and thunderstorms will have passed and pleasant weather conditions with low temperatures in the 50’s to lower 60’s Saturday Night and highs Sunday in the 70’s to lower 80’s with sunshine and less humidity. The next storm system bringing another round of showers and thunderstorms will not affect the region until late Sunday Night and Monday after Field Day and takedown of Field Day equipment is completed.

The next coordination message will be posted by Noon Saturday.

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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