Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Monday July 2nd Severe Weather Potential and Look Ahead to Wednesday July 4th Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated Strong to possibly Severe Thunderstorms possible this Monday afternoon into early evening. The greatest threat would be in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island but all areas should monitor. Strong to damaging winds, hail and urban/poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..Instability and shear is forecast to be less than on Sunday which should mean less storms over the area but an isolated strong to possibly severe thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out over the area..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the threat for this afternoon into early tonight. Ops at NWS Taunton will be possible if the threat becomes more widespread. This will be the only message on today’s threat unless the threat becomes more widespread and Ops are initiated. The NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook is posted below for reference..
..Looking ahead to Wednesday July 4th, it is noted that both NWS Taunton and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) are in agreement on a Slight risk for Severe Weather for the entire region with SPC posting the slight risk in their Day-3 Convective Outlook. There are still some uncertainties but the potential exists for severe weather Wednesday Afternoon and Evening across the region. If a Slight risk for severe weather remains in the Tuesday Morning SPC Day-2 convective outlook, coordination messages for Wednesday July 4th will start Tuesday Morning to cover the potential threat given the significant number of outdoor activities for July 4th. The SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook is posted for reference..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

Hello to all..

..Isolated Strong to possibly Severe Thunderstorms possible this Monday afternoon into early evening. The greatest threat would be in Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island but all areas should monitor. Strong to damaging winds, hail and urban/poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..Instability and shear is forecast to be less than on Sunday which should mean less storms over the area but an isolated strong to possibly severe thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out over the area..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the threat for this afternoon into early tonight. Ops at NWS Taunton will be possible if the threat becomes more widespread. This will be the only message on today’s threat unless the threat becomes more widespread and Ops are initiated. The NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook is posted below for reference..
..Looking ahead to Wednesday July 4th, it is noted that both NWS Taunton and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) are in agreement on a Slight risk for Severe Weather for the entire region with SPC posting the slight risk in their Day-3 Convective Outlook. There are still some uncertainties but the potential exists for severe weather Wednesday Afternoon and Evening across the region. If a Slight risk for severe weather remains in the Tuesday Morning SPC Day-2 convective outlook, coordination messages for Wednesday July 4th will start Tuesday Morning to cover the potential threat given the significant number of outdoor activities for July 4th. The SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook is posted for reference..

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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