Storm Coordination Message #3 – Late Monday Night 12/28/15-Tuesday 12/29/15 Winter Storm Potential

Hello to all…

..First Winter Storm of the Season for Southern New England to bring a Wintry Mix of precipitation. Given the wintry mix, snow and ice amounts could change as we get closer to this winter storm event but tough travel conditions are expected on Tuesday especially during the Tuesday Morning Commute through midday Tuesday..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 8 PM Monday Evening through 7 PM Tuesday Evening for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester, Central and Northern Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-4″ of snow with locally higher amounts and around one-tenth inch of ice accretion with up to one-quarter inch ice accretion in higher terrain locations..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 8 PM Monday Evening through 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Eastern Essex, Southern Worcester, Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 1-3″ of snow with locally higher amounts and a trace to one-tenth of an inch of ice..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for this winter storm. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible and a decision will be made on Ops later today..

The first winter storm of the season will affect Southern New England with a wintry mix of precipitation. The headlines depict the current thoughts on this storm situation. Snow and ice amounts and precipitation type changeover and timing will fluctuate as future model runs get a better handle on these items. Some slight adjustments to ice accumulations were made. While there are likely to be bigger winter storms than the one slated for late Monday Evening into Tuesday Evening, this storm will cause travel impacts especially during the Tuesday Morning Commute through midday Tuesday and the situation will need to be monitored in case a prolonged period of freezing rain could develop in any of the advisory area which could increase the storm impact. The prolonged freezing rain aspect would be a greater concern in the higher elevations of Western and Northern Massachusetts and northwest Hartford County Connecticut. Spotter reports on snow and ice amounts and precipitation type changeover and where they occur will be critical in monitoring the storm impacts.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for this winter storm. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible and a decision will be made on Ops over the course of the day on Monday. The next storm coordination message will be posted by 8 PM Monday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Map (It is noted that as of 800 AM, the most likely snowfall map has been corrected.) and a link to the NWS Taunton Facebook slide show on this winter storm:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snow/Ice Amount and Probability Graphics (It is noted that as of 800 AM, the most likely snowfall map has been corrected.):
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.922981057796266/922980341129671/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..First Winter Storm of the Season for Southern New England to bring a Wintry Mix of precipitation. Given the wintry mix, snow and ice amounts could change as we get closer to this winter storm event but tough travel conditions are expected on Tuesday especially during the Tuesday Morning Commute through midday Tuesday..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 8 PM Monday Evening through 7 PM Tuesday Evening for Franklin, Hampshire, Northern Worcester, Central and Northern Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-4″ of snow with locally higher amounts and around one-tenth inch of ice accretion with up to one-quarter inch ice accretion in higher terrain locations..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 8 PM Monday Evening through 1 PM Tuesday Afternoon for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Eastern Essex, Southern Worcester, Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Northern Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for 1-3″ of snow with locally higher amounts and a trace to one-tenth of an inch of ice..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for this winter storm. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible and a decision will be made on Ops later today..

The first winter storm of the season will affect Southern New England with a wintry mix of precipitation. The headlines depict the current thoughts on this storm situation. Snow and ice amounts and precipitation type changeover and timing will fluctuate as future model runs get a better handle on these items. Some slight adjustments to ice accumulations were made. While there are likely to be bigger winter storms than the one slated for late Monday Evening into Tuesday Evening, this storm will cause travel impacts especially during the Tuesday Morning Commute through midday Tuesday and the situation will need to be monitored in case a prolonged period of freezing rain could develop in any of the advisory area which could increase the storm impact. The prolonged freezing rain aspect would be a greater concern in the higher elevations of Western and Northern Massachusetts and northwest Hartford County Connecticut. Spotter reports on snow and ice amounts and precipitation type changeover and where they occur will be critical in monitoring the storm impacts.

SKYWARN Self-Activation is likely for this winter storm. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible and a decision will be made on Ops over the course of the day on Monday. The next storm coordination message will be posted by 8 PM Monday. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snow and Ice Map (It is noted that as of 800 AM, the most likely snowfall map has been corrected.) and a link to the NWS Taunton Facebook slide show on this winter storm:

NWS Taunton Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snow/Ice Amount and Probability Graphics (It is noted that as of 800 AM, the most likely snowfall map has been corrected.):
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Infographics:
https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.922981057796266/922980341129671/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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