March 2018 – Page 2

Special Announcement: Post Storm Message Update and NWS Taunton Move to Norton Update

March 16, 2018 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

..Post Storm Msg Update from a “hat trick” of nor’easters to be posted by Saturday. We have started Facebook Photo Albums for the first two storms on the WX1BOX Facebook Page and a third photo album for the 3/13/18 blizzard will be started today. Any damage photos/videos from any of the 3 storms can be posted as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org.
..Below is the latest information on the NWS Taunton Move to Norton which is scheduled to take place on Tuesday March 20th including new phone numbers for the facility. Please note that the NWS office 800 Spotter line is unchanged…

NWS Taunton Public Information Statement – NWS Office Move Update:
http://beta.wx1box.org/local/pns_nwstaunton_move.txt

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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Blizzard/Storm Coordination Message #4 – Monday Evening 3/12/18-Tuesday Evening 3/13/18 Winter Storm Potential

March 12, 2018 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

..Another significant coastal storm with heavy snowfall across much of Southern New England with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions for Eastern New England and strong to damaging winds. Coastal flooding will be at minor levels in Northeast Coastal Massachusetts and Marthas Vineyard with minor to moderate coastal flooding in Eastern Plymouth County, Cape Cod and Nantucket given lower astronomical tides during this significant coastal storm event. Confidence in at least a level of accumulating snow and strong winds is very high with confidence level on a high impact event moderate to high at this time..
..A Blizzard Warning is now in effect from 11 PM Monday Evening to 8 PM Tuesday Evening for Eastern Essex, Plymouth, Barnstable and Dukes Counties of Massachusetts for 10-18″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 20″, sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH with isolated higher gusts likely. Snow in this area is likely to be heavy and wet and with the strong to damaging winds could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is remains in effect for all of Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for 10-18″ of snow with isolated higher amounts in Eastern New England. Winds will be sustained at 15-25 MPH with gusts to 35-40 MPH in Central Massachusetts and sustained winds at 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH across Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts with near blizzard conditions expected. Snow along south coastal areas of Eastern Massachusetts and possibly Rhode Island maybe heavy and wet and with the strong to damaging winds could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for Nantucket Island from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for 5-8″ of snow and sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. The snow in this area could be heavy and wet and with the strong to damaging winds could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages. This area is the most problematic in terms of snowfall accumulation and rain/snow mix holding down snowfall amounts. If heavy snow coincides with the strongest winds, near blizzard conditions are expected..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for Northern Connecticut and Western Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The snow in this area will “not” be heavy and wet so main impacts will be to travel in this area from heavy snowfall and reduced visibilities..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Nantucket for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. These winds along with snow accumulation will likely cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages. The remainder of the coastal area under the High Wind Watch is now covered under the Blizzard Warning..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect from 8 AM-Noon Tuesday for the Tuesday Morning high tide cycle for Eastern Plymouth County, Cape Cod and Nantucket for moderate coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of the morning high tide cycle. A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 8 AM-Noon Tuesday for the Tuesday Morning high tide cycle for Eastern Essex and Dukes Counties of Massachusetts for minor coastal flooding of shore roads at the time of the morning high tide cycle..
..ARES/RACES Groups in Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts should closely monitor the progress of this system and seek advice from their local leadership. Pictures and videos from this latest coastal storm event can be sent to WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds, sent to pics@nsradio.org or as a reply to this email and will be shared with emergency management, non-governmental organizations and other outlets. Credit will be given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator unless otherwise indicated..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 4 AM Tuesday Morning..

Another significant coastal storm with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is going to affect the region late Monday Night into Tuesday. There is continued confidence on a significant system with high confidence in significant accumulating snow and strong winds and at least moderate to high confidence in a high impact event. The headlines depict the current thinking which is an upgrade to a Blizzard Warning for Eastern Essex, Plymouth, Barnstable and Dukes Counties of Massachusetts with a Winter Storm Warning remaining in effect across all of Southern New England. A High Wind Warning is now in effect for Nantucket Island as depicted in the headlines. Key factors for this storm include:

1.) The current thinking is that the snow consistency won’t be quite as heavy and wet as the prior storm system with the exception of areas along East and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and possibly South Coastal Rhode Island closer to the rain-snow line. This area stands the greatest risk for tree and wire damage from heavy wet snow and damaging winds. Also, Nantucket remains in the Winter Storm Warning and if the 5-8″ of snow is realized with the high winds, Nantucket could be an area that sustains tree and wire damage and power outages from the combination of heavy wet snow and strong to damaging winds and this will be monitored. Nantucket remains closest to the rain-snow line and a few miles could be the difference between a damaging winter storm event or mostly rain along with the high winds.
2.) Storm track could still change as we approach the event. Models have coalesced around the current solution but there is still some spread in the guidance and shifts in guidance of up to 50 miles are still possible and that could change some of the impacts across the region and where they occur. This will be monitored throughout the day today and is the reason for the Blizzard Warning upgrade to parts of East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Marthas Vineyard.
3.) The threat for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is likely to make travel near impossible on Tuesday by the morning commute and will likely impact the evening commute to a degree as the storm begins to depart the region at that time. Very high snowfall rates of 2-3″ per hour (possibly higher) and the potential for thundersnow could result in rapidly accumulating deep snowfall in the region. This will setup in parts of East Coastal Massachusetts in the Blizzard Warning area. There could be a further upgrade to the eastern most parts of the current Winter Storm Warning in later forecast updates and this will be monitored as well.

ARES/RACES Groups in Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts should closely monitor the progress of this system and seek advice from their local leadership. Pictures and videos from this latest coastal storm event can be sent to WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds, sent to pics@nsradio.org or as a reply to this email and will be shared with emergency management, non-governmental organizations and other outlets. Credit will be given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator unless otherwise indicated.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 4 AM Tuesday Morning. There could be one more coordination message by 8 PM Monday Evening if there is any significant changes otherwise this will be the last coordination message as we move into operations mode. Below is the NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning statement, High Wind Warning Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps and Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

NWS Taunton Blizzard/Winter Storm Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1652411654853199/1652410274853337/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Monday Evening 3/12/18-Tuesday Evening 3/13/18 Winter Storm Potential

March 12, 2018 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

..We are still working on a Post Storm Coordination Message that will now encompass both major coastal storms that affected the region over the past 7-10 days and will post this message later this week and encompass this latest major winter storm event. We have started Facebook Photo Albums for each storm available on the WX1BOX Facebook Page. Any damage photos/videos can be posted as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org..
..Another significant coastal storm with heavy snowfall across much of Southern New England with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions for Eastern New England and strong to damaging winds. Coastal flooding will be at minor levels given lower astronomical tides during this significant coastal storm event. Confidence in at least a level of accumulating snow and strong winds is high with confidence level on a high impact event at least moderate at this time..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for all of Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for 10-18″ of snow with isolated higher amounts to 22″ possible and those higher amounts possible in Eastern New England. Winds will be sustained at 15-25 MPH with gusts to 35-40 MPH in Central Massachusetts, sustained winds at 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50-55 MPH across Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts except for East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands where sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH are likely. Snow along coastal areas of Eastern Massachusetts and possibly Rhode Island maybe heavy and wet and with the strong to damaging winds could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect for Nantucket Island from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for 5-8″ of snow and sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. The snow in this area could be heavy and wet and with the strong to damaging winds could result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages. This area is the most problematic in terms of snowfall accumulation and rain/snow mix holding down snowfall amounts..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 11 PM Monday Evening through 8 PM Tuesday Evening for Northern Connecticut and Western Massachusetts for 6-12″ of snow with isolated higher amounts. The snow in this area will “not” be heavy and wet so main impacts will be to travel in this area from heavy snowfall and reduced visibilities..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect from late Monday Night through Tuesday Evening for Eastern Essex, Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts into Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. These winds along with snow accumulation will likely cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Minor Coastal flooding is possible at the time of high tide Tuesday Morning in East Coastal Massachusetts. Astronomical tides are low and this will preclude a greater coastal flood threat understanding the damaged coastal infrastructure from the previous two major coastal storm systems..
..ARES/RACES Groups in Rhode Island, Central and Eastern Massachusetts should closely monitor the progress of this system and seek advice from their local leadership. Pictures and videos from this latest coastal storm event can be sent to WX1BOX Facebook and Twitter feeds, sent to pics@nsradio.org or as a reply to this email and will be shared with emergency management, non-governmental organizations and other outlets. Credit will be given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator unless otherwise indicated..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely. Initial start time for NWS Taunton Ops is between 4-5 AM Tuesday Morning..

Another significant coastal storm with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is going to affect the region late Monday Night into Tuesday. There is continued confidence on a significant system with high confidence in significant accumulating snow and strong winds and at least moderate confidence in a high impact event. The headlines depict the current thinking which is an upgrade to Winter Storm Warning across all of Southern New England and now includes Nantucket and High Wind Watches continue along East Coastal Massachusetts including the Cape and Islands. Key factors for this storm include:

1.) The current thinking is that the snow consistency won’t be quite as heavy and wet as the prior storm system with the exception of areas along East and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and possibly South Coastal Rhode Island closer to the rain-snow line. This area stands the greatest risk for tree and wire damage from heavy wet snow and damaging winds. Also, Nantucket is now included in the Winter Storm Warning and if the 5-8″ of snow is realized with the high winds, Nantucket could be an area that sustains tree and wire damage and power outages from the combination of heavy wet snow and strong to damaging winds and this will be monitored. Nantucket remains closest to the rain-snow line and a few miles could be the difference between a damaging winter storm event or mostly rain along with the high winds.
2.) Storm track could still change as we approach the event. Models have coalesced around the current solution but there is still some spread in the guidance and shifts in guidance of up to 50 miles are still possible and that could change some of the impacts across the region and where they occur. This will be monitored throughout the day today.
3.) The threat for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is likely to make travel near impossible on Tuesday by the morning commute and will likely impact the evening commute to a degree as the storm begins to depart the region at that time. Very high snowfall rates of 2-3″ per hour (possibly higher) and the potential for thundersnow could result in rapidly accumulating deep snowfall in the region. This will likely setup in bands particularly in Eastern New England or could be widespread enough to affect much of the Eastern New England area with widespread snowfall of 6″ or more over the region likely. There could be a further upgrade to the Winter Storm Warning in later forecast updates and this will be monitored as well.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely. Initial start time for NWS Taunton Ops is between 4-5 AM Tuesday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 800 PM Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps and Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1652411654853199/1652410274853337/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Monday Evening 3/12/18-Tuesday Evening 3/13/18 Winter Storm Potential

March 11, 2018 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

..We are still working on a Post Storm Coordination Message that will now encompass both major coastal storms that affected the region over the past 7-10 days. We have started Facebook Photo Albums for each storm available on the WX1BOX Facebook Page. Any damage photos/videos can be posted as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org..
..Another significant coastal storm with heavy snowfall across much of Southern New England with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions for Eastern New England and strong to damaging winds. Coastal flooding will be at minor levels given lower astronomical tides during this significant coastal storm event. Confidence in at least a level of accumulating snow and strong winds is high with confidence level on a high impact event at least moderate at this time..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Monday Evening through Tuesday Evening for the entire NWS Taunton coverage area except for Nantucket Island. Nantucket Island could receive advisory level snowfall. Total snowfall in the Winter Storm Watch area of 6-12″ are expected region wide with at least bands of 12-18″ of snowfall likely in Central and Eastern New England. Strong wind gusts coupled with the potential for heavy wet snow particularly in eastern and southeastern parts of the coverage of the Winter Storm Watch could result in at least isolated to scattered pockets of tree and power line damage and isolated to scattered power outages. Wind gusts in the western interior will be in the 25-35 MPH range, 35-45 MPH range in Central areas and 45-65 MPH Gusts in Eastern areas with the highest gusts of 65 MPH across East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and the Islands and Eastern Essex County Massachusetts..
..A High Wind Watch is in effect for Eastern Essex, Eastern Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts into Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH. These winds along with snow accumulation will likely cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Minor Coastal flooding is possible at the time of high tide Tuesday Morning in East Coastal Massachusetts. Astronomical tides are low and this will preclude a greater coastal flood threat understanding the damaged coastal infrastructure from the previous two major coastal storm systems..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely. Initial start time for NWS Taunton Ops is between 4-5 AM Tuesday Morning..

Another significant coastal storm with the potential for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is going to affect the region late Monday Night into Tuesday. There is continued confidence on a significant system with high confidence in significant accumulating snow and strong winds and at least moderate confidence in a high impact event. The headlines depict the current thinking which is an expansion of the Winter Storm Watch across all of Southern New England except for Nantucket and High Wind Watches along East Coastal Massachusetts including the Cape and Islands. Key factors for this storm include:

1.) The current thinking is that the snow consistency won’t be quite as heavy and wet as the prior storm system with the exception of areas along East and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts and possibly South Coastal Rhode Island closer to the rain-snow line. This area stands the greatest risk for tree and wire damage from heavy wet snow and damaging winds.
2.) Storm track could still change as we approach the event. Some of the European models have shifted a bit further offshore but when factoring in the ensemble of European models with the American models, a closer to the coast track near the benchmark remains the favored solution increasing the risk for high impact major winter storm potential blizzard scenario. This will be watched closely over the next several model cycles.
3.) The threat for near blizzard to blizzard conditions is likely to make travel near impossible on Tuesday by the morning commute and will likely impact the evening commute to a degree as the storm begins to depart the region at that time. Very high snowfall rates of 2-3″ per hour (possibly higher) and the potential for thundersnow could result in rapidly accumulating deep snowfall in the region. This will likely setup in bands particularly in Eastern New England or could be widespread enough to affect much of the Eastern New England area with widespread snowfall of 6″ or more over the region likely.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely. Initial start time for NWS Taunton Ops is between 4-5 AM Tuesday Morning. Another coordination message will be posted by 1000 AM Monday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch statement, High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps and Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1651865511574480/1651864794907885/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday Evening 3/12/18-Tuesday 3/13/18 Winter Storm Potential

March 11, 2018 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

Another coastal storm is going to affect the region late Monday Night into Tuesday. Confidence is growing on impacts from accumulating snow and potentially strong winds at the coastline. The headlines depict the current thinking. Key factors for this storm include:

1.) The current thinking is that the snow consistency won’t be quite as heavy and wet as the prior storm system. Temperatures will be near freezing but the current thinking is the column air from surface to the upper levels will be colder. This will have to be watched carefully as temperatures are in a range for a heavier and wet snow but other factors are currently expected to keep it lighter than the past storm.
2.) Storm track could still change as we approach the event. This could lead to higher snowfall and greater wind impacts. From a coastal flood perspective, even a closer storm track won’t change those outcomes very much.
3.) The amount of rain/snow mix along South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island including Cape Cod and the Islands. This will affect snowfall amounts and if its all snow and with temperatures near freezing with the potential for strong winds, we’ll need to watch this area for any tree/wire damage issues whereas if its more rain its less impacts.

SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely centered on Tuesday. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible. Details on the activation posture will become better known as we get closer to the storm event. Another coordination message will be posted by 1100 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps and Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1651286568299041/1651282074966157/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Wednesday 3/7/18-Thursday 3/8/18 Winter Storm Potential

March 6, 2018 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

..Post Storm Coordination Message on the Major Coastal Storm delayed to get coordination message for the mid-week storm out first. Still pushing towards a post storm message this evening. Any damage photos can be posted as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org..
..Major Coastal Storm to Affect Southern New England Midday Wednesday into Thursday Morning. This storm will bring a widespread heavy snow to areas north and west of I-95 though some parts of Southeast Massachusetts may get accumulating snow as well as strong winds and minor coastal flooding though the winds and coastal flooding will not be as significant as the prior storm. Snow near any rain/snow line will be heavy and wet and could lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 AM Wednesday to 1 PM Thursday for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Worcester, Northern and Central Middlesex, and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts from 7 AM Wednesday to 1 PM Thursday for 12-18″ of snow with localized amounts of 20″ possible. The snow will be heavy and wet in some areas especially closest to the rain-snow line and could lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 AM Wednesday to 9 AM Thursday for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, and Northwest Providence County Rhode Island for 8-12″ of snow in valley location with localized amounts to 12-18″ possible in the hill towns. The snow will be heavy and wet in some areas especially closest to the rain-snow line and could lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect from 7 AM to 9 PM Wednesday for Kent, Southeast Providence and Washington Counties Rhode Island and Southeast Middlesex, Western Norfolk, and Eastern Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow and most of that snow falling during the evening commute before the snow mixes with and changes to rain. Areas south and east of this advisory area will likely see a period of snow before changing to rain and the rain becoming heavy at times. The southern edges of the Winter Storm Watches have been cancelled..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Afternoon for all of Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts from Suffolk and Norfolk Counties southeastward except for Cape Cod and the Islands. Rainfall of 1-2″ with isolated higher amounts in a 6 hour period may cause urban and poor drainage flooding as well as renewed river and stream flooding given prior flooding from the previous storm..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 10 AM to 9 PM Wednesday for Block Island Rhode Island. A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 1 PM Wednesday to 1 AM Thursday for Eastern Plymouth County Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands. A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 4 PM Wednesday to 3 AM Thursday for Eastern Essex County Massachusetts. These High Wind Warnings are for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 60 MPH and the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 10 AM to 9 PM Wednesday for Newport and Washington Counties RI. A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 1 PM Wednesday to 1 AM Thursday for Western Essex, Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex, Bristol and Western Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts. These Wind Advisories are for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH with isolated higher gusts possible and the potential for isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect from 2 AM to 6 AM Thursday for Eastern Essex County Massachusetts for minor to moderate coastal flooding at the time of high tide potentially exacerbated by prior storm coastal flood damage. A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect from 2 AM to 6 AM for Eastern Plymouth County, Cape Cod and Nantucket Island for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide and any residual water from the prior storm and any weakened infrastructure could result in slightly greater impacts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely 1 PM Wednesday Afternoon lasting through at least 1230 AM Thursday Morning. The overnight high tide cycle will likely be monitored via SKYWARN Self-Activation..

Another major coastal storm is taking aim at Southern New England for Wednesday into Thursday. The headlines have the latest info. A few key items/factors for this coastal storm:

1.) This storm will not have winds as high or coastal flooding as severe as the prior coastal storm but there will be some strong to damaging winds at the coast line and minor coastal flooding that with weakened infrastructure may have more impact than normal given the prior storm. Wind and Coastal flood headlines are now posted for portions of Eastern New England.
2.) This storm will have very heavy snow accumulations for interior locations and it could be a heavy wet snow in at least a portion of the Winter Storm Warning area and possibly in the Winter Weather Advisory area, this could lead to pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages.
3.) The most problematic part of this winter storm forecast is the rain-snow line position and where the potential heavy wet snow lines up in the region and how widespread it is. Model solutions have been a bit warmer leading to adjustments in the Winter Storm Warning area, Winter Weather Advisories being issued in the southern portion of the Winter Storm Watch/Warning areas and a Flood Watch being posted in Southeast New England. This will bear close monitoring throughout the storm event.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely 1 PM Wednesday Afternoon lasting through at least 1230 AM Thursday Morning. The overnight high tide cycle will likely be monitored via SKYWARN Self-Activation. This could be the last coordination message for this storm system unless a significant change to the situation occurs and time allows for an update. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps, and Facebook Winter Storm briefing post:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1646544078773290/1646543695439995/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #2 – Wednesday 3/7/18-Thursday 3/8/18 Winter Storm Potential

March 6, 2018 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

..Post Storm Coordination Message on the Major Coastal Storm delayed to get coordination message for the mid-week storm out first. Still pushing towards a post storm message later this afternoon or this evening. Any damage photos can be posted as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org..
..Major Coastal Storm to Affect Southern New England Midday Wednesday into Thursday Morning. This storm will bring a widespread heavy snow to areas north and west of I-95 though some parts of Southeast Massachusetts may get accumulating snow as well as strong winds and minor coastal flooding though the winds and coastal flooding will not be as significant as the prior storm. Snow near any rain/snow line will be heavy and wet and could lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 AM Wednesday to 1 PM Thursday for Franklin, Hampshire, Western Hampden, Worcester, Middlesex, Western Norfolk and Essex Counties of Massachusetts from 7 AM Wednesday to 1 PM Thursday for 12-18″ of snow with localized amounts of 20″ possible. The snow will be heavy and wet in some areas especially closest to the rain-snow line and could lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 AM Wednesday to 9 AM Thursday for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Northwest Providence and Western Kent Counties of Rhode Island for 10-15″ of snow with localized amounts to 18″ possible. The snow will be heavy and wet in some areas especially closest to the rain-snow line and could lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..A Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk Counties of Massachusetts and Southeast Providence, Eastern Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and has been expanded to include Northern Bristol County of Massachusetts for 2-8″ of snow. This is the area of greatest uncertainty in snowfall amounts due to uncertainty with the rain-snow line position. The snow will be heavy and wet and could lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Areas South and East of the Winter Storm Watch area are expected to see snow changing over to rain, however, the rain-snow line for the system is wavering with some indications of a colder system. This will bear close monitoring..
..Strong wind gusts of 45-60 MPH are possible at the coastline with 35-45 MPH wind gusts further inland. Wind headlines for the coastline are likely in future updates..
..Minor Coastal flooding at the time of the Thursday Morning high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts is likely. This will not be like what was observed in the prior storm though there could be a bit more impact given the weakened infrastructure..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely by midday Wednesday extending into early Thursday Morning. Further details to follow in future updates..

Another major coastal storm is taking aim at Southern New England for Wednesday into Thursday. The headlines have the latest info. A few key items/factors for this coastal storm:

1.) This storm will not have winds as high or coastal flooding as severe as the prior coastal storm but there will be some strong to damaging winds at the coast line and minor coastal flooding that with weakened infrastructure may have more impact than normal given the prior storm. There are no watches/warnings/advisories for strong winds or coastal flooding currently but will likely be added in future updates.
2.) This storm will have very heavy snow accumulations for interior locations and it could be a heavy wet snow in at least a portion of the Winter Storm Warning area and possibly in the Winter Storm Watch area, this could lead to pockets of tree and power line damage and power outages.
3.) The most problematic part of this winter storm forecast is the rain-snow line position and where the potential heavy wet snow lines up in the region and how widespread it is. Some model solutions have been a bit colder leading to higher snow amounts and maybe wet snow amounts further south in the area. This will bear close watching over the next few model runs.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely by midday Wednesday extending into early Thursday Morning. Further details to follow in future updates and the next update will be posted by 11 PM Tuesday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps, and Facebook Winter Storm briefing post:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Winter Storm Briefing Post:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1646048485489516/1646046132156418/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Wednesday 3/7/18-Thursday 3/8/18 Winter Storm Potential

March 5, 2018 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

..Post Storm Coordination Message on the Major Coastal Storm delayed to get coordination message for the mid-week storm out first. Will push towards a post storm message this evening. Any damage photos can be posted as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Wednesday Morning through Thursday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Kent and Washington Counties in Rhode Island, and Massachusetts from Norfolk and Suffolk Counties Massachusetts north and west for 6″ or more of snow. Areas of Southeast New England could see some accumulation before mixing with and changing to rain in these areas..
..Some strong winds are possible with wind gusts up to 50 MPH (nowhere near the wind gusts from the Friday-Saturday coastal storm)..
..Some minor coastal flooding is also possible in East Coastal Massachusetts but this will not be as severe as what occurred Friday into the weekend. It will slow down current clean up efforts and potentially have a bit more impact given weakened infrastructure..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely for this storm. Ops at NWS Taunton are possible depending on the hazards presented from this storm system. A more complete coordination message will be posted by 11 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Maps..

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #1 – Sunday Night-Monday Morning 3/4/18-3/5/18 Light Snow Event & Monday 3/5/18 Strong Wind Event on Cape & Islands

March 5, 2018 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

..Post Storm Coordination Message on the Major Coastal Storm will be posted by early Monday Morning. Any damage photos can be posted as a reply to this email, via the WX1BOX Facebook or Twitter feeds or to the email address pics@nsradio.org..
..A period of light snow will affect portions of Southern New England overnight through about 6 AM Monday and a Special Weather Statement covering the threat has been issued for a coating to 2″ of snow with isolated 3″ snow amounts.
..Minor Coastal Flooding will again occur at tonight’s high tide across East Coastal Massachusetts with a Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect through 300 AM Sunday in East Coastal Massachusetts, Cape Cod and Nantucket.
..A period of strong winds for Cape Cod and the Islands could cause isolated pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated power outages. A Wind Advisory is in effect from 5 AM-6 PM Monday for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with gusts to 50 MPH. Areas of the coast nearest the Wind Advisory could see wind gusts to 40 MPH..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor the light snowfall and strong wind threat in the region for Monday. This will be the only coordination message on this event unless a significant upgrade to the situation occurs. Coordination messages for the mid-week coastal storm will likely start Monday Evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Maps..

NWS Taunton Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:

http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

Storm Coordination Message #3 – Thursday Night 3/1/18 Through Saturday Afternoon 3/3/18 Storm Event

March 2, 2018 Rob Macedo Leave a comment

Hello to all…

..Powerful and long duration coastal storm will bring the multiple high tide cycles of significant major coastal flooding to East Coastal Massachusetts along with the potential for strong to damaging winds including hurricane force wind gusts for Cape Cod and the Islands, heavy rainfall that could lead to urban, poor drainage and potentially river and stream flooding and rain changing to snow with the potential for significant snow accumulations in portions of interior Southern New England. The potential for heavy snow remains the lowest confidence portion of the forecast..
..A Coastal Flood Warning is now in effect for East Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands from 9 AM Friday Morning to 3 AM Sunday Morning for the potential of major coastal flooding over multiple high tide cycles..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island from 7 AM Friday to 11 PM Saturday for minor coastal flooding of shore roads up to 1 foot in depth for multiple high tide cycles..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect from 10 AM Friday to 10 AM Saturday for Eastern Kent, Southeast Providence, Bristol, Newport and Washington Counties of Rhode Island including Block Island and Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 20-40 MPH with gusts to 70 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts likely. These winds will cause scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages..
..A High Wind Warning remains in effect from 10 AM Friday to 10 AM Saturday for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 30-40 MPH with gusts to 75 MPH and isolated higher gusts likely. These winds will cause scattered to numerous pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered to numerous power outages..
..A High Wind Warning is now in effect from 10 AM Friday through 7 AM Saturday for Western Kent and Northwest Providence Counties of Rhode Island and Southern Worcester, Central and Southeast Middlesex and Essex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH and isolated higher wind gusts possible. These winds will have the potential to cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages..
..A Wind Advisory is now in effect from 7 AM Friday to 7 AM Saturday for Northern Connecticut, Eastern Franklin, Eastern Hampshire, Eastern Hampden, Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for sustained winds of 15-25 MPH with gusts to 45-50 MPH. These winds coupled with any wet snow accumulation will cause scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages..
..A Flood Watch remains in effect for Northern Connecticut, all of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts from Southern Worcester and Central Middlesex Counties eastward to the coast line from Friday Morning through Saturday Morning for 1-3 inches of rainfall with isolated higher rainfall amounts of 4″. This rainfall could produce urban and small stream flooding as well as urban and poor drainage flooding..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 4 AM Friday to 4 AM Saturday for Western Franklin, Western Hampshire and Western Hampden Counties of Massachusetts for 5-8″of snow with higher amounts to 12″ possible. The snow will be heavy and wet and coupled with the strong winds could down scattered trees and power lines and cause scattered power outages. This remains lower confidence and could be subject to revision on snow amounts..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from Noon Friday to 4 AM Saturday for Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 4-7″ of snow with higher amounts to 10″ possible. The snow will be heavy and wet and coupled with the strong winds could down scattered trees and power lines and cause scattered power outages. This remains lower confidence and could be subject to revision on snow amounts..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Southern Worcester County from Friday Afternoon through Saturday Morning for 4-7″ of snow. The snow will be heavy and wet and coupled with the strong winds could down scattered trees and power lines and cause scattered power outages. This remains lower confidence and could be subject to revision on snow amounts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence by 8 AM Friday Morning lasting through Saturday Afternoon. Overnight Ops are possible..
..Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds, as a reply to this email or to the email address pics@nsradio.org. Credit will be given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the photos/videos unless otherwise indicated..
..ARES/RACES Groups should seek advice from local leadership for possible standby or activation status..

Model solutions have converged on a storm track just offshore of the Southern New England coastline but close enough to get the region into significant impacts from coastal flooding which could hit major category in multiple locations, damaging wind gusts causing isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and scattered power outages and heavy rainfall leading to urban and poor drainage flooding and small river and stream flooding. The track guidance continues to support an increased risk for heavy wet snow and coupled with strong winds could cause power outages in interior locations of the Winter Storm Warning/Watch areas. The headlines reflect the current thinking. Factors for consideration:

1.) Given model trends and the potential for widespread damaging winds and widespread pockets of tree and wire damage, high wind warnings have been posted and expanded with the continued potential for hurricane force wind gusts over Cape Cod and the Islands and possibly other parts of the coast line with wind gusts as high as 75 MPH with isolated higher gusts likely particularly in Southeast Coastal New England and Cape Cod and the Islands. Further inland in Eastern Massachusetts, Northwest Rhode, wind gusts to 65-70 MPH are likely with widespread pockets of wind damage. Lesser wind gusts are expected inland but with the wet snow, impact could be similar in nature.
2.) This is likely to be one of the bigger coastal flood episodes for East Coastal Massachusetts in recent memory particularly when considering the multiple tide cycles and higher astronomical tides. This continues to bear close watching and preparations in this area should start and be completed by Thursday Night into early Friday Morning. It is now looking like the Friday Morning, Friday Evening and Saturday Midday high tides all have high risks with some risk of some level of coastal flooding Saturday Evening.
3.) Heavy rainfall could lead to urban and poor drainage flooding as well as street flooding. If the heavier rainfall occurs over East Coastal Massachusetts, this could cause further flooding issues in the coastal areas.
4.) Lowest confidence in this forecast is regarding any rain changing to snow potential but enough confidence for Winter Storm Warnings across Western and Northern Massachusetts with a Winter Storm Watch for Southern Worcester County. The trend in the models has maintained colder temperatures and more snow in the interior and there is a possibility more snowfall totals could get into portions of Eastern Massachusetts and Northern Connecticut as well. This will likely have the most revisions leading up to the storm and will bear close watching for further changes. With the wet snow and strong to damaging winds, pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages are likely.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence Friday Morning lasting through Saturday Afternoon. Overnight Ops are possible. Pictures and videos of storm damage can be sent via the WX1BOX Facebook/Twitter feeds, as a reply to this email or to the email address pics@nsradio.org. Credit will be given to the SKYWARN Spotter/Amateur Radio Operator for the photos/videos unless otherwise indicated. ARES/RACES Groups should seek advice from local leadership for possible standby or activation status.

Another coordination message will be posted if time allows by 9 AM Friday Morning otherwise this will be the last coordination message on the storm potential. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement, High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook, Snowfall Maps and NWS Facebook storm briefing post:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Warning/Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Warning/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Enhanced Hazardous Weather Outlook:
https://www.weather.gov/box/ehwo

NWS Taunton Snowfall Maps:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter

NWS Taunton Facebook Storm Briefing Post:

https://www.facebook.com/NWSBoston/photos/pcb.1640966885997676/1640966152664416/?type=3&theater

Respectfully Submitted,

Uncategorized

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