Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday 8/16/16 – Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all…
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely Tuesday after midday through evening across much of Southern New England. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out and is a secondary threat..
..The Storm Prediction Center has now placed much of Southern New England in a Slight Risk for severe weather with a marginal risk for severe weather for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..The timeframe for severe weather is now looking more like from midday today through late evening. This timeframe could be fine tuned as we go through the day..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely today. The start time of activation could be around 11 AN-Noon or towards mid-afternoon. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows to update the timeframe for Ops at NWS..
Tuesday has the potential to be an active severe weather day in Southern New England. A warm front will push its way through Southern New England in the morning and early afternoon followed by a pre-frontal trough and cold front later Tuesday and Tuesday Night. Right now, it is looking more like the threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will be later in the day (likely midday into late evening). As the warm front moves through, there appears to be enough cloud breaks for heating and destabilization. If that trend continues coupled with the sufficient strong wind shear profiles, it will set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning as the main threats but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out and is a secondary threat. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded most of Southern New England to a Slight Risk for severe weather with Cape Cod and the Islands in a marginal risk for severe weather.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely today. The start time of activation could be around 11 AN-Noon or towards mid-afternoon. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows to update the timeframe for Ops at NWS. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
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Hello to all…
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms likely Tuesday after midday through evening across much of Southern New England. Strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning are the main threats but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out and is a secondary threat..
..The Storm Prediction Center has now placed much of Southern New England in a Slight Risk for severe weather with a marginal risk for severe weather for Cape Cod and the Islands..
..The timeframe for severe weather is now looking more like from midday today through late evening. This timeframe could be fine tuned as we go through the day..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely today. The start time of activation could be around 11 AN-Noon or towards mid-afternoon. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows to update the timeframe for Ops at NWS..
Tuesday has the potential to be an active severe weather day in Southern New England. A warm front will push its way through Southern New England in the morning and early afternoon followed by a pre-frontal trough and cold front later Tuesday and Tuesday Night. Right now, it is looking more like the threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will be later in the day (likely midday into late evening). As the warm front moves through, there appears to be enough cloud breaks for heating and destabilization. If that trend continues coupled with the sufficient strong wind shear profiles, it will set the stage for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds, hail, heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding and frequent lightning as the main threats but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out and is a secondary threat. The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded most of Southern New England to a Slight Risk for severe weather with Cape Cod and the Islands in a marginal risk for severe weather.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton is likely today. The start time of activation could be around 11 AN-Noon or towards mid-afternoon. A shortened coordination message will be issued if time allows to update the timeframe for Ops at NWS. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus81.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box