Severe Weather Coordination Message #2 – Tuesday Night June 17th, 2014-Wednesday Morning June 18th, 2014 Severe Weather Potential
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible late this evening into early Wednesday Morning particularly in Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut but other parts of interior Southern New England should also monitor. Current threat timeframe is between 9 PM Tuesday Evening through 3 AM Wednesday Morning. Strong to Damaging Winds, hail and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center, SPC, has placed portions of Western New England in a slight risk of severe weather..
..The potential for any isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening will depend on any overnight thunderstorm activity and the positioning of impulses along the front and their proximity near southern parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 8 PM to monitor the potential for severe weather during the late evening and early morning hours..
At 515 PM, Doppler radar is showing a line of strong to possibly severe thunderstorms across Lake Erie and to the west of Lake Ontario. Initial activity ahead of this line in Central New York State briefly was severe but has currently weakened. Despite the loss of heating as we get into the later evening and overnight hours, the atmosphere will remain unstable due to the prior heating of the day and unstable conditions aloft with the strong impulse that is currently producing the strong to possibly severe thunderstorms approaching Western New York State. Wind shear values will also be sufficient and these conditions may combine to produce isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms late this evening into early Wednesday Morning particularly in Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut but other parts of interior Southern New England should also monitor. Current threat timeframe is between 9 PM Tuesday Evening through 3 AM Wednesday Morning. Strong to Damaging Winds, hail and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center, SPC, has placed portions of Western New England in a slight risk of severe weather. It is possible that if conditions can remain unstable enough despite the unfavorable time of day that the storms could evolve into a complex of strong to severe thunderstorms as it moves into Western New England and this will be monitored late this evening and overnight.
For Wednesday Afternoon and evening, there remains the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms but this will depend on how the overnight thunderstorm activity evolves and the proximity of the front and impulses along the front for the southern parts of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area including portions of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts. This will be detailed in a coordination message for Wednesday Morning.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 8 PM to monitor the potential for severe weather during the late evening and early morning hours. This will be the last coordination message regarding severe weather potential for Tuesday Night into Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement – Severe Weather Potential:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1406171902.wwus81.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all..
..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible late this evening into early Wednesday Morning particularly in Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut but other parts of interior Southern New England should also monitor. Current threat timeframe is between 9 PM Tuesday Evening through 3 AM Wednesday Morning. Strong to Damaging Winds, hail and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center, SPC, has placed portions of Western New England in a slight risk of severe weather..
..The potential for any isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms for Wednesday Afternoon and Evening will depend on any overnight thunderstorm activity and the positioning of impulses along the front and their proximity near southern parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 8 PM to monitor the potential for severe weather during the late evening and early morning hours..
At 515 PM, Doppler radar is showing a line of strong to possibly severe thunderstorms across Lake Erie and to the west of Lake Ontario. Initial activity ahead of this line in Central New York State briefly was severe but has currently weakened. Despite the loss of heating as we get into the later evening and overnight hours, the atmosphere will remain unstable due to the prior heating of the day and unstable conditions aloft with the strong impulse that is currently producing the strong to possibly severe thunderstorms approaching Western New York State. Wind shear values will also be sufficient and these conditions may combine to produce isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms late this evening into early Wednesday Morning particularly in Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut but other parts of interior Southern New England should also monitor. Current threat timeframe is between 9 PM Tuesday Evening through 3 AM Wednesday Morning. Strong to Damaging Winds, hail and heavy rainfall with urban and poor drainage flooding are the main threats. The Storm Prediction Center, SPC, has placed portions of Western New England in a slight risk of severe weather. It is possible that if conditions can remain unstable enough despite the unfavorable time of day that the storms could evolve into a complex of strong to severe thunderstorms as it moves into Western New England and this will be monitored late this evening and overnight.
For Wednesday Afternoon and evening, there remains the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms but this will depend on how the overnight thunderstorm activity evolves and the proximity of the front and impulses along the front for the southern parts of the NWS Taunton Coverage Area including portions of Connecticut, Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts. This will be detailed in a coordination message for Wednesday Morning.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence at 8 PM to monitor the potential for severe weather during the late evening and early morning hours. This will be the last coordination message regarding severe weather potential for Tuesday Night into Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook, and SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
NWS Taunton Special Weather Statement – Severe Weather Potential:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KBOX/1406171902.wwus81.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
SPC Day-1 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box