Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Sunday July 15th 2012 Severe Weather Potential

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible across much of Southern New England Sunday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to Damaging Winds, large hail and urban/poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..Threat timeframe is after 2 PM Sunday Afternoon and will be contingent on sunshine and degree of instability in the atmosphere..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Sunday Afternoon and Evening..

A warm front will make its way through Southern New England Sunday Afternoon and Evening bringing with it oppressive heat and humidity for the first half of this week. Along the warm front, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms could organize in Eastern New York, New Jersey and Eastern Pennsylvania and make its way into Southern New England after 2 PM in western areas and after 4 PM in eastern areas with strong to damaging winds, large hail and urban/poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. The threat will be contingent on the amount of sunshine and destablization that can take place ahead of the front. Wind shear values should be sufficient for the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms presuming full destablization is realized. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and NWS Taunton are in agreement on an isolated to scattered threat of strong to severe thunderstorms for Sunday Afternoon and evening.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Sunday Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message will be issued by 1 PM Sunday Afternoon. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1207141730.acus02.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

Hello to all..

..Isolated to Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms are possible across much of Southern New England Sunday Afternoon and Evening. Strong to Damaging Winds, large hail and urban/poor drainage flooding are the primary threats..
..Threat timeframe is after 2 PM Sunday Afternoon and will be contingent on sunshine and degree of instability in the atmosphere..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Sunday Afternoon and Evening..

A warm front will make its way through Southern New England Sunday Afternoon and Evening bringing with it oppressive heat and humidity for the first half of this week. Along the warm front, isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms could organize in Eastern New York, New Jersey and Eastern Pennsylvania and make its way into Southern New England after 2 PM in western areas and after 4 PM in eastern areas with strong to damaging winds, large hail and urban/poor drainage flooding as the primary threats. The threat will be contingent on the amount of sunshine and destablization that can take place ahead of the front. Wind shear values should be sufficient for the potential for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms presuming full destablization is realized. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and NWS Taunton are in agreement on an isolated to scattered threat of strong to severe thunderstorms for Sunday Afternoon and evening.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible Sunday Afternoon and Evening. Another coordination message will be issued by 1 PM Sunday Afternoon. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KWNS/1207141730.acus02.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org

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