Storm Coordination Message #1 – Thursday 2/13/14-Friday Morning 2/14/14 Winter Storm Event

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm/Nor’easter system will take aim on Southern New England very late Wednesday Night through Friday Morning with the potential for Heavy Snowfall for Western and Central New England, a Wintry Mix for portions of Eastern New England and Heavy Rainfall in Southeast New England. Strong to Damaging Winds also possible particularly along the coast..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester, Middlesex, Western Norfolk and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 8-12″ of snow with isolated amounts to 14″ west of Interstate 495..
..Advisory level snowfall is possible in areas not covered by the Winter Storm Watch west of the Cape Cod Canal. Cape Cod and the Islands is currently expected to receive mostly rain from theis system at the present time but strong to damaging winds are possible..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Thursday through early Friday Morning..

A storm system in the south-central and Southeast United States will continue to organize and make its way northeast and track towards Southern New England. The storm will likely bring significant snow accumulations to much of Southern New England with the potential for heavy rainfall in Southeast parts of the region and the threat of strong to damaging winds particularly at the coast.

A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Western Norfolk, Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts through Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and into Northern Connecticut and Southern New Hampshire. Total snowfall of 6-12″ in the Winter Storm Watch area with the potential for isolated snowfall amounts of 14″ west of Interstate 495 in Massachusetts and across portions of Northwest Connecticut. The snow has the potential to be heavy and wet and there will be some strong winds in the interior as well. This may lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. The extent of any damage potential will be better defined in future forecasts.

In areas west of the Cape Cod Canal through East Coastal and South Coastal Massachusetts not covered by the Winter Storm Watch, advisory level snowfall is possible before a changeover to rain. Across Cape Cod and the Islands, most of this storm event will be heavy rainfall. In areas of heavy rainfall, urban and poor drainage flooding may be possible.

Along East and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands, strong to damaging winds will be possible. The extent of the wind threat will be better defined in future forecasts. There is also the possibility of minor coastal flooding at the time of the Thursday Evening high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts. At this time, the coastal flood threat does not look as extensive as the early January 2014 blizzard.

The rain/snow line for this storm will be one of the most difficult parts of the forecast. It will likely be subject to the most revision for this storm event. Secondarily, the wind damage threat at the coast and the potential wind/wet snow damage threat inland will be aspects that will need to be monitored and revised depending on the track, speed and intensity of the storm.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Thursday Morning into early Friday Morning. The next coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Map for the storm:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm/Nor’easter system will take aim on Southern New England very late Wednesday Night through Friday Morning with the potential for Heavy Snowfall for Western and Central New England, a Wintry Mix for portions of Eastern New England and Heavy Rainfall in Southeast New England. Strong to Damaging Winds also possible particularly along the coast..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Northern Connecticut, Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and Northern Bristol Counties of Massachusetts for 6-10″ of snow and a trace of ice..
..A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Southern New Hampshire, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester, Middlesex, Western Norfolk and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts for 8-12″ of snow with isolated amounts to 14″ west of Interstate 495..
..Advisory level snowfall is possible in areas not covered by the Winter Storm Watch west of the Cape Cod Canal. Cape Cod and the Islands is currently expected to receive mostly rain from theis system at the present time but strong to damaging winds are possible..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Thursday through early Friday Morning..

A storm system in the south-central and Southeast United States will continue to organize and make its way northeast and track towards Southern New England. The storm will likely bring significant snow accumulations to much of Southern New England with the potential for heavy rainfall in Southeast parts of the region and the threat of strong to damaging winds particularly at the coast.

A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect from Western Norfolk, Middlesex and Western Essex Counties of Massachusetts through Providence, Kent and Washington Counties of Rhode Island and into Northern Connecticut and Southern New Hampshire. Total snowfall of 6-12″ in the Winter Storm Watch area with the potential for isolated snowfall amounts of 14″ west of Interstate 495 in Massachusetts and across portions of Northwest Connecticut. The snow has the potential to be heavy and wet and there will be some strong winds in the interior as well. This may lead to isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages. The extent of any damage potential will be better defined in future forecasts.

In areas west of the Cape Cod Canal through East Coastal and South Coastal Massachusetts not covered by the Winter Storm Watch, advisory level snowfall is possible before a changeover to rain. Across Cape Cod and the Islands, most of this storm event will be heavy rainfall. In areas of heavy rainfall, urban and poor drainage flooding may be possible.

Along East and South Coastal Massachusetts including Cape Cod and the Islands, strong to damaging winds will be possible. The extent of the wind threat will be better defined in future forecasts. There is also the possibility of minor coastal flooding at the time of the Thursday Evening high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts. At this time, the coastal flood threat does not look as extensive as the early January 2014 blizzard.

The rain/snow line for this storm will be one of the most difficult parts of the forecast. It will likely be subject to the most revision for this storm event. Secondarily, the wind damage threat at the coast and the potential wind/wet snow damage threat inland will be aspects that will need to be monitored and revised depending on the track, speed and intensity of the storm.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Thursday Morning into early Friday Morning. The next coordination message will be posted by 9 AM Wednesday Morning. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Snowfall Map for the storm:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/index.php

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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