Storm Coordination Message #3 – Tuesday 12/9/14 Coastal Storm Potential

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm System On Track to Affect the Region Tuesday Morning through Tuesday Evening with the potential for strong to damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and minor to possibly moderate coastal flooding. There is also a possibility of some heavy wet snow accumulation in northwest parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area..
..Icing conditions causing numerous car accidents and roads that are a sheet of ice across Southeast Mass/Rhode Island and Northern Connecticut during Monday Evening..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Cheshire County New Hampshire as issued by the NWS Gray Maine Office and a Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Western Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for late tonight through Tuesday Evening for 4-7″ of snow and a trace of ice. The snow will be heavy and wet and could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages if snowfall amounts are greater than 4″..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 3 PM Tuesday Afternoon for Eastern Franklin, Northern Worcester, Western Hampden and Eastern Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow and a light icing from a mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 10 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Central Middlesex, Western Essex, Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester, and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 1″ of snow and light icing from a mixture of snow, sleet and freezing rain that will quickly change to rain..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 5 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Essex, Western Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island for light freezing rain and freezing drizzle overnight that should change to rain by morning prior to the morning commute but is causing very treacherous road conditions across Southeast New England Monday Evening..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect from Tuesday Morning through Tuesday Evening for Eastern Essex County Massachusetts, Eastern and Southern Plymouth County of Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts to 50-60 MPH. A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Southern Bristol County Massachusetts and Southern Rhode Island from 8 AM-7 PM Tuesday and for Eastern Norfolk, Suffolk, and Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts from 10 AM-7 PM Tuesday for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts to 50 MPH. This may result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect for Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island, Southern Worcester County Massachusetts and all of Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and he Islands for Heavy rainfall of 2-2.5″ with isolated higher amounts that can result in urban and poor drainage flooding across portions of Southern New England potentially impacting the evening commute..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect for minor coastal flooding and beach erosion at the time of the Tuesday Midday high tide from 11 AM-3 PM for East Coastal Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence no later than 1000 AM Tuesday Morning..

A significant coastal storm will impact portions of Southern New England Tuesday Morning through Tuesday Evening with the peak intensity of activity in the late morning through early evening hours. The headlines depict the current weather hazards for the region. The following are items that will be considered for future forecasts for this significant coastal storm:

1.) The track of the storm. The storm track has shifted slightly east which means the possibility for significant heavy wet snow accumulation in the northern parts of the NWS Taunton Coverage area and Cheshire County New Hampshire in the NWS Gray Maine coverage area. This is the lowest confidence portion of the forecast as small deviations in storm track and temperature profile could be the difference between significant heavy wet snow and a cold rain. It is noted that cold air has hung on strong even down through Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts causing icing conditions and numerous car accidents in this area during Monday Evening.

2.) The level of winds expected across portions of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. There will be very strong winds aloft. The amount of winds experienced at the surface will depend on the ability of the winds to mix down to the surface. The current High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory products reflect current thinking.

3.) Heavy rainfall in the Flood Watch area and how much of this falls in what time period will determine the extent of any urban and poor drainage flooding. Rainfall amounts of 2-2.5″ are expected.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence no later than 1000 AM Tuesday Morning. Another coordination message will be issued by 800 AM Tuesday Morning. Below are the Winter Storm Watches issued by the NWS Taunton and Gray Maine Offices and the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Gray Maine Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/me/latest.wwus41.KGYX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.weather.gov/images/box/winter/StormTotalSnowRange.png

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all..

..Coastal Storm System On Track to Affect the Region Tuesday Morning through Tuesday Evening with the potential for strong to damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and minor to possibly moderate coastal flooding. There is also a possibility of some heavy wet snow accumulation in northwest parts of the NWS Taunton coverage area..
..Icing conditions causing numerous car accidents and roads that are a sheet of ice across Southeast Mass/Rhode Island and Northern Connecticut during Monday Evening..
..A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Cheshire County New Hampshire as issued by the NWS Gray Maine Office and a Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for Western Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for late tonight through Tuesday Evening for 4-7″ of snow and a trace of ice. The snow will be heavy and wet and could cause isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages if snowfall amounts are greater than 4″..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 3 PM Tuesday Afternoon for Eastern Franklin, Northern Worcester, Western Hampden and Eastern Hampshire Counties of Massachusetts for 2-5″ of snow and a light icing from a mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 10 AM Tuesday Morning for Northern Connecticut, Central Middlesex, Western Essex, Eastern Hampden, Southern Worcester, and Northern Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts for 1″ of snow and light icing from a mixture of snow, sleet and freezing rain that will quickly change to rain..
..A Winter Weather Advisory is now in effect through 5 AM Tuesday Morning for Eastern Essex, Western Norfolk, Southeast Middlesex, Suffolk, Eastern Norfolk, Bristol and Plymouth Counties of Massachusetts and all of Rhode Island for light freezing rain and freezing drizzle overnight that should change to rain by morning prior to the morning commute but is causing very treacherous road conditions across Southeast New England Monday Evening..
..A High Wind Watch remains in effect from Tuesday Morning through Tuesday Evening for Eastern Essex County Massachusetts, Eastern and Southern Plymouth County of Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts to 50-60 MPH. A Wind Advisory is now in effect for Southern Bristol County Massachusetts and Southern Rhode Island from 8 AM-7 PM Tuesday and for Eastern Norfolk, Suffolk, and Southeast Middlesex Counties of Massachusetts from 10 AM-7 PM Tuesday for sustained winds of 20-30 MPH with wind gusts to 50 MPH. This may result in isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and power outages..
..A Flood Watch is now in effect for Northern Connecticut, Rhode Island, Southern Worcester County Massachusetts and all of Eastern Massachusetts except for Cape Cod and he Islands for Heavy rainfall of 2-2.5″ with isolated higher amounts that can result in urban and poor drainage flooding across portions of Southern New England potentially impacting the evening commute..
..A Coastal Flood Advisory is now in effect for minor coastal flooding and beach erosion at the time of the Tuesday Midday high tide from 11 AM-3 PM for East Coastal Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence no later than 1000 AM Tuesday Morning..

A significant coastal storm will impact portions of Southern New England Tuesday Morning through Tuesday Evening with the peak intensity of activity in the late morning through early evening hours. The headlines depict the current weather hazards for the region. The following are items that will be considered for future forecasts for this significant coastal storm:

1.) The track of the storm. The storm track has shifted slightly east which means the possibility for significant heavy wet snow accumulation in the northern parts of the NWS Taunton Coverage area and Cheshire County New Hampshire in the NWS Gray Maine coverage area. This is the lowest confidence portion of the forecast as small deviations in storm track and temperature profile could be the difference between significant heavy wet snow and a cold rain. It is noted that cold air has hung on strong even down through Rhode Island and Southeast Massachusetts causing icing conditions and numerous car accidents in this area during Monday Evening.

2.) The level of winds expected across portions of Eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. There will be very strong winds aloft. The amount of winds experienced at the surface will depend on the ability of the winds to mix down to the surface. The current High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory products reflect current thinking.

3.) Heavy rainfall in the Flood Watch area and how much of this falls in what time period will determine the extent of any urban and poor drainage flooding. Rainfall amounts of 2-2.5″ are expected.

SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton will commence no later than 1000 AM Tuesday Morning. Another coordination message will be issued by 800 AM Tuesday Morning. Below are the Winter Storm Watches issued by the NWS Taunton and Gray Maine Offices and the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory Statement, Flood Watch Statement, Coastal Flood Advisory Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook:

NWS Taunton Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html

NWS Gray Maine Winter Storm Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/me/latest.wwus41.KGYX.html

NWS Taunton High Wind Watch/Wind Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Flood Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wgus61.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

NWS Taunton Snowfall Map:
http://www.weather.gov/images/box/winter/StormTotalSnowRange.png

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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