Storm Coordination Message #3- Sunday Evening 12/11/16-Monday After 12/12/16 Winter Storm Potential
Hello to all…
..Plowable snowfall expected for much of interior Southern New England Sunday Night through midday Monday with a fairly rapid snow to ice to rain transition along coastal areas from the Boston to Providence corridor south and east and a slower transition of snow to ice to rain across Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and Northeast Massachusetts to near the I-495 corridor with mostly snow and ice north of the Mass Pike and west of I-495. The Monday Morning commute will have wintry impacts particularly from the I-495 corridor north and west and from just south of the Massachusetts/Connecticut/Rhode Island border and points north..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 PM Sunday Evening through 1 PM Monday for Western Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties for 4-8″ of snow and possibly some light icing of a few hundredths of an inch..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 7 PM this Sunday Evening to 1 PM Monday for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island and from Essex and Southeast Middlesex Counties westward through Western Hampden and Central and Eastern Franklin Counties of Massachusetts. Total snowfall of 3-6″ is expected along and north of the Mass Pike and along and west of I-495 with a trace to one tenth of an inch ice near I-495 and the Mass Pike. Total snowfall of 2-4″ is expected for much of Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts between the I-95 and I-495 corridor with a trace to a tenth of an inch of ice. A coating to 2″ of snow is expected along and south and east of I-95 from the Boston to Providence corridor south and east. Model solutions have varied on how long cold air will hold in the region but this latest update appears to be a reasonable expectation for snow and ice totals in the region..
..Some minor splashover at the time of high tide between 4-8 AM is possible in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. A coastal flood statement has been sent regarding this threat..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall and icing reports and changeover in precipitation type reports for this storm event. Some Amateur Radio call-up nets on local SKYWARN repeaters are likely early Monday Morning through midday in the 6 AM to 1 PM timeframe on Amateur Radio SKYWARN repeaters in Northern Connecticut, Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts..
The first widespread snowfall of the season is expected across much of Southern New England and especially interior locations of Southern New England. The headlines of this coordination message depict the current thinking. The biggest change in this update is to upgrade Western Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Northwest Massachusetts to a Winter Storm Warning and that a coastal flood statement has been issued for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for the Monday Morning high tide. Key items for this storm continue to include:
1.) Timing of the onset of the storm. It will initially be cold and if snow is able to reach the ground Sunday Evening, it will be a light fluffier snow which could allow for more accumulation. If it is too dry, it may take time for thing to moisten up to allow snow to reach the ground.
2.) How long the cold air is able to remain entrenched in the region and how deep the cold air will be. This will determine if snow is able to last longer particularly in interior locations and how much any ice accumulation could be in the area. It is noted that temperatures were colder than expected this morning and that will need to be monitored to see how much warming occurs during the day and this could affect snow and ice amounts.
3.) Storm track and how quickly secondary low formation occurs and where it tracks. This could impact the amount of cold air in the region as highlighted in item 2.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall and icing reports and changeover in precipitation type reports for this storm event. Some Amateur Radio call-up nets on local SKYWARN repeaters are likely early Monday Morning through midday in the 6 AM to 1 PM timeframe on Amateur Radio SKYWARN repeaters in Northern Connecticut, Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts. This will be the last coordination message on this winter storm unless time allows and a significant change to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory statement, Coastal Flood Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:
NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box
Hello to all…
..Plowable snowfall expected for much of interior Southern New England Sunday Night through midday Monday with a fairly rapid snow to ice to rain transition along coastal areas from the Boston to Providence corridor south and east and a slower transition of snow to ice to rain across Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and Northeast Massachusetts to near the I-495 corridor with mostly snow and ice north of the Mass Pike and west of I-495. The Monday Morning commute will have wintry impacts particularly from the I-495 corridor north and west and from just south of the Massachusetts/Connecticut/Rhode Island border and points north..
..A Winter Storm Warning is now in effect from 7 PM Sunday Evening through 1 PM Monday for Western Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties for 4-8″ of snow and possibly some light icing of a few hundredths of an inch..
..A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 7 PM this Sunday Evening to 1 PM Monday for Northern Connecticut, Northwest Providence County Rhode Island and from Essex and Southeast Middlesex Counties westward through Western Hampden and Central and Eastern Franklin Counties of Massachusetts. Total snowfall of 3-6″ is expected along and north of the Mass Pike and along and west of I-495 with a trace to one tenth of an inch ice near I-495 and the Mass Pike. Total snowfall of 2-4″ is expected for much of Northern Connecticut, Northwest Rhode Island and interior Northeast Massachusetts between the I-95 and I-495 corridor with a trace to a tenth of an inch of ice. A coating to 2″ of snow is expected along and south and east of I-95 from the Boston to Providence corridor south and east. Model solutions have varied on how long cold air will hold in the region but this latest update appears to be a reasonable expectation for snow and ice totals in the region..
..Some minor splashover at the time of high tide between 4-8 AM is possible in South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island. A coastal flood statement has been sent regarding this threat..
..SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall and icing reports and changeover in precipitation type reports for this storm event. Some Amateur Radio call-up nets on local SKYWARN repeaters are likely early Monday Morning through midday in the 6 AM to 1 PM timeframe on Amateur Radio SKYWARN repeaters in Northern Connecticut, Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts..
The first widespread snowfall of the season is expected across much of Southern New England and especially interior locations of Southern New England. The headlines of this coordination message depict the current thinking. The biggest change in this update is to upgrade Western Franklin and Western Hampshire Counties of Northwest Massachusetts to a Winter Storm Warning and that a coastal flood statement has been issued for South Coastal Massachusetts and Rhode Island for the Monday Morning high tide. Key items for this storm continue to include:
1.) Timing of the onset of the storm. It will initially be cold and if snow is able to reach the ground Sunday Evening, it will be a light fluffier snow which could allow for more accumulation. If it is too dry, it may take time for thing to moisten up to allow snow to reach the ground.
2.) How long the cold air is able to remain entrenched in the region and how deep the cold air will be. This will determine if snow is able to last longer particularly in interior locations and how much any ice accumulation could be in the area. It is noted that temperatures were colder than expected this morning and that will need to be monitored to see how much warming occurs during the day and this could affect snow and ice amounts.
3.) Storm track and how quickly secondary low formation occurs and where it tracks. This could impact the amount of cold air in the region as highlighted in item 2.
SKYWARN Self-Activation will monitor for snowfall and icing reports and changeover in precipitation type reports for this storm event. Some Amateur Radio call-up nets on local SKYWARN repeaters are likely early Monday Morning through midday in the 6 AM to 1 PM timeframe on Amateur Radio SKYWARN repeaters in Northern Connecticut, Western, Central and interior Northeast Massachusetts. This will be the last coordination message on this winter storm unless time allows and a significant change to the situation occurs. Below is the NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory statement, Coastal Flood Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:
NWS Taunton Winter Storm Warning/Winter Weather Advisory Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Coastal Flood Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.whus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box