Storm Coordination Message #1 – Monday 1/23/17-Tuesday Morning 1/24/17 Coastal Storm Potential
Hello to all…
..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday into early Tuesday with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH possible. This High Wind Watch could be expanded to other portions of Southern New England coast line with wind advisories also possible for other parts of Eastern New England. These winds could bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Heavy Rainfall of 1-3″ highest in Eastern New England could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region. If rainfall amounts were to be in the 3-4″ range, this could result in some flooding of small rivers and streams in areas that receive this rainfall..
..Astronomical tides are very low on Monday Evening and somewhat higher on Tuesday Morning but still on the low side. The seas and wave action may bring some minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands depending on the strongest winds and fetch over the region..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region..
This will be the first in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:
1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line is very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages.
2.) How much snow and ice can occur in far inland areas of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. There isn’t a lot of cold air available but if there is enough cold air for the heaviest precipitation, it could allow for either significant wet snow or icing in these areas and the details here have yet to be worked out.
3.) Heavy rainfall of 1-3″ is likely, highest in Eastern New England. If higher rainfall amounts of 3-4″ occur, this could lead to a bit more flooding including on small rivers and streams.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds may compensate enough if there is enough of a surge to result in minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide pending the strength of the strongest winds. The tide Monday Evening is about 1 foot lower than Tuesday Morning and the speed of the coastal storm and its coincidence with high tide will determine the extent of any minor coastal flooding and these details could still change as a 6-12 hour time difference will change the extent of any coastal flooding.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:
NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
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Hello to all…
..Significant Coastal Storm will impact Southern New England Monday into early Tuesday with heavy rain, strong winds in the interior and strong to damaging winds at the coast, the potential for minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide and the potential for accumulating snow and ice in Northwest and North-Central parts of Massachusetts..
..A High Wind Watch is now in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands for sustained winds of 35-45 MPH with gusts up to 60 MPH possible. This High Wind Watch could be expanded to other portions of Southern New England coast line with wind advisories also possible for other parts of Eastern New England. These winds could bring isolated to scattered pockets of tree and wire damage and isolated to scattered power outages..
..Heavy Rainfall of 1-3″ highest in Eastern New England could bring some urban and poor drainage flooding to portions of the region. If rainfall amounts were to be in the 3-4″ range, this could result in some flooding of small rivers and streams in areas that receive this rainfall..
..Astronomical tides are very low on Monday Evening and somewhat higher on Tuesday Morning but still on the low side. The seas and wave action may bring some minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide along East Coastal Massachusetts and Cape Cod and the Islands depending on the strongest winds and fetch over the region..
..SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region..
This will be the first in a series of coordination messages posted this weekend on a significant coastal storm that will impact the region. The headlines depict the current potential impacts from this storm system which is multi-faceted in nature. There are a number of key details that need to be worked out at this juncture as well as some items that are very high confidence at this time. They are the following:
1.) The very strong to damaging winds at the coast line is very high confidence currently. This will bear watching for any extent of power outages.
2.) How much snow and ice can occur in far inland areas of Northwest and North-Central Massachusetts. There isn’t a lot of cold air available but if there is enough cold air for the heaviest precipitation, it could allow for either significant wet snow or icing in these areas and the details here have yet to be worked out.
3.) Heavy rainfall of 1-3″ is likely, highest in Eastern New England. If higher rainfall amounts of 3-4″ occur, this could lead to a bit more flooding including on small rivers and streams.
4.) Tides will be astronomically low but the easterly fetch and the strength of the winds may compensate enough if there is enough of a surge to result in minor coastal flooding at the time of high tide pending the strength of the strongest winds. The tide Monday Evening is about 1 foot lower than Tuesday Morning and the speed of the coastal storm and its coincidence with high tide will determine the extent of any minor coastal flooding and these details could still change as a 6-12 hour time difference will change the extent of any coastal flooding.
SKYWARN Activation with Ops at NWS Taunton are likely Monday through Monday Night. SKYWARN Self-Activation maybe needed Tuesday Morning for any coastal flood concerns depending on the speed of the storm system through the region. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement, Hazardous Weather Outlook and Winter Weather Graphics:
NWS Taunton High Wind Watch Statement:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.wwus71.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html
NWS Taunton Winter Weather Graphics:
http://www.weather.gov/box/winter
Respectfully Submitted,
Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box