Storm/Severe Weather Coordination Message #1 – Tuesday PM 10/24/17-Wednesday PM 10/25/17 – Severe Weather/Strong Wind/Heavy Rainfall Potential

Hello to all…

..A strong cold frontal system will bring an end to the milder than normal temperatures and bring with it heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding, strong to damaging winds and even the threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds and heavy rainfall as the primary threats in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island in a Marginal to Slight Risk for severe weather from Tuesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Morning and there is a marginal risk for severe weather Wednesday Morning into early Wednesday Afternoon for portions of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe..

A strong cold front will slowly move through New England as we get into the Tuesday Afternoon through Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. The front will be accompanied by heavy rainfall and the potential for convective showers and even isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms which will have the potential to bring strong winds down to the surface in addition to heavy rainfall and there will also be the potential for general strong to damaging winds as the front moves through which could result in Wind headlines in future updates. With the dry conditions, the rainfall in some sense is much needed but could fall in a short period of time which could lead to urban and poor drainage flooding. The headlines of the coordination message cover the situation well including the marginal to slight risk for severe weather over Southern New England over the next couple of days.

SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 and Day-3 Convective Outlooks:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

Hello to all…

..A strong cold frontal system will bring an end to the milder than normal temperatures and bring with it heavy rainfall and the potential for urban and poor drainage flooding, strong to damaging winds and even the threat for isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with strong to damaging winds and heavy rainfall as the primary threats in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe..
..The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed portions of Western, Central and Northeast Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island in a Marginal to Slight Risk for severe weather from Tuesday Afternoon into early Wednesday Morning and there is a marginal risk for severe weather Wednesday Morning into early Wednesday Afternoon for portions of Rhode Island and Eastern Massachusetts..
..SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe..

A strong cold front will slowly move through New England as we get into the Tuesday Afternoon through Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. The front will be accompanied by heavy rainfall and the potential for convective showers and even isolated to scattered strong to severe thunderstorms which will have the potential to bring strong winds down to the surface in addition to heavy rainfall and there will also be the potential for general strong to damaging winds as the front moves through which could result in Wind headlines in future updates. With the dry conditions, the rainfall in some sense is much needed but could fall in a short period of time which could lead to urban and poor drainage flooding. The headlines of the coordination message cover the situation well including the marginal to slight risk for severe weather over Southern New England over the next couple of days.

SKYWARN Activation in some form is likely with Ops at NWS Taunton are possible in the Tuesday Afternoon through early Wednesday Afternoon timeframe. Another coordination message will be posted by 1130 PM this evening. Below is the NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook and SPC Day-2 and Day-3 Convective Outlooks:

NWS Taunton Hazardous Weather Outlook:
http://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.flus41.KBOX.html

SPC Day-2 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

SPC Day-3 Convective Outlook:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Assistant Section Emergency Coordinator
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 508-346-2929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo@rcn.com
http://ares.ema.arrl.org
http://beta.wx1box.org
Like us on Facebook – http://www.facebook.com/wx1box
Follow us on Twitter – http://twitter.com/wx1box

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